AFL · ROUND 4 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Sydney Swans
Sat 4 Apr 2026, 4:35pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 32
SYD to win, 86% chance
WCE 14%86% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 128
HIT Actual margin 128 · 95.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Graham | C | 6.0 | - | - | 94% | 85% | 72% | 56% | 40% | 3.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 4.0 | - | - | 76% | 57% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 0.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 3.5 | - | - | 67% | 46% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 3.0 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 3.3 | - | - | 64% | 42% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 3.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 3.2 | - | - | 62% | 40% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | WR | 2.8 | - | - | 54% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 2.0 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 2.6 | - | - | 49% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 2.5 | - | - | 45% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0.0 |
| Hamish Davis | HFFR | 2.5 | - | - | 46% | 25% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0.0 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 2.3 | - | - | 41% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 2.2 | - | - | 39% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0.0 |
| Archer Reid | INT | 2.0 | - | - | 33% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPL | 2.0 | - | - | 31% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | HBFL | 2.0 | - | - | 32% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 2.0 | - | - | 32% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Malakai Champion | INT | 2.0 | - | - | 31% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 4.0 |
| Matthew Owies | INT | 2.0 | - | - | 34% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 4.0 |
| Bo Allan | WL | 1.9 | - | - | 30% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | CHB | 1.9 | - | - | 30% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 1.8 | - | - | 26% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 1.7 | - | - | 24% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Sandy Brock | INT | 1.6 | - | - | 22% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 1.6 | - | - | 22% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Rowbottom | HFFR | 6.1 | - | - | 94% | 86% | 73% | 57% | 41% | 4.0 |
| Isaac Heeney | C | 4.0 | - | - | 76% | 57% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 2.0 |
| Chad Warner | RR | 3.3 | - | - | 63% | 41% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 1.0 |
| Angus Sheldrick | R | 3.2 | - | - | 62% | 40% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 4.0 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 3.2 | - | - | 62% | 39% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 5.0 |
| James Jordon | INT | 2.8 | - | - | 54% | 32% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 6.0 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 2.5 | - | - | 46% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 1.0 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 2.5 | - | - | 46% | 25% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0.0 |
| Sam Wicks | INT | 2.4 | - | - | 44% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Callum Mills | BPR | 2.2 | - | - | 38% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Justin McInerney | INT | 2.2 | - | - | 38% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Malcolm Rosas | HFFL | 2.2 | - | - | 37% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Tom Papley | CHF | 2.2 | - | - | 37% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Jake Lloyd | FPR | 2.1 | - | - | 36% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Riley Bice | HBFL | 2.1 | - | - | 35% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Corey Warner | INT | 2.0 | - | - | 31% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFR | 2.0 | - | - | 32% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 2.0 | - | - | 32% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Lewis Melican | BPL | 1.9 | - | - | 28% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 1.7 | - | - | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 1.7 | - | - | 24% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 1.7 | - | - | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 1.7 | - | - | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |