AFL · ROUND 4 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans
Sat 4 Apr 2026, 4:35pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 32
SYD to win, 86% chance
WCE 14%86% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 128
HIT Actual margin 128 · 95.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 23.1 | - | - | 97% | 77% | 37% | 10% | 1% | 17.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 20.9 | - | - | 93% | 61% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 24.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 20.4 | - | - | 91% | 56% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 14.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 20.0 | - | - | 90% | 53% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 19.0 |
| Jack Graham | C | 19.9 | - | - | 89% | 52% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 19.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | WR | 19.5 | - | - | 88% | 49% | 13% | 2% | 0% | 19.0 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 16.6 | - | - | 69% | 23% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 15.7 | - | - | 60% | 17% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 21.0 |
| Hamish Davis | HFFR | 14.8 | - | - | 52% | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPL | 13.4 | - | - | 37% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 |
| Malakai Champion | INT | 13.4 | - | - | 37% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 13.3 | - | - | 36% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | CHB | 12.6 | - | - | 29% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11.0 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 12.1 | - | - | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 12.0 | - | - | 23% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 |
| Bo Allan | WL | 11.8 | - | - | 21% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 11.4 | - | - | 17% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 11.3 | - | - | 17% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | HBFL | 10.7 | - | - | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17.0 |
| Sandy Brock | INT | 10.7 | - | - | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 |
| Matthew Owies | INT | 9.6 | - | - | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 9.5 | - | - | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 |
| Archer Reid | INT | 8.0 | - | - | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Mills | BPR | 22.6 | - | - | 96% | 74% | 33% | 8% | 1% | 18.0 |
| Justin McInerney | INT | 21.4 | - | - | 94% | 65% | 25% | 5% | 0% | 24.0 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 21.4 | - | - | 94% | 65% | 24% | 4% | 0% | 20.0 |
| Isaac Heeney | C | 21.1 | - | - | 93% | 63% | 23% | 4% | 0% | 26.0 |
| Chad Warner | RR | 20.6 | - | - | 92% | 59% | 20% | 3% | 0% | 24.0 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 18.5 | - | - | 82% | 39% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 17.0 |
| Angus Sheldrick | R | 17.4 | - | - | 75% | 30% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 25.0 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 17.4 | - | - | 75% | 30% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 28.0 |
| Jake Lloyd | FPR | 16.7 | - | - | 70% | 24% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 19.0 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFR | 16.4 | - | - | 67% | 21% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 20.0 |
| Riley Bice | HBFL | 16.0 | - | - | 63% | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 27.0 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 15.7 | - | - | 60% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 16.0 |
| Tom Papley | CHF | 14.7 | - | - | 51% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 24.0 |
| James Jordon | INT | 14.4 | - | - | 47% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 17.0 |
| Sam Wicks | INT | 14.2 | - | - | 45% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 21.0 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFR | 13.4 | - | - | 36% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 13.3 | - | - | 36% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27.0 |
| Corey Warner | INT | 12.1 | - | - | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 10.9 | - | - | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 10.4 | - | - | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Malcolm Rosas | HFFL | 9.4 | - | - | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Lewis Melican | BPL | 9.2 | - | - | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 9.1 | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |