Melbourne v Gold Coast SUNS

Sun 5 Apr 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIP

GCS by 15

GCS to win, 78% chance

MEL 22%78% GCS

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

MEL by 20

MISS Actual margin 20 · 35.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Melbourne

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Christian Salem	HBFR	25.4	-	-	99%	88%	56%	21%	4%	22.0
Jack Steele	C	23.8	-	-	98%	81%	43%	12%	2%	26.0
Max Gawn	RK	21.4	-	-	94%	65%	24%	4%	0%	22.0
Kysaiah Pickett	FPR	19.4	-	-	87%	48%	13%	2%	0%	25.0
Caleb Windsor	WR	17.9	-	-	78%	34%	6%	0%	0%	17.0
Xavier Lindsay	HBFL	17.9	-	-	78%	34%	6%	1%	0%	16.0
Harvey Langford	INT	17.7	-	-	77%	32%	6%	0%	0%	10.0
Ed Langdon	HFFR	16.7	-	-	70%	24%	4%	0%	0%	15.0
Kade Chandler	INT	15.3	-	-	56%	14%	1%	0%	0%	16.0
Tom Sparrow	RR	15.3	-	-	56%	14%	1%	0%	0%	21.0
Latrelle Pickett	HFFL	14.6	-	-	49%	10%	1%	0%	0%	13.0
Daniel Turner	INT	13.7	-	-	40%	6%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Jake Lever	FB	13.6	-	-	39%	6%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Tom McDonald	CHB	13.5	-	-	38%	6%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Blake Howes	BPR	13.1	-	-	34%	5%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Jai Culley	R	13.1	-	-	33%	4%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Jacob van Rooyen	CHF	12.1	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Harry Sharp	WL	11.9	-	-	22%	2%	0%	0%	0%	16.0
Koltyn Tholstrup	INT	11.9	-	-	22%	2%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Harrison Petty	BPL	11.4	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Bailey Laurie	FPL	11.2	-	-	16%	1%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Brody Mihocek	FF	10.8	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Jake Melksham	INT	10.6	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	11.0

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Noah Anderson	RR	29.6	-	-	100%	97%	82%	50%	18%	22.0
John Noble	HBFL	25.6	-	-	99%	89%	57%	22%	4%	26.0
Touk Miller	CHF	25.4	-	-	99%	88%	56%	21%	4%	21.0
Matt Rowell	R	25.0	-	-	99%	87%	53%	18%	3%	13.0
Joel Jeffrey	INT	20.6	-	-	92%	58%	19%	3%	0%	16.0
Wil Powell	C	20.4	-	-	91%	56%	18%	3%	0%	15.0
Bodhi Uwland	CHB	20.2	-	-	90%	54%	17%	2%	0%	24.0
Daniel Rioli	HBFR	19.4	-	-	87%	48%	12%	2%	0%	23.0
Lachie Weller	WL	17.1	-	-	73%	27%	4%	0%	0%	14.0
Sam Clohesy	INT	17.0	-	-	72%	26%	4%	0%	0%	17.0
Mac Andrew	BPR	16.4	-	-	67%	22%	3%	0%	0%	12.0
Lachlan Gulbin	INT	14.3	-	-	46%	9%	1%	0%	0%	22.0
Zeke Uwland	WR	14.3	-	-	46%	9%	1%	0%	0%	16.0
Jarrod Witts	RK	13.7	-	-	40%	7%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Will Graham	HFFR	13.0	-	-	33%	4%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Sam Collins	FB	12.5	-	-	28%	3%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Charlie Ballard	BPL	12.1	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Jake Rogers	INT	12.0	-	-	23%	2%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Ethan Read	FPL	10.9	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Leonardo Lombard	FPR	10.8	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	18.0
Ben Long	HFFL	9.7	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Ben King	FF	9.6	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Jed Walter	INT	7.7	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	10.0