AFL · ROUND 3 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v West Coast Eagles
Sun 29 Mar 2026, 12:00pm ACDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
PA by 35
PA to win, 89% chance
PA 89%11% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 2
MISS Actual margin 2 · 37.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 7.0 | - | - | 92% | 83% | 70% | 55% | 40% | 7.0 |
| Esava Ratugolea | FB | 5.9 | - | - | 84% | 70% | 53% | 37% | 24% | 5.0 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 5.9 | - | - | 84% | 70% | 54% | 38% | 24% | 8.0 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 5.8 | - | - | 83% | 68% | 52% | 36% | 23% | 7.0 |
| Jase Burgoyne | BPL | 5.2 | - | - | 76% | 59% | 42% | 27% | 16% | 5.0 |
| Jack Lukosius | HFFL | 4.9 | - | - | 72% | 54% | 37% | 22% | 12% | 4.0 |
| Zak Butters | RR | 4.5 | - | - | 65% | 46% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 1.0 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 4.4 | - | - | 64% | 45% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 5.0 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 4.2 | - | - | 60% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 4.0 |
| Corey Durdin | INT | 3.9 | - | - | 55% | 35% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 3.0 |
| Jackson Mead | BPR | 3.9 | - | - | 56% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 4.0 |
| Logan Evans | WL | 3.9 | - | - | 54% | 34% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 5.0 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | FPL | 3.8 | - | - | 53% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2.0 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | INT | 3.8 | - | - | 52% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2.0 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFL | 3.8 | - | - | 53% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 2.0 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 3.7 | - | - | 51% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 5.0 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 3.5 | - | - | 47% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 4.0 |
| Willem Drew | R | 3.3 | - | - | 42% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1.0 |
| Jack Watkins | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 38% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 5.0 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 38% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 5.0 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 38% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | - |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 38% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | - |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 3.0 | - | - | 36% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 2.9 | - | - | 34% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 2.4 | - | - | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Will Brodie | INT | 2.2 | - | - | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 6.1 | - | - | 86% | 73% | 57% | 41% | 27% | 2.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 6.0 | - | - | 85% | 71% | 55% | 39% | 25% | 4.0 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 5.4 | - | - | 79% | 63% | 45% | 30% | 18% | 7.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 5.3 | - | - | 77% | 60% | 43% | 28% | 16% | - |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 5.0 | - | - | 73% | 56% | 38% | 24% | 13% | 3.0 |
| Sandy Brock | INT | 4.1 | - | - | 59% | 39% | 23% | 12% | 6% | - |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 4.0 | - | - | 57% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 2.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | CHB | 3.9 | - | - | 55% | 35% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | WR | 3.9 | - | - | 54% | 35% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 7.0 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 3.7 | - | - | 50% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 5.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 3.7 | - | - | 51% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 6.0 |
| Hamish Davis | HFFR | 3.2 | - | - | 39% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2.0 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 3.2 | - | - | 40% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPL | 3.1 | - | - | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Jacob Newton | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Malakai Champion | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | - |
| Bo Allan | HBFL | 3.0 | - | - | 35% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4.0 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 3.0 | - | - | 34% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 2.9 | - | - | 34% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 2.9 | - | - | 33% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 2.8 | - | - | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 6.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 2.7 | - | - | 30% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Archer Reid | INT | 2.5 | - | - | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 2.5 | - | - | 24% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jack Graham | R | 2.5 | - | - | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Deven Robertson | INT | 2.4 | - | - | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |