AFL · ROUND 4 · GABBA
Brisbane Lions v Collingwood
Thu 2 Apr 2026, 6:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 11
BRI to win, 65% chance
BRI 65%35% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 54
HIT Actual margin 54 · 43.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashcroft | C | 28.7 / 36.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 4.4 / 6.0 | 3.9 / 1.0 | 102 / 127 |
| Lachie Neale | R | 28.1 / 29.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 8.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 100 / 119 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 27.9 / 28.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 7.3 / 9.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 106 / 116 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 24.0 / 23.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 5.0 | 6.1 / 3.0 | 100 / 79 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 22.7 / 21.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 6.5 / 7.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 90 / 77 |
| Zac Bailey | INT | 22.4 / 25.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 4.7 / 7.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 | 89 / 112 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | CHB | 21.6 / 27.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.0 / 10.0 | 2.1 / 0.0 | 85 / 97 |
| Jarrod Berry | WR | 21.2 / 20.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 6.0 | 2.7 / 3.0 | 83 / 84 |
| Keidean Coleman | BPL | 18.8 / 22.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 10.0 | 2.0 / 5.0 | 74 / 109 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 18.1 / 25.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 7.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 69 / 91 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 15.6 / 17.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 6.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 72 / 68 |
| Bruce Reville | WL | 15.5 / 15.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 8.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 63 / 78 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 14.8 / 19.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.6 / 9.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 64 / 81 |
| Kai Lohmann | INT | 13.4 / 13.0 | 1.5 / 4.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 | 64 / 75 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 13.4 / 18.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 6.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 79 / 69 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 12.5 / 5.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 52 / 28 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 12.2 / 11.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 3.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 63 / 45 |
| Darragh Joyce | FB | 12.0 / 10.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 7.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 54 / 50 |
| Lincoln McCarthy | INT | 11.4 / 10.0 | 1.1 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 6.0 | 2.5 / 0.0 | 55 / 59 |
| Oscar Allen | CHF | 11.0 / 9.0 | 1.4 / 3.0 | 4.0 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 54 / 65 |
| Logan Morris | INT | 10.9 / 20.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 4.2 / 9.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 60 / 103 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 10.4 / 13.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 76 / 48 |
| Ty Gallop | FPR | 9.4 / 9.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 8.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 47 / 48 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | C | 33.6 / - | 0.7 / - | 4.2 / - | 3.8 / - | 111 / - |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 29.2 / 25.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.7 / 2.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 98 / 78 |
| Dan Houston | HBFL | 22.0 / 32.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 6.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 78 / 106 |
| Jack Crisp | WL | 21.4 / 15.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 5.0 | 4.4 / 7.0 | 81 / 82 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WR | 19.2 / 11.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 3.0 | 2.9 / 0.0 | 70 / 35 |
| Jordan De Goey | CHF | 18.5 / 15.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 5.0 | 2.5 / 3.0 | 68 / 70 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPR | 18.3 / 24.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 70 / 80 |
| Ned Long | RR | 17.5 / 22.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 5.9 / 3.0 | 75 / 67 |
| Patrick Lipinski | R | 17.4 / 12.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 68 / 38 |
| Harry Perryman | HBFR | 16.9 / 12.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 4.0 | 64 / 50 |
| Darcy Cameron | INT | 16.8 / 9.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 84 / 50 |
| Isaac Quaynor | INT | 15.6 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 61 / 40 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFL | 14.4 / 10.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 4.7 / 2.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 68 / 51 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 14.2 / 12.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 62 / 42 |
| Lachlan Sullivan | INT | 13.4 / 11.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 0.0 | 54 / 37 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 11.8 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 52 / 53 |
| Roan Steele | INT | 11.7 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 5.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 49 / 53 |
| Jamie Elliott | FPL | 11.6 / 10.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 4.9 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 61 / 49 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 11.2 / 6.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 4.0 | 42 / 40 |
| Oscar Steene | RK | 10.0 / 10.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 52 / 46 |
| Tim Membrey | FF | 9.2 / 9.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 49 / 44 |
| Daniel McStay | FPR | 9.1 / 8.0 | 1.0 / 4.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 50 / 61 |
| William Hayes | INT | 8.7 / 5.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 3.0 | 2.1 / 0.0 | 43 / 21 |