Collingwood v GWS GIANTS

Fri 27 Mar 2026, 7:40pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

COL by 7

COL to win, 60% chance

COL 60%40% GWS

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

COL by 33

HIT Actual margin 33 · 25.9 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Collingwood

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jamie Elliott	INT	2.4	-	-	91%	69%	43%	22%	10%	1.0
Tim Membrey	FF	1.5	-	-	78%	44%	19%	7%	2%	4.0
Daniel McStay	CHF	1.0	-	-	65%	28%	9%	2%	0%	2.0
Lachie Schultz	HFFL	1.0	-	-	64%	27%	8%	2%	0%	1.0
Jordan De Goey	FPR	0.8	-	-	56%	20%	5%	1%	0%	0.0
Nick Daicos	C	0.6	-	-	44%	12%	2%	0%	0%	2.0
Oscar Steene	INT	0.6	-	-	42%	11%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Beau McCreery	HFFR	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Steele Sidebottom	INT	0.5	-	-	37%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Patrick Lipinski	WR	0.4	-	-	35%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Roan Steele	FPL	0.4	-	-	34%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Darcy Cameron	RK	0.3	-	-	24%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Crisp	WL	0.3	-	-	28%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Ned Long	R	0.3	-	-	28%	4%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Dan Houston	HBFL	0.2	-	-	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Scott Pendlebury	RR	0.2	-	-	22%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Brayden Maynard	BPR	0.1	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Harry Perryman	HBFR	0.1	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Josh Daicos	INT	0.1	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Billy Frampton	BPL	0.0	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Darcy Moore	FB	0.0	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Isaac Quaynor	INT	0.0	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jeremy Howe	CHB	0.0	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jesse Hogan	FF	2.4	-	-	91%	70%	44%	23%	10%	0.0
Jake Stringer	FPL	2.2	-	-	89%	66%	39%	19%	8%	2.0
Toby Greene	RR	1.5	-	-	78%	45%	20%	7%	2%	1.0
Jake Riccardi	CHF	1.4	-	-	76%	42%	17%	6%	2%	1.0
Max Gruzewski	INT	1.2	-	-	70%	33%	12%	3%	1%	1.0
Callum Brown	FPR	0.9	-	-	60%	23%	6%	1%	0%	0.0
Phoenix Gothard	HFFL	0.8	-	-	54%	18%	4%	1%	0%	1.0
Josaia Delana	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	11%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Stephen Coniglio	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	12%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Xavier O'Halloran	HFFR	0.6	-	-	44%	11%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Finn Callaghan	R	0.5	-	-	36%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
James Leake	INT	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Oliver Hannaford	INT	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Clayton Oliver	C	0.4	-	-	34%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Harvey Thomas	WR	0.4	-	-	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Kieren Briggs	RK	0.3	-	-	28%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Ryan Angwin	WL	0.2	-	-	19%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Harry Himmelberg	BPL	0.1	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Joe Fonti	HBFR	0.1	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Ash	CHB	0.1	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Whitfield	HBFL	0.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Connor Idun	FB	0.0	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jayden Laverde	BPR	0.0	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0