AFL · ROUND 5 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v St Kilda
Sun 12 Apr 2026, 6:45pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
STK by 2
STK to win, 54% chance
PA 46%54% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
STK by 14
HIT Actual margin 14 · 12.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 28.8 / 31.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 4.3 / 2.0 | 4.3 / 6.0 | 108 / 118 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 24.5 / 26.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 5.0 | 4.3 / 6.0 | 89 / 95 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 21.9 / 20.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 9.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 88 / 97 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 21.4 / 26.0 | 1.3 / 2.0 | 5.0 / 5.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 93 / 97 |
| Willem Drew | R | 21.2 / 19.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 3.0 | 5.3 / 8.0 | 88 / 80 |
| Jase Burgoyne | BPL | 19.3 / 15.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 5.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 80 / 62 |
| Logan Evans | HBFL | 17.5 / 21.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 4.0 | 71 / 86 |
| Jack Watkins | INT | 17.4 / 13.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 68 / 41 |
| Miles Bergman | BPR | 16.1 / 11.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 74 / 33 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 15.5 / 17.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 3.0 | 2.5 / 7.0 | 70 / 83 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 15.1 / 16.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 7.6 / 11.0 | 1.2 / 3.0 | 68 / 94 |
| Todd Marshall | INT | 15.0 / 13.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 7.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 74 / 62 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 14.8 / 15.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 7.0 | 61 / 85 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 14.5 / 9.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 7.0 | 57 / 58 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | FPL | 13.9 / 21.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 3.9 / 6.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 62 / 80 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 13.8 / 11.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 89 / 54 |
| Jack Lukosius | HFFL | 13.3 / 12.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 74 / 54 |
| Lachie Jones | FB | 12.9 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 9.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 55 / 83 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 12.8 / 15.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 6.3 / 6.0 | 1.4 / 0.0 | 76 / 66 |
| Brandon Zerk-Thatcher | INT | 11.4 / - | 0.0 / - | 5.1 / - | 1.6 / - | 48 / - |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 11.4 / 13.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 51 / 59 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 11.3 / 9.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 48 / 34 |
| Corey Durdin | INT | 10.6 / 7.0 | 1.3 / 2.0 | 3.6 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 57 / 56 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 10.2 / - | 0.7 / - | 2.9 / - | 1.8 / - | 49 / - |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 9.3 / 6.0 | 1.4 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 52 / 39 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 8.5 / - | 0.6 / - | 2.3 / - | 2.2 / - | 65 / - |
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Sinclair | HBFL | 28.6 / 23.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 6.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 103 / 90 |
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | HBFR | 26.9 / 28.0 | 0.7 / 2.0 | 4.9 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 9.0 | 98 / 139 |
| Marcus Windhager | R | 25.0 / 24.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 3.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 91 / 81 |
| Sam Flanders | RR | 23.0 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 3.0 | 2.4 / 7.0 | 82 / 85 |
| Bradley Hill | CHB | 21.1 / 21.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 6.0 / 8.0 | 1.7 / 4.0 | 80 / 95 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 20.7 / 23.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 8.1 / 15.0 | 1.0 / 5.0 | 84 / 131 |
| Hunter Clark | INT | 20.1 / 15.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 7.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 82 / 76 |
| Hugo Garcia | INT | 17.8 / 26.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 2.7 / 4.0 | 4.4 / 4.0 | 71 / 106 |
| Max Hall | C | 17.8 / 14.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 71 / 48 |
| Darcy Wilson | WR | 17.1 / 13.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 69 / 45 |
| Rowan Marshall | FPR | 16.3 / 8.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 2.0 | 3.6 / 0.0 | 81 / 46 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 14.9 / 9.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 86 / 59 |
| Mason Wood | HFFL | 14.8 / 7.0 | 0.8 / 1.0 | 5.5 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 68 / 31 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 14.7 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 5.7 / 8.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 62 / 82 |
| Jack Carroll | INT | 14.3 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 6.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 56 / 72 |
| Hugh Boxshall | WL | 13.2 / 9.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 9.0 | 56 / 67 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 12.9 / 15.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 2.4 / 5.0 | 53 / 78 |
| Angus Hastie | INT | 11.8 / - | 0.1 / - | 3.3 / - | 1.7 / - | 48 / - |
| Mitch Owens | HFFR | 11.3 / 9.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 4.0 | 59 / 48 |
| Dougal Howard | INT | 10.9 / - | 0.0 / - | 5.7 / - | 1.2 / - | 48 / - |
| Liam Ryan | CHF | 10.9 / 8.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 55 / 48 |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 10.6 / 7.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 4.7 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 57 / 31 |
| Liam O'Connell | INT | 10.5 / - | 0.1 / - | 3.5 / - | 2.2 / - | 45 / - |
| Dan Butler | INT | 9.9 / 9.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 2.4 / 7.0 | 48 / 52 |
| Alix Tauru | BPR | 9.8 / 13.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 4.0 | 1.4 / 4.0 | 43 / 59 |
| Jack Higgins | FPL | 9.2 / 7.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 49 / 30 |