HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 3COL v GWS
AFL · ROUND 3 · MARVEL STADIUM

Collingwood v GWS GIANTS

Fri 27 Mar 2026, 7:40pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

COL by 7

COL to win, 60% chance

COL 60%40% GWS
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

COL by 33

HIT Actual margin 33 · 25.9 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Collingwood

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Nick Daicos C 113 - - 98%94%86%73%55% 140
Josh Daicos INT 98 - - 91%80%65%46%29% 120
Darcy Cameron RK 97 - - 90%79%64%45%28% 59
Jack Crisp WL 85 - - 76%60%41%24%12% 103
Scott Pendlebury RR 83 - - 74%56%38%22%10% 36
Ned Long R 77 - - 63%44%27%14%6% 86
Dan Houston HBFL 76 - - 62%43%26%13%6% 78
Brayden Maynard BPR 74 - - 58%40%23%11%5% 78
Steele Sidebottom INT 73 - - 56%37%21%10%4% 110
Lachie Schultz HFFL 72 - - 54%36%20%10%4% 82
Jordan De Goey FPR 70 - - 50%31%17%8%3% 52
Patrick Lipinski WR 69 - - 48%30%16%7%3% 41
Harry Perryman HBFR 68 - - 45%28%14%6%2% 54
Jamie Elliott INT 65 - - 40%23%12%5%2% 26
Jeremy Howe CHB 65 - - 40%24%12%5%2% 50
Isaac Quaynor INT 64 - - 39%23%11%4%2% 47
Beau McCreery HFFR 62 - - 36%20%10%4%1% 49
Oscar Steene INT 55 - - 24%12%5%2%0% 52
Billy Frampton BPL 52 - - 20%10%4%1%0% 64
Roan Steele FPL 52 - - 20%9%4%1%0% 31
Daniel McStay CHF 51 - - 18%9%3%1%0% 59
Tim Membrey FF 50 - - 18%8%3%1%0% 79
Darcy Moore FB 45 - - 12%5%2%0%0% 34

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Finn Callaghan R 105 - - 95%88%77%60%41% 116
Lachie Whitfield HBFL 99 - - 91%81%66%48%30% 129
Lachie Ash CHB 94 - - 87%74%57%38%22% 104
Clayton Oliver C 92 - - 86%72%55%36%20% 104
Toby Greene RR 84 - - 74%57%38%22%11% 60
Kieren Briggs RK 78 - - 64%46%28%15%6% 70
Harry Himmelberg BPL 76 - - 60%42%25%12%5% 59
Jake Riccardi CHF 74 - - 57%38%22%11%4% 72
Harvey Thomas WR 69 - - 48%30%16%7%3% 100
Stephen Coniglio INT 69 - - 48%30%16%7%3% 53
Connor Idun FB 65 - - 40%24%12%5%2% 81
Jayden Laverde BPR 63 - - 37%21%10%4%1% 80
Ryan Angwin WL 63 - - 37%21%10%4%1% 97
Joe Fonti HBFR 61 - - 34%18%9%3%1% 89
Xavier O'Halloran HFFR 61 - - 34%18%8%3%1% 62
Jesse Hogan FF 60 - - 32%18%8%3%1% 22
Jake Stringer FPL 57 - - 27%14%6%2%1% 82
James Leake INT 53 - - 21%10%4%1%0% 63
Oliver Hannaford INT 53 - - 21%10%4%1%0% 32
Callum Brown FPR 51 - - 19%9%3%1%0% 50
Phoenix Gothard HFFL 51 - - 18%8%3%1%0% 59
Josaia Delana INT 46 - - 13%6%2%0%0% 22
Max Gruzewski INT 44 - - 11%4%1%0%0% 35