North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions

Sat 11 Apr 2026, 12:05pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

BRI by 20

BRI to win, 83% chance

NM 17%83% BRI

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

BRI by 26

HIT Actual margin 26 · 5.5 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Harry Sheezel	R	28.9	-	-	100%	97%	79%	44%	15%	30.0
Luke Davies-Uniacke	RR	26.9	-	-	100%	93%	67%	30%	8%	27.0
Colby McKercher	HBFL	25.3	-	-	99%	88%	55%	20%	4%	22.0
Caleb Daniel	CHB	24.8	-	-	99%	86%	51%	17%	3%	18.0
Luke Parker	INT	24.4	-	-	98%	84%	48%	15%	2%	25.0
Jy Simpkin	WL	22.0	-	-	95%	69%	29%	6%	1%	27.0
Tom Powell	C	21.7	-	-	95%	67%	27%	5%	0%	12.0
Dylan Stephens	WR	20.2	-	-	90%	55%	17%	2%	0%	13.0
George Wardlaw	INT	18.4	-	-	82%	38%	8%	1%	0%	17.0
Tom Blamires	HBFR	17.1	-	-	73%	27%	4%	0%	0%	20.0
Luke McDonald	BPL	16.6	-	-	68%	23%	3%	0%	0%	15.0
Charlie Spargo	INT	12.7	-	-	30%	4%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Griffin Logue	FB	12.4	-	-	27%	3%	0%	0%	0%	18.0
Charlie Comben	BPR	12.3	-	-	26%	3%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Paul Curtis	HFFL	11.7	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	18.0
Aidan Corr	INT	11.0	-	-	15%	1%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Nick Larkey	FF	10.5	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Cameron Zurhaar	FPL	10.3	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Zac Banch	INT	9.9	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5.0
Zane Duursma	HFFR	9.9	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4.0
Jack Darling	FPR	9.3	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Callum Coleman-Jones	RK	9.2	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Cooper Trembath	CHF	8.4	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12.0

Brisbane Lions

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Will Ashcroft	C	29.8	-	-	100%	98%	83%	51%	19%	19.0
Lachie Neale	R	29.6	-	-	100%	97%	82%	50%	18%	30.0
Dayne Zorko	HBFR	28.3	-	-	100%	96%	76%	40%	12%	8.0
Hugh McCluggage	INT	24.2	-	-	98%	83%	46%	14%	2%	20.0
Josh Dunkley	RR	24.2	-	-	98%	83%	46%	14%	2%	13.0
Jaspa Fletcher	CHB	23.1	-	-	97%	77%	38%	10%	1%	12.0
Darcy Wilmot	HBFL	22.7	-	-	96%	75%	34%	8%	1%	14.0
Jarrod Berry	WR	22.1	-	-	95%	70%	29%	6%	1%	18.0
Zac Bailey	INT	21.8	-	-	95%	68%	27%	6%	1%	21.0
Keidean Coleman	BPL	18.3	-	-	81%	38%	8%	1%	0%	13.0
Levi Ashcroft	HFFR	17.5	-	-	76%	31%	5%	0%	0%	16.0
Bruce Reville	WL	16.7	-	-	69%	24%	3%	0%	0%	12.0
Ryan Lester	BPR	15.7	-	-	60%	17%	2%	0%	0%	12.0
Cam Rayner	FF	15.0	-	-	54%	13%	1%	0%	0%	17.0
Harris Andrews	FB	14.8	-	-	51%	11%	1%	0%	0%	15.0
Sam Draper	FPL	13.2	-	-	35%	5%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Kai Lohmann	INT	12.5	-	-	27%	3%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Logan Morris	INT	12.0	-	-	23%	2%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Charlie Cameron	HFFL	11.7	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Lincoln McCarthy	INT	10.8	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Oscar Allen	CHF	10.8	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Darcy Fort	RK	10.0	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4.0
Ty Gallop	FPR	9.9	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6.0