Collingwood v Fremantle

Fri 10 Apr 2026, 7:10pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

FRE by 4

FRE to win, 58% chance

COL 42%58% FRE

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

FRE by 6

HIT Actual margin 6 · 2.0 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Collingwood

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Nick Daicos	RR	33.3	-	-	100%	100%	94%	74%	41%	31.0
Josh Daicos	CHB	28.1	-	-	100%	95%	75%	39%	12%	23.0
Dan Houston	HBFL	21.1	-	-	93%	62%	22%	4%	0%	14.0
Scott Pendlebury	INT	20.6	-	-	92%	58%	19%	3%	0%	22.0
Jack Crisp	INT	20.4	-	-	91%	56%	18%	3%	0%	23.0
Steele Sidebottom	WR	20.0	-	-	90%	53%	16%	2%	0%	14.0
Brayden Maynard	BPR	18.3	-	-	81%	38%	8%	1%	0%	17.0
Jordan De Goey	CHF	17.5	-	-	75%	30%	5%	0%	0%	6.0
Patrick Lipinski	INT	17.3	-	-	74%	29%	5%	0%	0%	17.0
Harry Perryman	HBFR	17.0	-	-	72%	27%	4%	0%	0%	16.0
Ned Long	R	16.2	-	-	65%	20%	2%	0%	0%	13.0
Isaac Quaynor	INT	16.1	-	-	64%	20%	2%	0%	0%	21.0
Lachie Schultz	HFFR	14.9	-	-	53%	12%	1%	0%	0%	18.0
Darcy Cameron	INT	14.8	-	-	52%	11%	1%	0%	0%	18.0
Angus Anderson	C	14.2	-	-	45%	8%	1%	0%	0%	16.0
Beau McCreery	HFFL	14.2	-	-	45%	8%	1%	0%	0%	13.0
Roan Steele	WL	12.2	-	-	25%	2%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Billy Frampton	BPL	10.8	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Jeremy Howe	FB	10.8	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Oscar Steene	RK	10.5	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	4.0
Jamie Elliott	FPL	10.0	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Daniel McStay	FPR	9.1	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Tim Membrey	FF	8.7	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	13.0

Fremantle

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Caleb Serong	R	27.3	-	-	100%	94%	70%	33%	9%	24.0
Andrew Brayshaw	C	26.0	-	-	99%	90%	60%	24%	5%	19.0
Jordan Clark	HBFL	23.9	-	-	98%	81%	44%	13%	2%	27.0
Shai Bolton	HFFL	23.5	-	-	98%	79%	41%	11%	2%	17.0
Neil Erasmus	INT	21.6	-	-	94%	66%	26%	5%	0%	18.0
Matthew Johnson	INT	20.1	-	-	90%	54%	16%	2%	0%	10.0
Luke Ryan	CHB	19.6	-	-	88%	49%	14%	2%	0%	25.0
Luke Jackson	RR	18.7	-	-	83%	41%	9%	1%	0%	17.0
Murphy Reid	CHF	18.3	-	-	81%	38%	8%	1%	0%	22.0
Jaeger O'Meara	WL	16.4	-	-	67%	22%	3%	0%	0%	21.0
Corey Wagner	WR	16.1	-	-	64%	20%	2%	0%	0%	16.0
Heath Chapman	BPR	15.5	-	-	59%	16%	2%	0%	0%	17.0
Karl Worner	HBFR	15.5	-	-	58%	15%	2%	0%	0%	19.0
Judd McVee	INT	15.2	-	-	56%	14%	1%	0%	0%	10.0
Christopher Scerri	INT	13.8	-	-	41%	7%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Josh Treacy	FF	11.9	-	-	22%	2%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Sam Switkowski	HFFR	11.4	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	17.0
Sean Darcy	RK	11.4	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	5.0
Brennan Cox	BPL	11.3	-	-	17%	1%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Patrick Voss	FPR	10.9	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Isaiah Dudley	INT	10.4	-	-	11%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Alex Pearce	FB	9.8	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Jye Amiss	FPL	8.4	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12.0