Geelong Cats v Adelaide Crows

Thu 26 Mar 2026, 7:30pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

GEE by 20

GEE to win, 76% chance

GEE 76%24% ADE

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GEE by 8

HIT Actual margin 8 · 11.5 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Geelong Cats

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Max Holmes	R	110	-	-	97%	92%	83%	68%	50%	111
Bailey Smith	C	108	-	-	96%	91%	81%	66%	47%	154
Tom Atkins	RR	90	-	-	82%	68%	49%	31%	17%	90
Tom Stewart	CHB	87	-	-	79%	64%	45%	28%	14%	109
Oliver Dempsey	HFFR	78	-	-	64%	46%	28%	15%	6%	93
Jeremy Cameron	FPL	77	-	-	63%	45%	27%	14%	6%	64
Gryan Miers	HFFL	76	-	-	61%	43%	26%	13%	5%	123
Shaun Mannagh	CHF	76	-	-	60%	42%	25%	12%	5%	98
Mark Blicavs	WL	74	-	-	58%	40%	23%	11%	5%	98
Zach Guthrie	HBFL	74	-	-	57%	38%	22%	11%	4%	49
Lawson Humphries	HBFR	69	-	-	48%	30%	16%	7%	3%	55
Tanner Bruhn	INT	69	-	-	49%	31%	16%	7%	3%	53
Jack Martin	FPR	63	-	-	37%	21%	10%	4%	1%	81
Jhye Clark	INT	58	-	-	28%	15%	6%	2%	1%	61
Mark O'Connor	WR	56	-	-	26%	13%	6%	2%	1%	65
Mitchell Edwards	RK	56	-	-	26%	13%	6%	2%	1%	29
Shannon Neale	FF	56	-	-	25%	12%	5%	2%	0%	61
Connor O'Sullivan	BPL	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	92
Oliver Wiltshire	INT	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	44
Sam De Koning	FB	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	84
Jack Henry	BPR	53	-	-	22%	10%	4%	1%	0%	41
Oliver Henry	INT	53	-	-	21%	10%	4%	1%	0%	55
Oisin Mullin	INT	46	-	-	13%	5%	2%	0%	0%	54

Adelaide Crows

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Josh Worrell	CHB	87	-	-	79%	64%	45%	28%	14%	102
Wayne Milera	HBFR	81	-	-	69%	51%	33%	18%	8%	68
Jake Soligo	INT	80	-	-	67%	49%	31%	17%	8%	92
James Peatling	C	78	-	-	65%	47%	29%	15%	7%	77
Riley Thilthorpe	FF	75	-	-	59%	40%	24%	12%	5%	74
Izak Rankine	HFFL	73	-	-	56%	38%	22%	10%	4%	21
Alex Neal-Bullen	CHF	72	-	-	53%	35%	19%	9%	4%	55
Sam Berry	RR	71	-	-	53%	34%	19%	9%	3%	86
Ben Keays	HFFR	65	-	-	40%	24%	12%	5%	2%	55
Isaac Cumming	WR	65	-	-	41%	24%	12%	5%	2%	56
Max Michalanney	INT	65	-	-	41%	24%	12%	5%	2%	69
Josh Rachele	R	64	-	-	39%	23%	11%	4%	2%	114
Lachlan McAndrew	RK	63	-	-	37%	21%	10%	4%	1%	92
Chayce Jones	BPR	59	-	-	30%	16%	7%	3%	1%	29
Luke Nankervis	INT	58	-	-	29%	15%	6%	2%	1%	37
Darcy Fogarty	FPR	57	-	-	27%	14%	6%	2%	1%	30
Brayden Cook	WL	52	-	-	19%	9%	4%	1%	0%	83
Zac Taylor	FPL	48	-	-	15%	6%	2%	1%	0%	52
Luke Pedlar	INT	47	-	-	14%	6%	2%	1%	0%	19
Hugh Bond	HBFL	44	-	-	11%	4%	2%	0%	0%	54
Nick Murray	BPL	43	-	-	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%	62
Finnbar Maley	INT	41	-	-	8%	3%	1%	0%	0%	40
Jordon Butts	FB	36	-	-	6%	2%	1%	0%	0%	29