AFL · ROUND 3 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles
Sun 29 Mar 2026, 12:00pm ACDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
PA by 35
PA to win, 89% chance
PA 89%11% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 2
MISS Actual margin 2 · 37.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 29.6 | - | - | 100% | 98% | 83% | 50% | 18% | 30.0 |
| Will Brodie | INT | 24.2 | - | - | 98% | 83% | 46% | 14% | 2% | 18.0 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 23.1 | - | - | 97% | 77% | 37% | 10% | 1% | - |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 22.0 | - | - | 95% | 70% | 29% | 6% | 1% | 25.0 |
| Willem Drew | R | 21.9 | - | - | 95% | 69% | 28% | 6% | 1% | 20.0 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 21.1 | - | - | 93% | 62% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 18.0 |
| Jase Burgoyne | BPL | 19.3 | - | - | 86% | 46% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 21.0 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 16.1 | - | - | 64% | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 14.0 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 15.5 | - | - | 58% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Jackson Mead | BPR | 14.9 | - | - | 52% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | INT | 14.4 | - | - | 47% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 14.2 | - | - | 45% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 13.8 | - | - | 41% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15.0 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | FPL | 13.3 | - | - | 36% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15.0 |
| Logan Evans | WL | 13.3 | - | - | 36% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19.0 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 13.1 | - | - | 33% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Jack Lukosius | HFFL | 12.2 | - | - | 25% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Esava Ratugolea | FB | 12.1 | - | - | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11.0 |
| Jack Watkins | INT | 12.0 | - | - | 23% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19.0 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 12.0 | - | - | 23% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFL | 12.0 | - | - | 22% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 12.0 | - | - | 23% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Corey Durdin | INT | 11.4 | - | - | 18% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 11.2 | - | - | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 10.0 | - | - | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 8.0 | - | - | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 22.0 | - | - | 95% | 69% | 29% | 6% | 1% | 21.0 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 21.9 | - | - | 95% | 69% | 28% | 6% | 1% | 23.0 |
| Jack Graham | R | 19.9 | - | - | 89% | 52% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 19.9 | - | - | 89% | 52% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 20.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 19.5 | - | - | 88% | 49% | 13% | 2% | 0% | 14.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 19.4 | - | - | 87% | 48% | 13% | 2% | 0% | 7.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | WR | 19.3 | - | - | 86% | 47% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 20.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 18.3 | - | - | 81% | 38% | 8% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 16.0 | - | - | 63% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 15.4 | - | - | 58% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 11.0 |
| Hamish Davis | HFFR | 13.3 | - | - | 35% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 13.2 | - | - | 34% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | CHB | 13.0 | - | - | 33% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5.0 |
| Deven Robertson | INT | 12.8 | - | - | 31% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16.0 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 12.2 | - | - | 25% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20.0 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 11.7 | - | - | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 11.6 | - | - | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPL | 11.4 | - | - | 18% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11.0 |
| Jacob Newton | INT | 11.4 | - | - | 18% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6.0 |
| Malakai Champion | INT | 11.4 | - | - | 18% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Bo Allan | HBFL | 10.8 | - | - | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Sandy Brock | INT | 10.8 | - | - | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 10.6 | - | - | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 9.4 | - | - | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 8.4 | - | - | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Archer Reid | INT | 7.4 | - | - | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5.0 |