AFL · ROUND 5 · NORWOOD OVAL
Geelong Cats v West Coast Eagles
Sun 12 Apr 2026, 12:00pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 40
GEE to win, 96% chance
GEE 96%4% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 46
HIT Actual margin 46 · 5.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 111 | - | - | 97% | 93% | 84% | 69% | 51% | 133 |
| Max Holmes | R | 105 | - | - | 95% | 88% | 76% | 59% | 40% | 107 |
| Gryan Miers | INT | 86 | - | - | 77% | 61% | 42% | 25% | 13% | 60 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 86 | - | - | 77% | 61% | 42% | 25% | 12% | 126 |
| Tom Stewart | CHB | 84 | - | - | 74% | 57% | 38% | 22% | 10% | 46 |
| James Worpel | INT | 81 | - | - | 69% | 51% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 72 |
| Jeremy Cameron | FF | 78 | - | - | 64% | 46% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 85 |
| Shaun Mannagh | HFFL | 74 | - | - | 58% | 40% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 42 |
| Jack Bowes | WL | 73 | - | - | 56% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 82 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WR | 73 | - | - | 56% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 73 |
| Tanner Bruhn | INT | 69 | - | - | 48% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 120 |
| Zach Guthrie | INT | 69 | - | - | 49% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 52 |
| Lawson Humphries | HBFL | 65 | - | - | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 75 |
| Mitch Knevitt | INT | 59 | - | - | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | - |
| Connor O'Sullivan | BPR | 58 | - | - | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 94 |
| Jack Martin | FPL | 58 | - | - | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 57 | - | - | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 67 |
| Shannon Neale | CHF | 57 | - | - | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 59 |
| Mark O'Connor | INT | 55 | - | - | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 71 |
| Jake Kolodjashnij | INT | 54 | - | - | 22% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 41 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 54 | - | - | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 43 |
| Sam De Koning | BPL | 54 | - | - | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 61 |
| Oliver Henry | FPR | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 55 |
| Jack Henry | FB | 50 | - | - | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Oliver Wiltshire | INT | 50 | - | - | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 47 |
| Oisin Mullin | HBFR | 48 | - | - | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 56 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 81 | - | - | 70% | 52% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 64 |
| Jack Graham | C | 78 | - | - | 66% | 47% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 55 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 78 | - | - | 64% | 45% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 81 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 76 | - | - | 61% | 43% | 25% | 13% | 5% | 56 |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 75 | - | - | 59% | 40% | 23% | 12% | 5% | 81 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 73 | - | - | 56% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 74 |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 72 | - | - | 54% | 36% | 20% | 9% | 4% | - |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 71 | - | - | 52% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | - |
| Elijah Hewett | HFFR | 67 | - | - | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 67 |
| Deven Robertson | R | 65 | - | - | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 59 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 63 | - | - | 38% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 67 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 61 | - | - | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 67 |
| Brady Hough | HBFL | 59 | - | - | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 40 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 59 | - | - | 30% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 63 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 59 | - | - | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 86 |
| Harry Schoenberg | FPL | 54 | - | - | 22% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 54 |
| Malakai Champion | INT | 52 | - | - | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Bailey J. Williams | INT | 50 | - | - | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 115 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 50 | - | - | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 43 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 49 | - | - | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 35 |
| Jobe Shanahan | FPR | 48 | - | - | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 68 |
| Matthew Owies | INT | 46 | - | - | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 46 |
| Reuben Ginbey | BPR | 46 | - | - | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 65 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | INT | 45 | - | - | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 17 |
| Archer Reid | CHF | 43 | - | - | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 27 |
| Sandy Brock | CHB | 42 | - | - | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 20 |