HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 3PA v WCE
AFL · ROUND 3 · ADELAIDE OVAL

Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles

Sun 29 Mar 2026, 12:00pm ACDT (venue time)

FINAL MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

PA by 35

PA to win, 89% chance

PA 89%11% WCE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WCE by 2

MISS Actual margin 2 · 37.2 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Port Adelaide

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Zak Butters RR 108 - - 96%91%81%65%47% 86
Ollie Wines INT 94 - - 87%74%57%39%22% -
Will Brodie INT 89 - - 82%67%49%31%17% 56
Kane Farrell HBFR 87 - - 79%63%45%27%14% 109
Willem Drew R 87 - - 78%62%44%26%13% 87
Jason Horne-Francis C 86 - - 77%61%42%25%13% 87
Jordon Sweet RK 86 - - 77%61%42%25%13% 83
Jase Burgoyne BPL 77 - - 63%44%27%14%6% 100
Mitch Georgiades CHF 75 - - 60%41%24%12%5% 95
Joe Richards FPR 69 - - 48%30%16%7%3% 50
Aliir Aliir CHB 68 - - 46%29%15%7%2% 59
Jack Lukosius HFFL 63 - - 37%21%10%4%1% 63
Ewan Mackinlay INT 62 - - 35%19%9%4%1% 43
Dante Visentini INT 60 - - 32%18%8%3%1% -
Jackson Mead BPR 60 - - 32%17%8%3%1% 47
Corey Durdin INT 58 - - 29%15%7%2%1% 48
Darcy Byrne-Jones FPL 58 - - 28%15%6%2%1% 61
Jacob Wehr WR 58 - - 29%15%7%2%1% 65
Logan Evans WL 56 - - 26%13%6%2%1% 68
Jack Watkins INT 55 - - 24%12%5%2%0% 73
Josh Lai INT 55 - - 24%12%5%2%0% 53
Mitch Zadow INT 55 - - 24%12%5%2%0% -
Esava Ratugolea FB 53 - - 21%10%4%1%0% 42
Lachie Jones HBFL 53 - - 21%10%4%1%0% 36
Jack Whitlock FF 52 - - 20%10%4%1%0% 66
Joe Berry HFFR 52 - - 20%9%4%1%0% 26

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Liam Duggan BPL 81 - - 69%51%33%18%8% 54
Tim Kelly HFFL 81 - - 69%51%33%18%8% 68
Harley Reid RR 80 - - 67%49%31%17%8% 81
Jack Graham R 80 - - 67%49%31%17%8% 80
Elliot Yeo C 79 - - 67%48%30%16%7% 42
Liam Baker HBFR 75 - - 60%41%24%12%5% 67
Tom McCarthy WR 74 - - 58%39%23%11%5% 79
Matt Flynn RK 72 - - 53%34%19%9%3% 76
Tom Cole INT 72 - - 54%36%20%10%4% -
Harry Schoenberg INT 66 - - 42%25%13%5%2% 49
Jake Waterman FF 61 - - 33%18%8%3%1% 76
Brady Hough BPR 59 - - 31%16%7%3%1% 29
Hamish Davis HFFR 57 - - 26%13%6%2%1% 63
Deven Robertson INT 55 - - 24%12%5%2%0% 41
Jamie Cripps FPR 54 - - 22%11%4%1%0% 55
Cooper Duff-Tytler FPL 53 - - 21%10%4%1%0% 38
Jacob Newton INT 53 - - 21%10%4%1%0% 37
Malakai Champion INT 53 - - 21%10%4%1%0% -
Tylar Young FB 52 - - 20%9%4%1%0% 61
Reuben Ginbey CHB 50 - - 18%8%3%1%0% 33
Sandy Brock INT 46 - - 13%6%2%1%0% -
Willem Duursma WL 46 - - 13%6%2%1%0% 86
Bo Allan HBFL 44 - - 11%4%2%0%0% 58
Jobe Shanahan CHF 44 - - 11%5%2%0%0% 48
Josh Lindsay INT 44 - - 11%4%1%0%0% 62
Archer Reid INT 42 - - 9%4%1%0%0% 32