AFL · ROUND 5 · BAROSSA PARK
GWS GIANTS v Richmond
Sun 12 Apr 2026, 2:45pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GWS by 34
GWS to win, 94% chance
GWS 94%6% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 56
HIT Actual margin 56 · 21.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Whitfield | CHB | 104 | - | - | 95% | 88% | 75% | 58% | 39% | 109 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 103 | - | - | 94% | 86% | 73% | 56% | 37% | 111 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFL | 103 | - | - | 94% | 86% | 73% | 55% | 37% | 105 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 95 | - | - | 88% | 76% | 59% | 40% | 24% | 89 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 85 | - | - | 76% | 59% | 40% | 24% | 12% | 107 |
| Harry Himmelberg | INT | 77 | - | - | 62% | 44% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 46 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 72 | - | - | 54% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 76 |
| Jake Riccardi | INT | 72 | - | - | 54% | 36% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 67 |
| Connor Idun | FB | 70 | - | - | 49% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 57 |
| Brent Daniels | CHF | 68 | - | - | 46% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 65 |
| Stephen Coniglio | INT | 68 | - | - | 47% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 25 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 67 | - | - | 45% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 48 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 65 | - | - | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 67 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFR | 65 | - | - | 40% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 59 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 62 | - | - | 35% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 111 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | INT | 62 | - | - | 36% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 66 |
| Jesse Hogan | FPL | 60 | - | - | 32% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 65 |
| Phoenix Gothard | HFFL | 60 | - | - | 31% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 67 |
| Jack Buckley | BPR | 57 | - | - | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 57 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 57 | - | - | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 88 |
| Aaron Cadman | FPR | 56 | - | - | 26% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 70 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFR | 54 | - | - | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 75 |
| James Leake | INT | 53 | - | - | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 46 | - | - | 13% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Oliver Hannaford | INT | 45 | - | - | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 62 |
| Leek Aleer | INT | 38 | - | - | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Taranto | RR | 94 | - | - | 88% | 75% | 58% | 39% | 23% | 90 |
| Jayden Short | CHB | 89 | - | - | 81% | 66% | 47% | 30% | 16% | 79 |
| Jacob Hopper | INT | 85 | - | - | 76% | 59% | 40% | 24% | 12% | 82 |
| Jack Ross | CHF | 83 | - | - | 74% | 56% | 38% | 21% | 10% | 86 |
| Sam Banks | WL | 76 | - | - | 62% | 43% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 60 |
| Dion Prestia | C | 74 | - | - | 57% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 68 |
| Nick Vlastuin | BPL | 72 | - | - | 54% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 51 |
| Luke Trainor | INT | 69 | - | - | 49% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 31 |
| Kane McAuliffe | INT | 66 | - | - | 43% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | - |
| Tyler Sonsie | WR | 66 | - | - | 43% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 58 |
| Sam Grlj | HBFR | 64 | - | - | 38% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 58 |
| Noah Balta | BPR | 60 | - | - | 31% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 71 |
| Seth Campbell | HFFL | 60 | - | - | 32% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 69 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 58 | - | - | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 64 |
| Sam Lalor | R | 57 | - | - | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 69 |
| Nathan Broad | HBFL | 56 | - | - | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 65 |
| Tom Brown | INT | 54 | - | - | 22% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 57 |
| Liam Fawcett | FF | 52 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 43 |
| Oliver Hayes-Brown | RK | 52 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 46 |
| Patrick Retschko | INT | 52 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Zane Peucker | INT | 52 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Jonty Faull | FPL | 49 | - | - | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 8 |
| Steely Green | HFFR | 47 | - | - | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 63 |
| Maurice Rioli | INT | 46 | - | - | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 40 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FPR | 46 | - | - | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 65 |
| Campbell Gray | INT | 43 | - | - | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 25 |