HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 3PA v WCE
AFL · ROUND 3 · ADELAIDE OVAL

Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles

Sun 29 Mar 2026, 12:00pm ACDT (venue time)

FINAL MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

PA by 35

PA to win, 89% chance

PA 89%11% WCE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WCE by 2

MISS Actual margin 2 · 37.2 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Port Adelaide

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 15+20+25+30+35+ ACTUAL
Zak Butters RR 29.6 - - 100%98%83%50%18% 30.0
Will Brodie INT 24.2 - - 98%83%46%14%2% 18.0
Ollie Wines INT 23.1 - - 97%77%37%10%1% -
Kane Farrell HBFR 22.0 - - 95%70%29%6%1% 25.0
Willem Drew R 21.9 - - 95%69%28%6%1% 20.0
Jason Horne-Francis C 21.1 - - 93%62%22%4%0% 18.0
Jase Burgoyne BPL 19.3 - - 86%46%12%1%0% 21.0
Joe Richards FPR 16.1 - - 64%19%2%0%0% 14.0
Aliir Aliir CHB 15.5 - - 58%15%2%0%0% 12.0
Jackson Mead BPR 14.9 - - 52%12%1%0%0% 12.0
Ewan Mackinlay INT 14.4 - - 47%10%1%0%0% 9.0
Jordon Sweet RK 14.2 - - 45%8%1%0%0% 13.0
Jacob Wehr WR 13.8 - - 41%7%0%0%0% 15.0
Darcy Byrne-Jones FPL 13.3 - - 36%5%0%0%0% 15.0
Logan Evans WL 13.3 - - 36%5%0%0%0% 19.0
Mitch Georgiades CHF 13.1 - - 33%4%0%0%0% 12.0
Jack Lukosius HFFL 12.2 - - 25%2%0%0%0% 12.0
Esava Ratugolea FB 12.1 - - 24%2%0%0%0% 11.0
Jack Watkins INT 12.0 - - 23%2%0%0%0% 19.0
Josh Lai INT 12.0 - - 23%2%0%0%0% 13.0
Lachie Jones HBFL 12.0 - - 22%2%0%0%0% 8.0
Mitch Zadow INT 12.0 - - 23%2%0%0%0% -
Corey Durdin INT 11.4 - - 18%1%0%0%0% 7.0
Joe Berry HFFR 11.2 - - 16%1%0%0%0% 7.0
Jack Whitlock FF 10.0 - - 8%0%0%0%0% 10.0
Dante Visentini INT 8.0 - - 2%0%0%0%0% -

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 15+20+25+30+35+ ACTUAL
Harley Reid RR 22.0 - - 95%69%29%6%1% 21.0
Tim Kelly HFFL 21.9 - - 95%69%28%6%1% 23.0
Jack Graham R 19.9 - - 89%52%15%2%0% 13.0
Liam Baker HBFR 19.9 - - 89%52%15%2%0% 20.0
Liam Duggan BPL 19.5 - - 88%49%13%2%0% 14.0
Elliot Yeo C 19.4 - - 87%48%13%2%0% 7.0
Tom McCarthy WR 19.3 - - 86%47%12%1%0% 20.0
Tom Cole INT 18.3 - - 81%38%8%1%0% -
Harry Schoenberg INT 16.0 - - 63%18%2%0%0% 13.0
Brady Hough BPR 15.4 - - 58%15%2%0%0% 11.0
Hamish Davis HFFR 13.3 - - 35%5%0%0%0% 12.0
Tylar Young FB 13.2 - - 34%5%0%0%0% 12.0
Reuben Ginbey CHB 13.0 - - 33%4%0%0%0% 5.0
Deven Robertson INT 12.8 - - 31%4%0%0%0% 16.0
Willem Duursma WL 12.2 - - 25%2%0%0%0% 20.0
Jamie Cripps FPR 11.7 - - 20%2%0%0%0% 10.0
Matt Flynn RK 11.6 - - 19%2%0%0%0% 9.0
Cooper Duff-Tytler FPL 11.4 - - 18%1%0%0%0% 11.0
Jacob Newton INT 11.4 - - 18%1%0%0%0% 6.0
Malakai Champion INT 11.4 - - 18%1%0%0%0% -
Bo Allan HBFL 10.8 - - 13%1%0%0%0% 10.0
Sandy Brock INT 10.8 - - 13%1%0%0%0% -
Jake Waterman FF 10.6 - - 12%1%0%0%0% 13.0
Josh Lindsay INT 9.4 - - 6%0%0%0%0% 19.0
Jobe Shanahan CHF 8.4 - - 3%0%0%0%0% 13.0
Archer Reid INT 7.4 - - 1%0%0%0%0% 5.0