AFL · ROUND 3 · MARVEL STADIUM
Collingwood v GWS GIANTS
Fri 27 Mar 2026, 7:40pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
COL by 7
COL to win, 60% chance
COL 60%40% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 33
HIT Actual margin 33 · 25.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | C | 30.3 / 36.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 4.0 / 4.0 | 4.1 / 5.0 | 113 / 140 |
| Josh Daicos | INT | 26.6 / 33.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.7 / 8.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 98 / 120 |
| Scott Pendlebury | RR | 22.4 / 10.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 4.5 / 2.0 | 83 / 36 |
| Dan Houston | HBFL | 20.1 / 18.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 4.8 / 5.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 76 / 78 |
| Jack Crisp | WL | 20.1 / 26.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 8.0 | 4.7 / 4.0 | 85 / 103 |
| Jordan De Goey | FPR | 17.9 / 16.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 70 / 52 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPR | 17.8 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.8 / 6.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 74 / 78 |
| Steele Sidebottom | INT | 17.6 / 31.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 11.0 | 3.3 / 0.0 | 73 / 110 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 17.0 / 12.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 3.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 97 / 59 |
| Harry Perryman | HBFR | 16.8 / 15.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 6.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 68 / 54 |
| Ned Long | R | 16.8 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 4.0 | 6.3 / 10.0 | 77 / 86 |
| Patrick Lipinski | WR | 16.2 / 16.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 0.0 | 69 / 41 |
| Isaac Quaynor | INT | 15.9 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 64 / 47 |
| Jeremy Howe | CHB | 15.8 / 11.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 6.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 65 / 50 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFL | 14.9 / 17.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 4.7 / 3.0 | 3.9 / 6.0 | 72 / 82 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 14.2 / 14.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 4.3 / 3.0 | 62 / 49 |
| Jamie Elliott | INT | 12.3 / 4.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 5.4 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 65 / 26 |
| Oscar Steene | INT | 12.0 / 8.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 55 / 52 |
| Roan Steele | FPL | 12.0 / 8.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 52 / 31 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 11.8 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 7.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 52 / 64 |
| Darcy Moore | FB | 10.9 / 7.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 6.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 45 / 34 |
| Daniel McStay | CHF | 9.0 / 9.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 3.3 / 6.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 51 / 59 |
| Tim Membrey | FF | 8.9 / 13.0 | 1.5 / 4.0 | 4.2 / 7.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 50 / 79 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Callaghan | R | 29.7 / 35.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 6.0 | 4.6 / 4.0 | 105 / 116 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 28.5 / 39.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.7 / 7.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 99 / 129 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 26.1 / 37.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 4.6 / 2.0 | 92 / 104 |
| Lachie Ash | CHB | 26.1 / 28.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.4 / 10.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 94 / 104 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 19.4 / 21.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 4.3 / 2.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 84 / 60 |
| Harry Himmelberg | BPL | 19.1 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.2 / 6.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 76 / 59 |
| Connor Idun | FB | 17.3 / 23.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.4 / 7.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 65 / 81 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 17.2 / 27.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 4.1 / 5.0 | 2.8 / 3.0 | 69 / 100 |
| Stephen Coniglio | INT | 17.0 / 13.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 6.0 | 3.8 / 1.0 | 69 / 53 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 15.9 / 25.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 8.0 | 3.4 / 2.0 | 63 / 97 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFR | 15.4 / 21.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 10.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 61 / 89 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPR | 15.2 / 17.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.8 / 9.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 63 / 80 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | HFFR | 15.2 / 16.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 5.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 61 / 62 |
| Jake Riccardi | CHF | 14.3 / 16.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 4.7 / 7.0 | 2.5 / 0.0 | 74 / 72 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 12.5 / 15.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 5.0 | 3.3 / 0.0 | 78 / 70 |
| James Leake | INT | 11.4 / 16.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 6.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 53 / 63 |
| Oliver Hannaford | INT | 11.4 / 8.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 53 / 32 |
| Phoenix Gothard | HFFL | 11.1 / 19.0 | 0.8 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 51 / 59 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 11.0 / 13.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 3.3 / 7.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 57 / 82 |
| Jesse Hogan | FF | 10.4 / 4.0 | 2.4 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 60 / 22 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 10.3 / 11.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 51 / 50 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 10.2 / 3.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 3.0 | 46 / 22 |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 7.9 / 5.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 44 / 35 |