HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 4WCE v SYD
AFL · ROUND 4 · OPTUS STADIUM

West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans

Sat 4 Apr 2026, 4:35pm AWST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

SYD by 32

SYD to win, 86% chance

WCE 14%86% SYD
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 128

HIT Actual margin 128 · 95.8 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 15+20+25+30+35+ ACTUAL
Harley Reid RR 23.1 - - 97%77%37%10%1% 17.0
Tim Kelly R 20.9 - - 93%61%21%4%0% 24.0
Liam Baker HBFR 20.4 - - 91%56%18%3%0% 14.0
Liam Duggan BPL 20.0 - - 90%53%16%2%0% 19.0
Jack Graham C 19.9 - - 89%52%15%2%0% 19.0
Tom McCarthy WR 19.5 - - 88%49%13%2%0% 19.0
Harry Schoenberg INT 16.6 - - 69%23%3%0%0% 8.0
Brady Hough BPR 15.7 - - 60%17%2%0%0% 21.0
Hamish Davis HFFR 14.8 - - 52%12%1%0%0% 13.0
Cooper Duff-Tytler FPL 13.4 - - 37%6%0%0%0% 9.0
Malakai Champion INT 13.4 - - 37%6%0%0%0% 5.0
Willem Duursma HFFL 13.3 - - 36%5%0%0%0% 16.0
Reuben Ginbey CHB 12.6 - - 29%3%0%0%0% 11.0
Tylar Young FB 12.1 - - 24%2%0%0%0% 8.0
Matt Flynn RK 12.0 - - 23%2%0%0%0% 9.0
Bo Allan WL 11.8 - - 21%2%0%0%0% 14.0
Jake Waterman FF 11.4 - - 17%1%0%0%0% 7.0
Jamie Cripps FPR 11.3 - - 17%1%0%0%0% 9.0
Josh Lindsay HBFL 10.7 - - 12%1%0%0%0% 17.0
Sandy Brock INT 10.7 - - 13%1%0%0%0% 8.0
Matthew Owies INT 9.6 - - 6%0%0%0%0% 5.0
Jobe Shanahan CHF 9.5 - - 6%0%0%0%0% 9.0
Archer Reid INT 8.0 - - 2%0%0%0%0% 8.0

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 15+20+25+30+35+ ACTUAL
Callum Mills BPR 22.6 - - 96%74%33%8%1% 18.0
Justin McInerney INT 21.4 - - 94%65%25%5%0% 24.0
Nick Blakey CHB 21.4 - - 94%65%24%4%0% 20.0
Isaac Heeney C 21.1 - - 93%63%23%4%0% 26.0
Chad Warner RR 20.6 - - 92%59%20%3%0% 24.0
Matt Roberts WR 18.5 - - 82%39%8%1%0% 17.0
Angus Sheldrick R 17.4 - - 75%30%5%0%0% 25.0
Brodie Grundy RK 17.4 - - 75%30%5%0%0% 28.0
Jake Lloyd FPR 16.7 - - 70%24%3%0%0% 19.0
James Rowbottom HFFR 16.4 - - 67%21%3%0%0% 20.0
Riley Bice HBFL 16.0 - - 63%18%2%0%0% 27.0
Tom McCartin FB 15.7 - - 60%16%2%0%0% 16.0
Tom Papley CHF 14.7 - - 51%11%1%0%0% 24.0
James Jordon INT 14.4 - - 47%9%1%0%0% 17.0
Sam Wicks INT 14.2 - - 45%8%1%0%0% 21.0
Dane Rampe HBFR 13.4 - - 36%5%0%0%0% 12.0
Jai Serong WL 13.3 - - 36%5%0%0%0% 27.0
Corey Warner INT 12.1 - - 24%2%0%0%0% 12.0
Charlie Curnow FF 10.9 - - 14%1%0%0%0% 10.0
Logan McDonald INT 10.4 - - 11%0%0%0%0% 10.0
Malcolm Rosas HFFL 9.4 - - 6%0%0%0%0% -
Lewis Melican BPL 9.2 - - 5%0%0%0%0% 8.0
Joel Amartey FPL 9.1 - - 4%0%0%0%0% 10.0