HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 5GEE v WCE
AFL · ROUND 5 · NORWOOD OVAL

Geelong Cats v West Coast Eagles

Sun 12 Apr 2026, 12:00pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

GEE by 40

GEE to win, 96% chance

GEE 96%4% WCE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GEE by 46

HIT Actual margin 46 · 5.7 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Geelong Cats

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 1+2+3+4+5+ ACTUAL
Jeremy Cameron FF 2.4 - - 91%69%43%22%10% 3.0
Shannon Neale CHF 1.8 - - 84%54%27%11%4% 2.0
Oliver Henry FPR 1.5 - - 77%43%18%6%2% 2.0
Shaun Mannagh HFFL 1.4 - - 74%39%16%5%1% 0.0
Jack Martin FPL 1.3 - - 72%36%14%4%1% -
Oliver Dempsey WR 1.2 - - 70%34%12%3%1% 0.0
Brad Close HFFR 0.9 - - 60%24%7%2%0% 2.0
Jack Bowes WL 0.7 - - 52%17%4%1%0% 1.0
Oliver Wiltshire INT 0.6 - - 46%13%2%0%0% 1.0
Gryan Miers INT 0.5 - - 38%8%1%0%0% 0.0
Max Holmes R 0.5 - - 40%9%2%0%0% 0.0
Bailey Smith C 0.4 - - 33%6%1%0%0% 1.0
Mitch Knevitt INT 0.4 - - 35%7%1%0%0% -
James Worpel INT 0.3 - - 23%3%0%0%0% 1.0
Mitchell Edwards RK 0.3 - - 23%3%0%0%0% 0.0
Tanner Bruhn INT 0.3 - - 27%4%0%0%0% 0.0
Tom Atkins RR 0.3 - - 23%3%0%0%0% 0.0
Lawson Humphries HBFL 0.1 - - 8%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Mark O'Connor INT 0.1 - - 14%1%0%0%0% 3.0
Oisin Mullin HBFR 0.1 - - 12%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Zach Guthrie INT 0.1 - - 6%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Connor O'Sullivan BPR 0.0 - - 2%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Jack Henry FB 0.0 - - 2%0%0%0%0% -
Jake Kolodjashnij INT 0.0 - - 2%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Sam De Koning BPL 0.0 - - 4%0%0%0%0% 1.0
Tom Stewart CHB 0.0 - - 5%0%0%0%0% 0.0

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 1+2+3+4+5+ ACTUAL
Jake Waterman FF 2.1 - - 88%62%35%16%6% 1.0
Archer Reid CHF 1.0 - - 63%26%8%2%0% 0.0
Jobe Shanahan FPR 1.0 - - 62%26%8%2%0% 4.0
Matthew Owies INT 0.8 - - 55%19%5%1%0% 1.0
Bailey J. Williams INT 0.7 - - 49%15%3%0%0% 0.0
Cooper Duff-Tytler INT 0.7 - - 48%14%3%0%0% 0.0
Harley Reid RR 0.6 - - 44%12%2%0%0% 1.0
Malakai Champion INT 0.5 - - 42%10%2%0%0% -
Willem Duursma WL 0.5 - - 36%8%1%0%0% 1.0
Elijah Hewett HFFR 0.4 - - 33%6%1%0%0% 0.0
Harry Schoenberg FPL 0.4 - - 35%7%1%0%0% 1.0
Deven Robertson R 0.3 - - 23%3%0%0%0% 0.0
Hamish Davis INT 0.3 - - 24%3%0%0%0% 0.0
Tim Kelly HFFL 0.3 - - 23%3%0%0%0% 0.0
Bo Allan WR 0.2 - - 20%2%0%0%0% 0.0
Jack Graham C 0.2 - - 21%2%0%0%0% 1.0
Liam Baker HBFR 0.2 - - 19%2%0%0%0% 1.0
Matt Flynn RK 0.2 - - 20%2%0%0%0% -
Ryan Maric INT 0.2 - - 15%1%0%0%0% -
Tom McCarthy INT 0.2 - - 14%1%0%0%0% 0.0
Brady Hough HBFL 0.1 - - 6%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Josh Lindsay INT 0.1 - - 10%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Liam Duggan BPL 0.1 - - 6%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Reuben Ginbey BPR 0.0 - - 1%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Sandy Brock CHB -0.0 - - 1%0%0%0%0% 0.0
Tylar Young FB -0.0 - - 1%0%0%0%0% 0.0