HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 5GEE v WCE
AFL · ROUND 5 · NORWOOD OVAL

Geelong Cats v West Coast Eagles

Sun 12 Apr 2026, 12:00pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

GEE by 40

GEE to win, 96% chance

GEE 96%4% WCE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GEE by 46

HIT Actual margin 46 · 5.7 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Geelong Cats

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Bailey Smith C 111 - - 97%93%84%69%51% 133
Max Holmes R 105 - - 95%88%76%59%40% 107
Gryan Miers INT 86 - - 77%61%42%25%13% 60
Tom Atkins RR 86 - - 77%61%42%25%12% 126
Tom Stewart CHB 84 - - 74%57%38%22%10% 46
James Worpel INT 81 - - 69%51%33%18%8% 72
Jeremy Cameron FF 78 - - 64%46%28%14%6% 85
Shaun Mannagh HFFL 74 - - 58%40%23%11%5% 42
Jack Bowes WL 73 - - 56%37%21%10%4% 82
Oliver Dempsey WR 73 - - 56%37%21%10%4% 73
Tanner Bruhn INT 69 - - 48%30%16%7%3% 120
Zach Guthrie INT 69 - - 49%31%16%7%3% 52
Lawson Humphries HBFL 65 - - 41%24%12%5%2% 75
Mitch Knevitt INT 59 - - 30%16%7%3%1% -
Connor O'Sullivan BPR 58 - - 28%15%6%2%1% 94
Jack Martin FPL 58 - - 28%15%6%2%1% -
Brad Close HFFR 57 - - 27%14%6%2%1% 67
Shannon Neale CHF 57 - - 28%14%6%2%1% 59
Mark O'Connor INT 55 - - 24%12%5%2%0% 71
Jake Kolodjashnij INT 54 - - 22%11%4%1%0% 41
Mitchell Edwards RK 54 - - 22%10%4%1%0% 43
Sam De Koning BPL 54 - - 22%10%4%1%0% 61
Oliver Henry FPR 52 - - 20%9%4%1%0% 55
Jack Henry FB 50 - - 17%8%3%1%0% -
Oliver Wiltshire INT 50 - - 17%8%3%1%0% 47
Oisin Mullin HBFR 48 - - 14%6%2%1%0% 56

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+ ACTUAL
Harley Reid RR 81 - - 70%52%34%19%9% 64
Jack Graham C 78 - - 66%47%29%15%7% 55
Liam Duggan BPL 78 - - 64%45%28%14%6% 81
Liam Baker HBFR 76 - - 61%43%25%13%5% 56
Tom McCarthy INT 75 - - 59%40%23%12%5% 81
Tim Kelly HFFL 73 - - 56%37%21%10%4% 74
Matt Flynn RK 72 - - 54%36%20%9%4% -
Ryan Maric INT 71 - - 52%33%18%8%3% -
Elijah Hewett HFFR 67 - - 44%27%14%6%2% 67
Deven Robertson R 65 - - 41%24%12%5%2% 59
Jake Waterman FF 63 - - 38%21%10%4%1% 67
Josh Lindsay INT 61 - - 33%18%8%3%1% 67
Brady Hough HBFL 59 - - 30%16%7%3%1% 40
Hamish Davis INT 59 - - 30%16%7%2%1% 63
Willem Duursma WL 59 - - 30%16%7%3%1% 86
Harry Schoenberg FPL 54 - - 22%11%4%1%0% 54
Malakai Champion INT 52 - - 19%9%4%1%0% -
Bailey J. Williams INT 50 - - 18%8%3%1%0% 115
Tylar Young FB 50 - - 17%8%3%1%0% 43
Bo Allan WR 49 - - 16%7%3%1%0% 35
Jobe Shanahan FPR 48 - - 15%7%2%1%0% 68
Matthew Owies INT 46 - - 12%5%2%0%0% 46
Reuben Ginbey BPR 46 - - 12%5%2%0%0% 65
Cooper Duff-Tytler INT 45 - - 12%5%2%0%0% 17
Archer Reid CHF 43 - - 10%4%1%0%0% 27
Sandy Brock CHB 42 - - 9%4%1%0%0% 20