AFL · ROUND 4 · MCG
Richmond v Port Adelaide
Sat 4 Apr 2026, 4:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
PA by 8
PA to win, 62% chance
RIC 38%62% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 42
HIT Actual margin 42 · 33.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Taranto | RR | 26.6 / 20.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 5.0 / 4.0 | 96 / 68 |
| Jacob Hopper | R | 25.9 / 22.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 3.1 / 0.0 | 86 / 53 |
| Jayden Short | CHB | 23.3 / 22.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.9 / 6.0 | 1.8 / 3.0 | 90 / 98 |
| Sam Banks | HBFL | 22.8 / 20.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 5.2 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 85 / 72 |
| Jack Ross | CHF | 22.7 / 15.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 2.0 | 4.5 / 6.0 | 87 / 64 |
| Dion Prestia | C | 21.2 / 24.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 6.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 77 / 96 |
| Kane McAuliffe | WL | 18.8 / 16.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 5.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 68 / 75 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFR | 18.4 / 11.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.0 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 75 / 34 |
| Tyler Sonsie | WR | 16.7 / 20.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 6.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 65 / 77 |
| Luke Trainor | BPR | 15.5 / 14.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 59 / 62 |
| Sam Grlj | INT | 14.9 / 19.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 5.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 57 / 74 |
| Seth Campbell | HFFL | 14.6 / 10.0 | 1.2 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 2.6 / 3.0 | 65 / 50 |
| Sam Lalor | FF | 13.6 / 12.0 | 0.8 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 5.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 60 / 62 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 13.5 / 19.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.4 / 11.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 58 / 88 |
| Liam Fawcett | INT | 13.4 / 8.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 54 / 59 |
| Nathan Broad | INT | 13.1 / 9.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.7 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 56 / 39 |
| Tom Brown | BPL | 13.1 / 10.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 1.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 58 / 30 |
| Samson Ryan | RK | 9.9 / 9.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 2.1 / 0.0 | 62 / 40 |
| Maurice Rioli | INT | 9.4 / 10.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 49 / 46 |
| Campbell Gray | INT | 9.2 / 14.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 5.0 | 52 / 72 |
| Steely Green | HFFR | 8.9 / 14.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 2.3 / 6.0 | 44 / 77 |
| Jonty Faull | FPL | 8.6 / 6.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 50 / 29 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FPR | 7.8 / 4.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 48 / 34 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 30.7 / 30.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 5.0 / 0.0 | 107 / 84 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 24.6 / 11.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 4.4 / 2.0 | 87 / 35 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 21.6 / 24.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 3.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 78 / 79 |
| Willem Drew | R | 21.3 / 11.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 5.3 / 6.0 | 82 / 58 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 20.8 / 18.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 4.1 / 7.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 86 / 81 |
| Jase Burgoyne | BPL | 18.4 / 23.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 4.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 73 / 71 |
| Miles Bergman | BPR | 18.3 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 5.0 | 3.7 / 1.0 | 78 / 51 |
| Logan Evans | HBFL | 17.0 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 65 / 49 |
| Jack Watkins | INT | 16.9 / 8.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 65 / 21 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 16.3 / 9.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 1.0 | 2.3 / 2.0 | 63 / 31 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 15.7 / 18.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 67 / 77 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 14.6 / 23.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.7 / 8.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 64 / 79 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 14.1 / 13.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 55 / 52 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 14.0 / 15.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 2.3 / 5.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 86 / 98 |
| Lachie Jones | FB | 13.0 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 53 / 47 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 13.0 / 3.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 5.0 | 52 / 31 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | FPL | 12.8 / 26.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 10.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 58 / 107 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 12.1 / 12.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 5.2 / 6.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 70 / 59 |
| Jack Lukosius | HFFL | 11.4 / 13.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 4.7 / 6.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 62 / 71 |
| Corey Durdin | INT | 11.3 / 7.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 58 / 42 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 11.1 / 12.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 2.3 / 2.0 | 49 / 49 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 10.7 / 14.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 45 / 52 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 9.0 / 11.0 | 1.3 / 2.0 | 3.1 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 46 / 63 |