AFL · ROUND 4 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Fremantle
Fri 3 Apr 2026, 6:45pm ACDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
ADE by 5
ADE to win, 57% chance
ADE 57%43% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 2
MISS Actual margin 2 · 6.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Worrell | CHB | 24.1 / 23.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.0 / 7.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 90 / 85 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 22.7 / 23.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 4.3 / 3.0 | 5.7 / 6.0 | 98 / 100 |
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 21.2 / 27.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 82 / 98 |
| James Peatling | INT | 19.9 / 26.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 4.4 / 5.0 | 82 / 101 |
| Sam Berry | RR | 19.2 / 21.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 5.0 | 80 / 74 |
| Izak Rankine | WL | 19.0 / 14.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 3.0 | 3.4 / 4.0 | 81 / 63 |
| Jake Soligo | FPL | 18.9 / 12.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 3.0 | 73 / 46 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | INT | 16.7 / 19.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 71 / 66 |
| Josh Rachele | R | 16.6 / 19.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 5.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 71 / 88 |
| Isaac Cumming | WR | 16.1 / - | 0.3 / - | 4.6 / - | 2.3 / - | 70 / - |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 15.1 / 12.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 64 / 58 |
| Ben Keays | HFFL | 14.9 / 15.0 | 1.2 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 4.0 | 68 / 56 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | FF | 13.7 / 15.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 5.1 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 4.0 | 77 / 74 |
| Taylor Walker | CHF | 13.6 / 9.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 5.3 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 5.0 | 69 / 57 |
| Brayden Cook | INT | 13.2 / 10.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 56 / 56 |
| Reilly O'Brien | INT | 12.5 / 3.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 1.0 | 87 / 31 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 11.9 / 8.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 2.6 / 13.0 | 70 / 113 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FPR | 11.2 / - | 1.5 / - | 4.3 / - | 1.8 / - | 60 / - |
| Hugh Bond | HBFL | 11.2 / 7.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 47 / 34 |
| Nick Murray | FB | 11.2 / 9.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 3.0 | 47 / 34 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 10.6 / 9.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 3.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 50 / 44 |
| Luke Pedlar | HFFR | 9.3 / 8.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 4.0 | 47 / 40 |
| James Borlase | BPL | 8.7 / 4.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 40 / 25 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Serong | R | 29.0 / 32.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 4.6 / 8.0 | 97 / 124 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 26.2 / 25.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 10.0 | 102 / 103 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 24.8 / 18.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 4.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 92 / 69 |
| Shai Bolton | HFFL | 23.0 / 21.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 80 / 66 |
| Neil Erasmus | INT | 21.6 / 20.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 | 76 / 65 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 20.9 / 10.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.9 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 85 / 36 |
| Matthew Johnson | WR | 19.9 / 20.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 74 / 72 |
| Luke Jackson | RR | 19.7 / 20.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 1.0 | 4.2 / 7.0 | 95 / 97 |
| Murphy Reid | FPR | 19.0 / 26.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 5.0 | 72 / 91 |
| Karl Worner | INT | 17.2 / 10.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 63 / 53 |
| Jaeger O'Meara | WL | 17.1 / 11.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 65 / 38 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 16.6 / 16.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 8.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 66 / 70 |
| Judd McVee | HBFR | 15.4 / 23.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 60 / 69 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 14.9 / 18.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 3.7 / 1.0 | 58 / 55 |
| Christopher Scerri | INT | 13.0 / 6.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 52 / 16 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 12.8 / 13.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 6.0 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 5.0 | 77 / 78 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 12.6 / 13.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 3.0 | 58 / 46 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 11.7 / 11.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 4.0 | 48 / 57 |
| Patrick Voss | CHF | 11.4 / 13.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 3.8 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 59 / 76 |
| Sean Darcy | RK | 11.0 / 7.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 2.7 / 1.0 | 68 / 46 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 10.9 / 9.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 6.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 46 / 46 |
| Jye Amiss | FPL | 9.9 / 10.0 | 1.8 / 4.0 | 3.5 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 52 / 64 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 9.7 / 12.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 46 / 40 |