HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 3PA v WCE
AFL · ROUND 3 · ADELAIDE OVAL

Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles

Sun 29 Mar 2026, 12:00pm ACDT (venue time)

FINAL MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

PA by 35

PA to win, 89% chance

PA 89%11% WCE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WCE by 2

MISS Actual margin 2 · 37.2 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Port Adelaide

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 1+2+3+4+5+ ACTUAL
Mitch Georgiades CHF 3.1 - - 96%82%61%38%21% 3.0
Jack Lukosius HFFL 1.6 - - 81%49%23%8%3% 1.0
Corey Durdin INT 1.2 - - 70%33%12%3%1% 2.0
Jack Whitlock FF 1.2 - - 70%34%12%3%1% 3.0
Jason Horne-Francis C 1.2 - - 69%33%11%3%1% 1.0
Joe Richards FPR 1.0 - - 64%27%8%2%0% 0.0
Joe Berry HFFR 0.7 - - 49%15%3%0%0% 0.0
Dante Visentini INT 0.6 - - 44%12%2%0%0% -
Darcy Byrne-Jones FPL 0.6 - - 48%14%3%0%0% 1.0
Jack Watkins INT 0.6 - - 42%11%2%0%0% 1.0
Josh Lai INT 0.6 - - 42%11%2%0%0% 0.0
Mitch Zadow INT 0.6 - - 42%11%2%0%0% -
Ollie Wines INT 0.5 - - 40%9%2%0%0% -
Zak Butters RR 0.5 - - 38%8%1%0%0% 0.0
Ewan Mackinlay INT 0.4 - - 35%7%1%0%0% 0.0
Jordon Sweet RK 0.4 - - 35%7%1%0%0% 0.0
Will Brodie INT 0.4 - - 30%5%1%0%0% 0.0
Willem Drew R 0.4 - - 34%6%1%0%0% 0.0
Jackson Mead BPR 0.2 - - 21%2%0%0%0% 0.0
Jacob Wehr WR 0.2 - - 20%2%0%0%0% 0.0
Jase Burgoyne BPL 0.2 - - 19%2%0%0%0% 0.0
Aliir Aliir CHB 0.1 - - 7%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Esava Ratugolea FB 0.1 - - 10%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Kane Farrell HBFR 0.1 - - 14%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Lachie Jones HBFL 0.1 - - 8%0%0%0%0% 1.0
Logan Evans WL 0.1 - - 9%0%0%0%0% 0.0

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 1+2+3+4+5+ ACTUAL
Jake Waterman FF 2.6 - - 92%73%48%26%12% 4.0
Jobe Shanahan CHF 1.4 - - 76%41%17%6%2% 0.0
Jamie Cripps FPR 1.1 - - 66%29%10%2%0% 1.0
Archer Reid INT 1.0 - - 62%26%8%2%0% 0.0
Harley Reid RR 0.7 - - 51%16%4%1%0% 2.0
Elliot Yeo C 0.6 - - 43%11%2%0%0% 1.0
Cooper Duff-Tytler FPL 0.5 - - 42%10%2%0%0% 0.0
Jacob Newton INT 0.5 - - 42%10%2%0%0% 0.0
Malakai Champion INT 0.5 - - 42%10%2%0%0% -
Willem Duursma WL 0.5 - - 41%10%2%0%0% 1.0
Harry Schoenberg INT 0.4 - - 31%6%1%0%0% 0.0
Jack Graham R 0.4 - - 31%6%1%0%0% 1.0
Liam Baker HBFR 0.4 - - 30%5%1%0%0% 0.0
Tim Kelly HFFL 0.4 - - 30%5%1%0%0% 0.0
Deven Robertson INT 0.3 - - 26%4%0%0%0% 0.0
Hamish Davis HFFR 0.3 - - 27%4%0%0%0% 1.0
Josh Lindsay INT 0.3 - - 28%4%0%0%0% 0.0
Matt Flynn RK 0.3 - - 27%4%0%0%0% 0.0
Tom McCarthy WR 0.3 - - 23%3%0%0%0% 0.0
Bo Allan HBFL 0.1 - - 8%0%0%0%0% 2.0
Brady Hough BPR 0.1 - - 13%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Liam Duggan BPL 0.1 - - 13%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Reuben Ginbey CHB 0.1 - - 7%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Sandy Brock INT 0.1 - - 13%1%0%0%0% -
Tom Cole INT 0.1 - - 8%0%0%0%0% -
Tylar Young FB 0.1 - - 6%0%0%0%0% 0.0