HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 4WCE v SYD
AFL · ROUND 4 · OPTUS STADIUM

West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans

Sat 4 Apr 2026, 4:35pm AWST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

SYD by 32

SYD to win, 86% chance

WCE 14%86% SYD
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 128

HIT Actual margin 128 · 95.8 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 3+4+5+6+7+ ACTUAL
Jack Graham C 6.0 - - 94%85%72%56%40% 3.0
Harley Reid RR 4.0 - - 76%57%37%22%11% 0.0
Tim Kelly R 3.5 - - 67%46%27%14%6% 3.0
Harry Schoenberg INT 3.3 - - 64%42%24%12%5% 3.0
Liam Baker HBFR 3.2 - - 62%40%22%10%4% 1.0
Tom McCarthy WR 2.8 - - 54%31%16%7%2% 2.0
Matt Flynn RK 2.6 - - 49%27%13%5%2% 1.0
Brady Hough BPR 2.5 - - 45%24%11%4%1% 0.0
Hamish Davis HFFR 2.5 - - 46%25%11%4%2% 0.0
Jamie Cripps FPR 2.3 - - 41%21%9%3%1% 1.0
Willem Duursma HFFL 2.2 - - 39%19%8%3%1% 0.0
Archer Reid INT 2.0 - - 33%15%6%2%0% 1.0
Cooper Duff-Tytler FPL 2.0 - - 31%13%5%2%0% 3.0
Josh Lindsay HBFL 2.0 - - 32%14%5%2%0% 2.0
Liam Duggan BPL 2.0 - - 32%14%5%2%0% 0.0
Malakai Champion INT 2.0 - - 31%13%5%2%0% 4.0
Matthew Owies INT 2.0 - - 34%15%6%2%0% 4.0
Bo Allan WL 1.9 - - 30%13%5%1%0% 1.0
Reuben Ginbey CHB 1.9 - - 30%13%5%1%0% 0.0
Jobe Shanahan CHF 1.8 - - 26%10%3%1%0% 2.0
Jake Waterman FF 1.7 - - 24%9%3%1%0% 0.0
Sandy Brock INT 1.6 - - 22%8%2%1%0% 2.0
Tylar Young FB 1.6 - - 22%8%2%1%0% 1.0

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 3+4+5+6+7+ ACTUAL
James Rowbottom HFFR 6.1 - - 94%86%73%57%41% 4.0
Isaac Heeney C 4.0 - - 76%57%38%22%11% 2.0
Chad Warner RR 3.3 - - 63%41%23%11%5% 1.0
Angus Sheldrick R 3.2 - - 62%40%22%10%4% 4.0
Brodie Grundy RK 3.2 - - 62%39%22%10%4% 5.0
James Jordon INT 2.8 - - 54%32%16%7%3% 6.0
Jai Serong WL 2.5 - - 46%24%11%4%1% 1.0
Matt Roberts WR 2.5 - - 46%25%11%4%2% 0.0
Sam Wicks INT 2.4 - - 44%22%10%4%1% 2.0
Callum Mills BPR 2.2 - - 38%18%7%2%1% 2.0
Justin McInerney INT 2.2 - - 38%18%8%3%1% 3.0
Malcolm Rosas HFFL 2.2 - - 37%18%7%2%1% -
Tom Papley CHF 2.2 - - 37%18%7%2%1% 2.0
Jake Lloyd FPR 2.1 - - 36%17%6%2%1% 3.0
Riley Bice HBFL 2.1 - - 35%16%6%2%1% 2.0
Corey Warner INT 2.0 - - 31%14%5%2%0% 3.0
Dane Rampe HBFR 2.0 - - 32%14%5%2%0% 1.0
Joel Amartey FPL 2.0 - - 32%14%5%2%0% 1.0
Lewis Melican BPL 1.9 - - 28%12%4%1%0% 1.0
Charlie Curnow FF 1.7 - - 25%10%3%1%0% 0.0
Logan McDonald INT 1.7 - - 24%10%3%1%0% 2.0
Nick Blakey CHB 1.7 - - 25%10%3%1%0% 0.0
Tom McCartin FB 1.7 - - 23%9%3%1%0% 1.0