AFL · ROUND 5 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Collingwood v Fremantle
Fri 10 Apr 2026, 7:10pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
FRE by 4
FRE to win, 58% chance
COL 42%58% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 6
HIT Actual margin 6 · 2.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | RR | 33.3 / 31.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 4.0 | 3.6 / 1.0 | 113 / 96 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 28.1 / 23.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 99 / 76 |
| Dan Houston | HBFL | 21.1 / 14.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 7.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 80 / 59 |
| Scott Pendlebury | INT | 20.6 / 22.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 4.0 | 3.3 / 4.0 | 77 / 81 |
| Jack Crisp | INT | 20.4 / 23.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 4.7 / 6.0 | 4.0 / 3.0 | 84 / 97 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WR | 20.0 / 14.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 4.0 | 78 / 52 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPR | 18.3 / 17.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 9.0 | 2.0 / 6.0 | 74 / 101 |
| Jordan De Goey | CHF | 17.5 / 6.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 66 / 17 |
| Patrick Lipinski | INT | 17.3 / 17.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 69 / 61 |
| Harry Perryman | HBFR | 17.0 / 16.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 67 / 80 |
| Ned Long | R | 16.2 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 72 / 61 |
| Isaac Quaynor | INT | 16.1 / 21.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 10.0 | 1.8 / 6.0 | 65 / 110 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFR | 14.9 / 18.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 5.0 | 3.4 / 8.0 | 72 / 88 |
| Darcy Cameron | INT | 14.8 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 7.0 | 90 / 108 |
| Angus Anderson | C | 14.2 / 16.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 5.0 | 1.5 / 6.0 | 53 / 92 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFL | 14.2 / 13.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 4.0 | 3.7 / 7.0 | 60 / 74 |
| Roan Steele | WL | 12.2 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 50 / 55 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 10.8 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 8.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 47 / 66 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 10.8 / 14.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 8.0 | 1.0 / 3.0 | 48 / 77 |
| Oscar Steene | RK | 10.5 / 4.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 0.0 | 1.6 / 3.0 | 56 / 25 |
| Jamie Elliott | FPL | 10.0 / 15.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 1.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 57 / 49 |
| Daniel McStay | FPR | 9.1 / 8.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 6.0 | 51 / 66 |
| Tim Membrey | FF | 8.7 / 13.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 4.1 / 7.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 50 / 72 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Serong | R | 27.3 / 24.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 4.7 / 3.0 | 96 / 85 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 26.0 / 19.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 9.0 | 95 / 86 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 23.9 / 27.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 5.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 88 / 93 |
| Shai Bolton | HFFL | 23.5 / 17.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 84 / 64 |
| Neil Erasmus | INT | 21.6 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 75 / 59 |
| Matthew Johnson | INT | 20.1 / 10.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 3.7 / 1.0 | 3.2 / 5.0 | 74 / 51 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 19.6 / 25.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 10.0 | 1.6 / 4.0 | 77 / 121 |
| Luke Jackson | RR | 18.7 / 17.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 5.0 | 3.9 / 9.0 | 92 / 131 |
| Murphy Reid | CHF | 18.3 / 22.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 69 / 71 |
| Jaeger O'Meara | WL | 16.4 / 21.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 5.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 63 / 77 |
| Corey Wagner | WR | 16.1 / 16.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 3.0 | 64 / 60 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 15.5 / 17.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 61 / 56 |
| Karl Worner | HBFR | 15.5 / 19.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 7.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 60 / 82 |
| Judd McVee | INT | 15.2 / 10.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 3.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 60 / 36 |
| Christopher Scerri | INT | 13.8 / 7.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 52 / 9 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 11.9 / 14.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 4.0 | 1.8 / 4.0 | 70 / 58 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 11.4 / 17.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 3.0 | 2.6 / 0.0 | 51 / 58 |
| Sean Darcy | RK | 11.4 / 5.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 0.0 | 70 / 17 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 11.3 / 13.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 3.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 48 / 46 |
| Patrick Voss | FPR | 10.9 / 6.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 59 / 31 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 10.4 / 8.0 | 1.1 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 4.0 | 48 / 54 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 9.8 / 14.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 5.0 | 1.1 / 2.0 | 43 / 59 |
| Jye Amiss | FPL | 8.4 / 12.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 7.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 48 / 68 |