AFL · ROUND 3 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles
Sun 29 Mar 2026, 12:00pm ACDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
PA by 35
PA to win, 89% chance
PA 89%11% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 2
MISS Actual margin 2 · 37.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 108 | - | - | 96% | 91% | 81% | 65% | 47% | 86 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 94 | - | - | 87% | 74% | 57% | 39% | 22% | - |
| Will Brodie | INT | 89 | - | - | 82% | 67% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 56 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 87 | - | - | 79% | 63% | 45% | 27% | 14% | 109 |
| Willem Drew | R | 87 | - | - | 78% | 62% | 44% | 26% | 13% | 87 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 86 | - | - | 77% | 61% | 42% | 25% | 13% | 87 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 86 | - | - | 77% | 61% | 42% | 25% | 13% | 83 |
| Jase Burgoyne | BPL | 77 | - | - | 63% | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 100 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 75 | - | - | 60% | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 95 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 69 | - | - | 48% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 50 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 68 | - | - | 46% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 59 |
| Jack Lukosius | HFFL | 63 | - | - | 37% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 63 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | INT | 62 | - | - | 35% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 43 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 60 | - | - | 32% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | - |
| Jackson Mead | BPR | 60 | - | - | 32% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 47 |
| Corey Durdin | INT | 58 | - | - | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 48 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | FPL | 58 | - | - | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 61 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 58 | - | - | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 65 |
| Logan Evans | WL | 56 | - | - | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 68 |
| Jack Watkins | INT | 55 | - | - | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 73 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 55 | - | - | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 53 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 55 | - | - | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Esava Ratugolea | FB | 53 | - | - | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 42 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFL | 53 | - | - | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 36 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 52 | - | - | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 66 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 26 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 81 | - | - | 69% | 51% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 54 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 81 | - | - | 69% | 51% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 68 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 80 | - | - | 67% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 81 |
| Jack Graham | R | 80 | - | - | 67% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 80 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 79 | - | - | 67% | 48% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 42 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 75 | - | - | 60% | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 67 |
| Tom McCarthy | WR | 74 | - | - | 58% | 39% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 79 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 72 | - | - | 53% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 76 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 72 | - | - | 54% | 36% | 20% | 10% | 4% | - |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 66 | - | - | 42% | 25% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 49 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 61 | - | - | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 76 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 59 | - | - | 31% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 29 |
| Hamish Davis | HFFR | 57 | - | - | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 63 |
| Deven Robertson | INT | 55 | - | - | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 41 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 54 | - | - | 22% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 55 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPL | 53 | - | - | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 38 |
| Jacob Newton | INT | 53 | - | - | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 37 |
| Malakai Champion | INT | 53 | - | - | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Tylar Young | FB | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 61 |
| Reuben Ginbey | CHB | 50 | - | - | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 33 |
| Sandy Brock | INT | 46 | - | - | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 46 | - | - | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 86 |
| Bo Allan | HBFL | 44 | - | - | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 58 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 44 | - | - | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 48 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 44 | - | - | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 62 |
| Archer Reid | INT | 42 | - | - | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 32 |