AFL · ROUND 4 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans
Sat 4 Apr 2026, 4:35pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 32
SYD to win, 86% chance
WCE 14%86% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 128
HIT Actual margin 128 · 95.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 2.4 | - | - | 91% | 70% | 44% | 23% | 10% | 1.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 1.3 | - | - | 74% | 39% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 0.0 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 1.2 | - | - | 70% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0.0 |
| Archer Reid | INT | 1.1 | - | - | 66% | 30% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Matthew Owies | INT | 0.9 | - | - | 61% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 0.7 | - | - | 51% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPL | 0.6 | - | - | 46% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Malakai Champion | INT | 0.6 | - | - | 46% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 0.5 | - | - | 36% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 0.5 | - | - | 37% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 0.4 | - | - | 32% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jack Graham | C | 0.4 | - | - | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 0.4 | - | - | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Hamish Davis | HFFR | 0.3 | - | - | 26% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | HBFL | 0.3 | - | - | 27% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 0.2 | - | - | 22% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | WR | 0.2 | - | - | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Bo Allan | WL | 0.1 | - | - | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 0.1 | - | - | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 0.1 | - | - | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | CHB | 0.0 | - | - | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Sandy Brock | INT | 0.0 | - | - | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 0.0 | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 1.9 | - | - | 85% | 57% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 4.0 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 1.9 | - | - | 86% | 58% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 2.0 |
| Isaac Heeney | C | 1.5 | - | - | 77% | 42% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 4.0 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 1.3 | - | - | 72% | 37% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 0.0 |
| Tom Papley | CHF | 1.3 | - | - | 74% | 39% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Malcolm Rosas | HFFL | 1.1 | - | - | 67% | 31% | 10% | 3% | 1% | - |
| Chad Warner | RR | 0.8 | - | - | 53% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Justin McInerney | INT | 0.7 | - | - | 48% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Corey Warner | INT | 0.6 | - | - | 44% | 12% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jake Lloyd | FPR | 0.5 | - | - | 37% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Angus Sheldrick | R | 0.4 | - | - | 36% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 0.4 | - | - | 30% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFR | 0.4 | - | - | 36% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| James Jordon | INT | 0.3 | - | - | 24% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 0.3 | - | - | 24% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 0.3 | - | - | 27% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Callum Mills | BPR | 0.1 | - | - | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 0.1 | - | - | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Riley Bice | HBFL | 0.1 | - | - | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Sam Wicks | INT | 0.1 | - | - | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFR | 0.0 | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Lewis Melican | BPL | 0.0 | - | - | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 0.0 | - | - | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |