HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 5GWS v RIC
AFL · ROUND 5 · BAROSSA PARK

GWS GIANTS v Richmond

Sun 12 Apr 2026, 2:45pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

GWS by 34

GWS to win, 94% chance

GWS 94%6% RIC
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GWS by 56

HIT Actual margin 56 · 21.9 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Lachie Whitfield CHB 104 - - 95%88%75%58%39% 109
Finn Callaghan R 103 - - 94%86%73%56%37% 111
Lachie Ash HBFL 103 - - 94%86%73%55%37% 105
Clayton Oliver C 95 - - 88%76%59%40%24% 89
Toby Greene RR 85 - - 76%59%40%24%12% 107
Harry Himmelberg INT 77 - - 62%44%26%13%6% 46
Harvey Thomas WR 72 - - 54%35%20%9%4% 76
Jake Riccardi INT 72 - - 54%36%20%9%4% 67
Connor Idun FB 70 - - 49%31%17%7%3% 57
Brent Daniels CHF 68 - - 46%28%15%6%2% 65
Stephen Coniglio INT 68 - - 47%29%15%7%2% 25
Ryan Angwin WL 67 - - 45%27%14%6%2% 48
Jayden Laverde BPL 65 - - 41%24%12%5%2% 67
Joe Fonti HBFR 65 - - 40%24%12%5%2% 59
Nicholas Madden RK 62 - - 35%20%9%4%1% 111
Xavier O'Halloran INT 62 - - 36%20%10%4%1% 66
Jesse Hogan FPL 60 - - 32%17%8%3%1% 65
Phoenix Gothard HFFL 60 - - 31%17%8%3%1% 67
Jack Buckley BPR 57 - - 27%14%6%2%1% 57
Jake Stringer FF 57 - - 27%14%6%2%1% 88
Aaron Cadman FPR 56 - - 26%13%5%2%0% 70
Toby Bedford HFFR 54 - - 22%10%4%1%0% 75
James Leake INT 53 - - 21%10%4%1%0% -
Josaia Delana INT 46 - - 13%6%2%0%0% -
Oliver Hannaford INT 45 - - 12%5%2%0%0% 62
Leek Aleer INT 38 - - 6%2%1%0%0% -

Richmond

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Tim Taranto RR 94 - - 88%75%58%39%23% 90
Jayden Short CHB 89 - - 81%66%47%30%16% 79
Jacob Hopper INT 85 - - 76%59%40%24%12% 82
Jack Ross CHF 83 - - 74%56%38%21%10% 86
Sam Banks WL 76 - - 62%43%26%13%6% 60
Dion Prestia C 74 - - 57%38%22%11%4% 68
Nick Vlastuin BPL 72 - - 54%35%20%9%4% 51
Luke Trainor INT 69 - - 49%31%16%7%3% 31
Kane McAuliffe INT 66 - - 43%26%13%6%2% -
Tyler Sonsie WR 66 - - 43%26%13%6%2% 58
Sam Grlj HBFR 64 - - 38%22%10%4%1% 58
Noah Balta BPR 60 - - 31%17%8%3%1% 71
Seth Campbell HFFL 60 - - 32%17%8%3%1% 69
Ben Miller FB 58 - - 29%15%7%2%1% 64
Sam Lalor R 57 - - 28%14%6%2%1% 69
Nathan Broad HBFL 56 - - 25%12%5%2%0% 65
Tom Brown INT 54 - - 22%11%4%2%0% 57
Liam Fawcett FF 52 - - 19%9%4%1%0% 43
Oliver Hayes-Brown RK 52 - - 19%9%4%1%0% 46
Patrick Retschko INT 52 - - 19%9%4%1%0% -
Zane Peucker INT 52 - - 19%9%4%1%0% -
Jonty Faull FPL 49 - - 16%7%2%1%0% 8
Steely Green HFFR 47 - - 13%6%2%1%0% 63
Maurice Rioli INT 46 - - 13%6%2%1%0% 40
Mykelti Lefau FPR 46 - - 13%6%2%1%0% 65
Campbell Gray INT 43 - - 10%4%1%0%0% 25