AFL · ROUND 4 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans
Sat 4 Apr 2026, 4:35pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 32
SYD to win, 86% chance
WCE 14%86% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 128
HIT Actual margin 128 · 95.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 87 | - | - | 79% | 63% | 44% | 27% | 14% | 41 |
| Jack Graham | C | 82 | - | - | 71% | 54% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 58 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 80 | - | - | 69% | 50% | 32% | 18% | 8% | 74 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 78 | - | - | 64% | 46% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 61 |
| Tom McCarthy | WR | 78 | - | - | 64% | 46% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 77 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 75 | - | - | 60% | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 30 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 75 | - | - | 59% | 40% | 23% | 12% | 5% | 87 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 69 | - | - | 48% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 24 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 68 | - | - | 45% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 32 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 66 | - | - | 42% | 25% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 81 |
| Hamish Davis | HFFR | 61 | - | - | 34% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 51 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 58 | - | - | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 26 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPL | 54 | - | - | 22% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 34 |
| Malakai Champion | INT | 54 | - | - | 22% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 35 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 54 | - | - | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 63 |
| Matthew Owies | INT | 52 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 36 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 33 |
| Reuben Ginbey | CHB | 51 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 32 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 50 | - | - | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 51 |
| Archer Reid | INT | 46 | - | - | 13% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 41 |
| Bo Allan | WL | 45 | - | - | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 33 |
| Sandy Brock | INT | 44 | - | - | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 38 |
| Josh Lindsay | HBFL | 43 | - | - | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 55 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 95 | - | - | 88% | 76% | 60% | 41% | 24% | 137 |
| Isaac Heeney | C | 85 | - | - | 76% | 59% | 41% | 24% | 12% | 126 |
| Callum Mills | BPR | 83 | - | - | 72% | 55% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 75 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 82 | - | - | 72% | 54% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 59 |
| Justin McInerney | INT | 80 | - | - | 68% | 50% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 96 |
| Chad Warner | RR | 78 | - | - | 66% | 47% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 85 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFR | 77 | - | - | 63% | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 82 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 73 | - | - | 56% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 56 |
| Jake Lloyd | FPR | 69 | - | - | 47% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 98 |
| Angus Sheldrick | R | 67 | - | - | 45% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 93 |
| Tom Papley | CHF | 65 | - | - | 40% | 23% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 118 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 62 | - | - | 36% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 71 |
| Riley Bice | HBFL | 60 | - | - | 31% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 108 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 59 | - | - | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 61 |
| James Jordon | INT | 58 | - | - | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 87 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 56 | - | - | 25% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 55 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFR | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 44 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 52 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 105 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 67 |
| Sam Wicks | INT | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 75 |
| Corey Warner | INT | 51 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 42 |
| Malcolm Rosas | HFFL | 46 | - | - | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Lewis Melican | BPL | 39 | - | - | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 31 |