Port Adelaide v St Kilda

Sun 12 Apr 2026, 6:45pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

STK by 2

STK to win, 54% chance

PA 46%54% STK

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

STK by 14

HIT Actual margin 14 · 12.1 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Port Adelaide

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Mitch Georgiades	CHF	3.3	-	-	96%	84%	63%	41%	23%	2.0
Jack Lukosius	HFFL	1.7	-	-	82%	52%	26%	10%	3%	0.0
Jack Whitlock	FF	1.4	-	-	76%	41%	17%	6%	2%	0.0
Corey Durdin	INT	1.3	-	-	73%	37%	14%	4%	1%	2.0
Jason Horne-Francis	C	1.3	-	-	73%	37%	14%	4%	1%	2.0
Joe Richards	FPR	1.0	-	-	64%	27%	8%	2%	0%	0.0
Todd Marshall	INT	1.0	-	-	65%	28%	9%	2%	0%	0.0
Jack Watkins	INT	0.7	-	-	49%	15%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Joe Berry	HFFR	0.7	-	-	50%	15%	3%	1%	0%	1.0
Mitch Zadow	INT	0.7	-	-	51%	16%	4%	1%	0%	-
Dante Visentini	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	12%	2%	0%	0%	-
Darcy Byrne-Jones	FPL	0.6	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	1.0
Zak Butters	RR	0.5	-	-	40%	10%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Ewan Mackinlay	WL	0.4	-	-	31%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Jase Burgoyne	BPL	0.4	-	-	30%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Jordon Sweet	RK	0.4	-	-	31%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Josh Lai	INT	0.4	-	-	34%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Miles Bergman	BPR	0.4	-	-	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Willem Drew	R	0.4	-	-	34%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Ollie Wines	INT	0.3	-	-	23%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jacob Wehr	WR	0.2	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Kane Farrell	HBFR	0.1	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Jones	FB	0.1	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Logan Evans	HBFL	0.1	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Aliir Aliir	CHB	0.0	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Brandon Zerk-Thatcher	INT	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-

St Kilda

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jack Higgins	FPL	1.5	-	-	78%	45%	20%	7%	2%	0.0
Cooper Sharman	FF	1.4	-	-	76%	41%	17%	6%	2%	1.0
Mitch Owens	HFFR	1.4	-	-	74%	39%	16%	5%	1%	2.0
Liam Ryan	CHF	1.2	-	-	71%	35%	13%	4%	1%	1.0
Max Hall	C	1.0	-	-	62%	25%	7%	2%	0%	1.0
Dan Butler	INT	0.8	-	-	53%	18%	4%	1%	0%	0.0
Mason Wood	HFFL	0.8	-	-	56%	20%	5%	1%	0%	1.0
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera	HBFR	0.7	-	-	52%	16%	4%	1%	0%	2.0
Rowan Marshall	FPR	0.7	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Darcy Wilson	WR	0.6	-	-	46%	13%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Mattaes Phillipou	INT	0.6	-	-	46%	13%	2%	0%	0%	2.0
Hugh Boxshall	WL	0.4	-	-	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Hugo Garcia	INT	0.4	-	-	32%	6%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Tom De Koning	RK	0.4	-	-	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Hunter Clark	INT	0.3	-	-	25%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Carroll	INT	0.3	-	-	23%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Flanders	RR	0.3	-	-	23%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Bradley Hill	CHB	0.2	-	-	21%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Sinclair	HBFL	0.2	-	-	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Marcus Windhager	R	0.2	-	-	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Angus Hastie	INT	0.1	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	-
Jack Silvagni	BPL	0.1	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Liam O'Connell	INT	0.1	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Alix Tauru	BPR	0.0	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Callum Wilkie	FB	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Dougal Howard	INT	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-