AFL · ROUND 4 · MARVEL STADIUM
Western Bulldogs v Essendon
Sun 5 Apr 2026, 7:20pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WB by 34
WB to win, 94% chance
WB 94%6% ESS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 34
HIT Actual margin 34 · 0.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 28.0 / 35.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 8.0 | 5.4 / 3.0 | 107 / 130 |
| Ed Richards | R | 26.3 / - | 0.8 / - | 3.8 / - | 3.8 / - | 96 / - |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 25.1 / 22.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 88 / 71 |
| Matthew Kennedy | FPR | 24.8 / 36.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 4.1 / 5.0 | 5.0 / 1.0 | 96 / 109 |
| Bailey Williams | WR | 19.5 / 20.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 5.3 / 8.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 76 / 87 |
| Lachie Jaques | BPL | 19.5 / 17.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 69 / 67 |
| Ryley Sanders | RR | 19.2 / 34.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 6.0 | 2.6 / 5.0 | 65 / 109 |
| Joel Freijah | HFFR | 18.6 / 26.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 2.8 / 6.0 | 70 / 96 |
| Tim English | RK | 18.5 / 8.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 3.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 109 / 51 |
| Lachlan Bramble | INT | 17.7 / 17.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 4.4 / 4.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 64 / 68 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 17.5 / 21.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 6.0 | 2.3 / 2.0 | 68 / 83 |
| Sam Davidson | INT | 15.1 / 11.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 5.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 60 / 46 |
| Oskar Baker | WL | 14.7 / 24.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 9.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 62 / 94 |
| Michael Sellwood | INT | 14.6 / 7.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 56 / 26 |
| Rhylee West | HFFL | 13.8 / 19.0 | 1.4 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 67 / 57 |
| Sam Darcy | CHF | 13.7 / 15.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 4.6 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 3.0 | 72 / 94 |
| Rory Lobb | BPR | 12.1 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 10.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 49 / 76 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 11.7 / 10.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 5.2 / 6.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 70 / 67 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 10.7 / 11.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 42 / 41 |
| Josh Dolan | INT | 10.1 / 16.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 2.7 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 46 / 59 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 10.0 / 12.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 4.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 44 / 52 |
| Arthur Jones | INT | 9.7 / 10.0 | 0.5 / 3.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 2.7 / 1.0 | 44 / 62 |
| Jordan Croft | FPL | 9.1 / 8.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 0.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 45 / 28 |
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Parish | RR | 24.7 / 19.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 4.1 / 1.0 | 90 / 56 |
| Jye Caldwell | C | 23.2 / 19.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 6.0 / 5.0 | 92 / 71 |
| Archie Roberts | HBFL | 22.6 / 37.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 12.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 84 / 136 |
| Zach Merrett | R | 22.1 / 30.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 5.0 | 4.6 / 7.0 | 95 / 122 |
| Andrew McGrath | BPR | 21.4 / 23.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 6.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 78 / 80 |
| Sam Durham | HFFL | 20.5 / 12.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 4.5 / 6.0 | 78 / 52 |
| Zak Johnson | INT | 17.0 / 23.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 9.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 66 / 88 |
| Xavier Duursma | WL | 16.9 / 15.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 3.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 66 / 50 |
| Jaxon Prior | BPL | 15.8 / 22.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 7.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 63 / 82 |
| Jade Gresham | INT | 15.2 / 11.0 | 0.7 / 3.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 2.0 | 62 / 56 |
| Jacob Farrow | HBFR | 14.1 / 21.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 12.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 54 / 101 |
| Thomas Edwards | FPR | 14.1 / 10.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 54 / 52 |
| Archie Perkins | INT | 13.9 / 8.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 56 / 38 |
| Saad El-Hawli | INT | 13.9 / 13.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 0.0 | 56 / 51 |
| Zach Reid | CHB | 13.9 / 19.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 11.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 55 / 99 |
| Isaac Kako | FPL | 11.8 / 7.0 | 1.2 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 3.1 / 0.0 | 57 / 18 |
| Kyle Langford | HFFR | 11.7 / 12.0 | 1.3 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 59 / 45 |
| Archer Day-Wicks | WR | 10.7 / 10.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 6.0 | 47 / 58 |
| Matt Guelfi | INT | 10.4 / 5.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 48 / 18 |
| Peter Wright | FF | 10.3 / 10.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 4.4 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 58 / 71 |
| Ben McKay | FB | 9.6 / 4.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 3.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 41 / 21 |
| Lachlan Blakiston | RK | 9.5 / 6.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 56 / 33 |
| Archer May | CHF | 8.9 / 6.0 | 0.8 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 4.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 45 / 47 |