GWS GIANTS v Richmond

Sun 12 Apr 2026, 2:45pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

GWS by 34

GWS to win, 94% chance

GWS 94%6% RIC

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GWS by 56

HIT Actual margin 56 · 21.9 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jesse Hogan	FPL	2.0	-	-	86%	59%	32%	14%	5%	2.0
Jake Stringer	FF	1.9	-	-	85%	57%	30%	13%	4%	1.0
Aaron Cadman	FPR	1.8	-	-	83%	53%	26%	10%	3%	4.0
Jake Riccardi	INT	1.2	-	-	70%	34%	12%	4%	1%	2.0
Toby Greene	RR	1.2	-	-	69%	33%	11%	3%	1%	1.0
Phoenix Gothard	HFFL	0.8	-	-	53%	18%	4%	1%	0%	1.0
Toby Bedford	HFFR	0.8	-	-	56%	20%	5%	1%	0%	2.0
Brent Daniels	CHF	0.7	-	-	51%	16%	4%	1%	0%	3.0
James Leake	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	12%	2%	0%	0%	-
Oliver Hannaford	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	12%	2%	0%	0%	2.0
Stephen Coniglio	INT	0.6	-	-	47%	13%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Xavier O'Halloran	INT	0.6	-	-	45%	12%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Josaia Delana	INT	0.5	-	-	38%	8%	1%	0%	0%	-
Clayton Oliver	C	0.4	-	-	35%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Finn Callaghan	R	0.4	-	-	31%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Harvey Thomas	WR	0.3	-	-	29%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Nicholas Madden	RK	0.2	-	-	22%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Ryan Angwin	WL	0.2	-	-	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Harry Himmelberg	INT	0.1	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Ash	HBFL	0.1	-	-	10%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Whitfield	CHB	0.1	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Connor Idun	FB	0.0	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Buckley	BPR	0.0	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jayden Laverde	BPL	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Joe Fonti	HBFR	0.0	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Leek Aleer	INT	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-

Richmond

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jonty Faull	FPL	1.2	-	-	70%	33%	12%	3%	1%	0.0
Seth Campbell	HFFL	1.1	-	-	67%	30%	10%	2%	0%	1.0
Mykelti Lefau	FPR	0.9	-	-	58%	22%	6%	1%	0%	4.0
Sam Lalor	R	0.9	-	-	59%	23%	6%	1%	0%	1.0
Steely Green	HFFR	0.9	-	-	60%	23%	6%	1%	0%	0.0
Tim Taranto	RR	0.6	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	1.0
Liam Fawcett	FF	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	3.0
Maurice Rioli	INT	0.5	-	-	37%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Oliver Hayes-Brown	RK	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Patrick Retschko	INT	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	-
Tyler Sonsie	WR	0.5	-	-	39%	9%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Zane Peucker	INT	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	-
Dion Prestia	C	0.4	-	-	32%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Ross	CHF	0.3	-	-	28%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jacob Hopper	INT	0.3	-	-	24%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Kane McAuliffe	INT	0.3	-	-	26%	4%	0%	0%	0%	-
Noah Balta	BPR	0.2	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Banks	WL	0.2	-	-	17%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Ben Miller	FB	0.1	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Campbell Gray	INT	0.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Jayden Short	CHB	0.1	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Luke Trainor	INT	0.1	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Grlj	HBFR	0.1	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Brown	INT	0.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Nathan Broad	HBFL	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Nick Vlastuin	BPL	0.0	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0