Port Adelaide v St Kilda

Sun 12 Apr 2026, 6:45pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

STK by 2

STK to win, 54% chance

PA 46%54% STK

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

STK by 14

HIT Actual margin 14 · 12.1 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Port Adelaide

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Zak Butters	RR	108	-	-	96%	91%	80%	65%	46%	118
Jason Horne-Francis	C	93	-	-	86%	73%	56%	37%	21%	97
Jordon Sweet	RK	89	-	-	82%	67%	48%	30%	16%	54
Ollie Wines	INT	89	-	-	82%	67%	49%	31%	16%	95
Kane Farrell	HBFR	88	-	-	81%	66%	47%	29%	15%	97
Willem Drew	R	88	-	-	80%	64%	46%	28%	14%	80
Jase Burgoyne	BPL	80	-	-	69%	50%	32%	17%	8%	62
Mitch Georgiades	CHF	76	-	-	62%	43%	26%	13%	6%	66
Jack Lukosius	HFFL	74	-	-	57%	39%	22%	11%	4%	54
Miles Bergman	BPR	74	-	-	57%	38%	22%	10%	4%	33
Todd Marshall	INT	74	-	-	58%	40%	23%	11%	5%	62
Logan Evans	HBFL	71	-	-	52%	34%	19%	9%	3%	86
Joe Richards	FPR	70	-	-	50%	32%	17%	8%	3%	83
Aliir Aliir	CHB	68	-	-	47%	29%	15%	7%	2%	94
Jack Watkins	INT	68	-	-	45%	28%	14%	6%	2%	41
Dante Visentini	INT	65	-	-	41%	24%	12%	5%	2%	-
Darcy Byrne-Jones	FPL	62	-	-	35%	20%	9%	4%	1%	80
Ewan Mackinlay	WL	61	-	-	34%	18%	8%	3%	1%	85
Corey Durdin	INT	57	-	-	27%	14%	6%	2%	1%	56
Jacob Wehr	WR	57	-	-	26%	13%	6%	2%	1%	58
Lachie Jones	FB	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	83
Jack Whitlock	FF	52	-	-	19%	9%	3%	1%	0%	39
Joe Berry	HFFR	51	-	-	19%	9%	3%	1%	0%	59
Mitch Zadow	INT	49	-	-	16%	7%	3%	1%	0%	-
Brandon Zerk-Thatcher	INT	48	-	-	15%	7%	2%	1%	0%	-
Josh Lai	INT	48	-	-	14%	6%	2%	1%	0%	34

St Kilda

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Jack Sinclair	HBFL	103	-	-	94%	86%	73%	55%	37%	90
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera	HBFR	98	-	-	91%	81%	66%	47%	29%	139
Marcus Windhager	R	91	-	-	84%	70%	52%	34%	18%	81
Tom De Koning	RK	86	-	-	77%	61%	42%	25%	13%	59
Callum Wilkie	FB	84	-	-	75%	58%	39%	23%	11%	131
Hunter Clark	INT	82	-	-	72%	55%	36%	20%	10%	76
Sam Flanders	RR	82	-	-	72%	54%	36%	20%	9%	85
Rowan Marshall	FPR	81	-	-	70%	52%	34%	19%	9%	46
Bradley Hill	CHB	80	-	-	69%	51%	33%	18%	8%	95
Hugo Garcia	INT	71	-	-	52%	33%	18%	8%	3%	106
Max Hall	C	71	-	-	53%	34%	19%	9%	3%	48
Darcy Wilson	WR	69	-	-	48%	30%	16%	7%	3%	45
Mason Wood	HFFL	68	-	-	46%	28%	15%	6%	2%	31
Jack Silvagni	BPL	62	-	-	35%	20%	9%	4%	1%	82
Mitch Owens	HFFR	59	-	-	31%	16%	7%	3%	1%	48
Cooper Sharman	FF	57	-	-	27%	14%	6%	2%	1%	31
Hugh Boxshall	WL	56	-	-	25%	13%	5%	2%	0%	67
Jack Carroll	INT	56	-	-	26%	13%	6%	2%	1%	72
Liam Ryan	CHF	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	48
Mattaes Phillipou	INT	53	-	-	21%	10%	4%	1%	0%	78
Jack Higgins	FPL	49	-	-	16%	7%	3%	1%	0%	30
Angus Hastie	INT	48	-	-	15%	7%	2%	1%	0%	-
Dan Butler	INT	48	-	-	15%	7%	2%	1%	0%	52
Dougal Howard	INT	48	-	-	15%	7%	2%	1%	0%	-
Liam O'Connell	INT	45	-	-	12%	5%	2%	0%	0%	-
Alix Tauru	BPR	43	-	-	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%	59