AFL · ROUND 5 · BAROSSA PARK
North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
Sat 11 Apr 2026, 12:05pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 20
BRI to win, 83% chance
NM 17%83% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 26
HIT Actual margin 26 · 5.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 28.9 / 30.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 6.0 | 4.3 / 4.0 | 109 / 105 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | RR | 26.9 / 27.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 4.6 / 3.0 | 4.5 / 8.0 | 98 / 111 |
| Colby McKercher | HBFL | 25.3 / 22.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 88 / 76 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 24.8 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 89 / 56 |
| Luke Parker | INT | 24.4 / 25.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 9.0 | 3.2 / 0.0 | 92 / 90 |
| Jy Simpkin | WL | 22.0 / 27.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 4.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 83 / 98 |
| Tom Powell | C | 21.7 / 12.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 4.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 84 / 52 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 20.2 / 13.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 77 / 51 |
| George Wardlaw | INT | 18.4 / 17.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 2.0 | 4.5 / 5.0 | 76 / 71 |
| Tom Blamires | HBFR | 17.1 / 20.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 4.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 62 / 69 |
| Luke McDonald | BPL | 16.6 / 15.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.5 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 3.0 | 69 / 67 |
| Charlie Spargo | INT | 12.7 / 7.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 58 / 22 |
| Griffin Logue | FB | 12.4 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.7 / 8.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 55 / 73 |
| Charlie Comben | BPR | 12.3 / 9.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 3.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 56 / 39 |
| Paul Curtis | HFFL | 11.7 / 18.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 4.0 | 2.9 / 4.0 | 62 / 81 |
| Aidan Corr | INT | 11.0 / 11.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 48 / 46 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 10.5 / 10.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 5.1 / 5.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 57 / 62 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 10.3 / 11.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 55 / 38 |
| Zac Banch | INT | 9.9 / 5.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 49 / 21 |
| Zane Duursma | HFFR | 9.9 / 4.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 48 / 18 |
| Jack Darling | FPR | 9.3 / 12.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 53 / 64 |
| Callum Coleman-Jones | RK | 9.2 / 7.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 60 / 42 |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 8.4 / 12.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 3.6 / 8.0 | 1.5 / 3.0 | 48 / 84 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashcroft | C | 29.8 / 19.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 1.0 | 4.1 / 6.0 | 103 / 68 |
| Lachie Neale | R | 29.6 / 30.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 4.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 | 96 / 99 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 28.3 / 8.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 7.2 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 104 / 29 |
| Hugh McCluggage | INT | 24.2 / 20.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 6.0 | 4.0 / 5.0 | 95 / 91 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 24.2 / 13.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 4.0 | 5.7 / 4.0 | 97 / 59 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | CHB | 23.1 / 12.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.6 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 5.0 | 85 / 66 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 22.7 / 14.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.9 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 86 / 49 |
| Jarrod Berry | WR | 22.1 / 18.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 6.2 / 3.0 | 2.3 / 7.0 | 85 / 78 |
| Zac Bailey | INT | 21.8 / 21.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 5.0 / 4.0 | 2.7 / 5.0 | 84 / 100 |
| Keidean Coleman | BPL | 18.3 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 6.2 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 72 / 59 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 17.5 / 16.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 68 / 68 |
| Bruce Reville | WL | 16.7 / 12.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 64 / 42 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 15.7 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 7.0 / 6.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 64 / 55 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 15.0 / 17.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 68 / 74 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 14.8 / 15.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 7.0 / 6.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 63 / 57 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 13.2 / 12.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 76 / 75 |
| Kai Lohmann | INT | 12.5 / 11.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 60 / 53 |
| Logan Morris | INT | 12.0 / 7.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 61 / 42 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 11.7 / 9.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 59 / 46 |
| Lincoln McCarthy | INT | 10.8 / 12.0 | 1.1 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 52 / 58 |
| Oscar Allen | CHF | 10.8 / 8.0 | 1.3 / 3.0 | 4.2 / 4.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 54 / 66 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 10.0 / 4.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 | 71 / 50 |
| Ty Gallop | FPR | 9.9 / 6.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 43 / 36 |