AFL · ROUND 4 · MCG
Melbourne v Gold Coast SUNS
Sun 5 Apr 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GCS by 15
GCS to win, 78% chance
MEL 22%78% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
MEL by 20
MISS Actual margin 20 · 35.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Salem | HBFR | 25.4 / 22.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 6.7 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 95 / 75 |
| Jack Steele | C | 23.8 / 26.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 5.0 | 6.5 / 8.0 | 104 / 112 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 21.4 / 22.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 6.0 / 5.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 113 / 121 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | FPR | 19.4 / 25.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 3.9 / 5.0 | 82 / 98 |
| Caleb Windsor | WR | 17.9 / 17.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 7.0 | 67 / 71 |
| Xavier Lindsay | HBFL | 17.9 / 16.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 65 / 54 |
| Harvey Langford | INT | 17.7 / 10.0 | 0.4 / 2.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 65 / 49 |
| Ed Langdon | HFFR | 16.7 / 15.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 7.0 | 2.4 / 0.0 | 66 / 60 |
| Kade Chandler | INT | 15.3 / 16.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 3.5 / 6.0 | 66 / 67 |
| Tom Sparrow | RR | 15.3 / 21.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 4.0 / 10.0 | 62 / 102 |
| Latrelle Pickett | HFFL | 14.6 / 13.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 56 / 45 |
| Daniel Turner | INT | 13.7 / 11.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 6.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 57 / 56 |
| Jake Lever | FB | 13.6 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 9.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 57 / 74 |
| Tom McDonald | CHB | 13.5 / 11.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 1.4 / 0.0 | 52 / 41 |
| Blake Howes | BPR | 13.1 / 12.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 51 / 41 |
| Jai Culley | R | 13.1 / 9.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 2.7 / 1.0 | 57 / 43 |
| Jacob van Rooyen | CHF | 12.1 / 14.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 4.4 / 6.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 60 / 70 |
| Harry Sharp | WL | 11.9 / 16.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 3.1 / 6.0 | 2.2 / 5.0 | 52 / 82 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | INT | 11.9 / 15.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.7 / 4.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 52 / 61 |
| Harrison Petty | BPL | 11.4 / 6.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 4.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 55 / 42 |
| Bailey Laurie | FPL | 11.2 / 12.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 50 / 39 |
| Brody Mihocek | FF | 10.8 / 6.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 4.3 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 59 / 47 |
| Jake Melksham | INT | 10.6 / 11.0 | 1.6 / 4.0 | 3.8 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 56 / 62 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 29.6 / 22.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 5.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 102 / 77 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 25.6 / 26.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 3.0 | 92 / 94 |
| Touk Miller | CHF | 25.4 / 21.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 92 / 69 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 25.0 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 6.5 / 3.0 | 94 / 43 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 20.6 / 16.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 5.2 / 6.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 76 / 68 |
| Wil Powell | C | 20.4 / 15.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 4.9 / 5.0 | 4.0 / 7.0 | 78 / 89 |
| Bodhi Uwland | CHB | 20.2 / 24.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 78 / 85 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFR | 19.4 / 23.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 6.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 69 / 81 |
| Lachie Weller | WL | 17.1 / 14.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 5.0 | 62 / 63 |
| Sam Clohesy | INT | 17.0 / 17.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 5.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 70 / 75 |
| Mac Andrew | BPR | 16.4 / 12.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 3.0 | 65 / 58 |
| Lachlan Gulbin | INT | 14.3 / 22.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 8.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 54 / 85 |
| Zeke Uwland | WR | 14.3 / 16.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 54 / 65 |
| Jarrod Witts | RK | 13.7 / 8.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 90 / 40 |
| Will Graham | HFFR | 13.0 / 15.0 | 0.9 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 5.0 | 3.7 / 6.0 | 57 / 78 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 12.5 / 14.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 54 / 49 |
| Charlie Ballard | BPL | 12.1 / 10.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 50 / 37 |
| Jake Rogers | INT | 12.0 / 8.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 0.0 | 1.9 / 5.0 | 52 / 39 |
| Ethan Read | FPL | 10.9 / 9.0 | 1.2 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 2.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 56 / 52 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPR | 10.8 / 18.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 54 / 47 |
| Ben Long | HFFL | 9.7 / 8.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 54 / 26 |
| Ben King | FF | 9.6 / 10.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 4.3 / 6.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 58 / 60 |
| Jed Walter | INT | 7.7 / 10.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.7 / 7.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 41 / 71 |