North Melbourne v Brisbane Lions

Sat 11 Apr 2026, 12:05pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

BRI by 20

BRI to win, 83% chance

NM 17%83% BRI

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

BRI by 26

HIT Actual margin 26 · 5.5 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Harry Sheezel	R	109	-	-	97%	91%	81%	66%	48%	105
Luke Davies-Uniacke	RR	98	-	-	91%	80%	65%	46%	28%	111
Luke Parker	INT	92	-	-	85%	71%	53%	34%	19%	90
Caleb Daniel	CHB	89	-	-	82%	66%	48%	30%	16%	56
Colby McKercher	HBFL	88	-	-	80%	64%	46%	28%	14%	76
Tom Powell	C	84	-	-	75%	58%	39%	23%	11%	52
Jy Simpkin	WL	83	-	-	73%	56%	37%	21%	10%	98
Dylan Stephens	WR	77	-	-	63%	45%	27%	14%	6%	51
George Wardlaw	INT	76	-	-	61%	42%	25%	13%	5%	71
Luke McDonald	BPL	69	-	-	48%	30%	16%	7%	3%	67
Paul Curtis	HFFL	62	-	-	35%	20%	9%	4%	1%	81
Tom Blamires	HBFR	62	-	-	36%	20%	10%	4%	1%	69
Callum Coleman-Jones	RK	60	-	-	31%	17%	8%	3%	1%	42
Charlie Spargo	INT	58	-	-	28%	14%	6%	2%	1%	22
Nick Larkey	FF	57	-	-	27%	14%	6%	2%	1%	62
Charlie Comben	BPR	56	-	-	25%	12%	5%	2%	0%	39
Cameron Zurhaar	FPL	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	38
Griffin Logue	FB	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	73
Jack Darling	FPR	53	-	-	21%	10%	4%	1%	0%	64
Zac Banch	INT	49	-	-	16%	7%	3%	1%	0%	21
Aidan Corr	INT	48	-	-	15%	6%	2%	1%	0%	46
Cooper Trembath	CHF	48	-	-	14%	6%	2%	1%	0%	84
Zane Duursma	HFFR	48	-	-	15%	7%	2%	1%	0%	18

Brisbane Lions

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Dayne Zorko	HBFR	104	-	-	95%	87%	75%	58%	39%	29
Will Ashcroft	C	103	-	-	94%	86%	72%	55%	36%	68
Josh Dunkley	RR	97	-	-	90%	79%	63%	44%	27%	59
Lachie Neale	R	96	-	-	89%	78%	61%	43%	26%	99
Hugh McCluggage	INT	95	-	-	88%	76%	59%	40%	24%	91
Darcy Wilmot	HBFL	86	-	-	77%	61%	42%	25%	12%	49
Jarrod Berry	WR	85	-	-	76%	59%	40%	24%	12%	78
Jaspa Fletcher	CHB	85	-	-	76%	59%	40%	24%	12%	66
Zac Bailey	INT	84	-	-	75%	57%	39%	22%	11%	100
Sam Draper	FPL	76	-	-	61%	42%	25%	13%	5%	75
Keidean Coleman	BPL	72	-	-	54%	36%	20%	9%	4%	59
Darcy Fort	RK	71	-	-	52%	34%	18%	8%	3%	50
Cam Rayner	FF	68	-	-	46%	28%	15%	6%	2%	74
Levi Ashcroft	HFFR	68	-	-	46%	28%	15%	6%	2%	68
Bruce Reville	WL	64	-	-	40%	23%	11%	5%	2%	42
Ryan Lester	BPR	64	-	-	40%	23%	11%	5%	2%	55
Harris Andrews	FB	63	-	-	36%	21%	10%	4%	1%	57
Logan Morris	INT	61	-	-	33%	18%	8%	3%	1%	42
Kai Lohmann	INT	60	-	-	31%	17%	8%	3%	1%	53
Charlie Cameron	HFFL	59	-	-	31%	16%	7%	3%	1%	46
Oscar Allen	CHF	54	-	-	22%	11%	4%	1%	0%	66
Lincoln McCarthy	INT	52	-	-	20%	10%	4%	1%	0%	58
Ty Gallop	FPR	43	-	-	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%	36