Sydney Swans v Gold Coast SUNS

Sat 11 Apr 2026, 3:45pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIP

GCS by 3

GCS to win, 57% chance

SYD 43%57% GCS

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 32

MISS Actual margin 32 · 35.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Chad Warner	RR	24.8	-	-	99%	86%	51%	17%	3%	22.0
Callum Mills	BPR	24.3	-	-	98%	84%	47%	15%	2%	25.0
Justin McInerney	R	23.8	-	-	98%	81%	43%	12%	2%	27.0
Isaac Heeney	C	22.8	-	-	97%	75%	35%	8%	1%	33.0
Nick Blakey	CHB	22.7	-	-	96%	74%	34%	8%	1%	24.0
Riley Bice	HBFL	20.4	-	-	91%	56%	18%	3%	0%	18.0
Brodie Grundy	RK	19.8	-	-	89%	51%	15%	2%	0%	20.0
Matt Roberts	WR	19.3	-	-	87%	47%	12%	1%	0%	25.0
Jake Lloyd	FPR	18.5	-	-	82%	39%	8%	1%	0%	11.0
Tom Papley	CHF	16.7	-	-	69%	24%	3%	0%	0%	17.0
James Rowbottom	INT	16.5	-	-	68%	22%	3%	0%	0%	15.0
Tom McCartin	FB	16.5	-	-	67%	22%	3%	0%	0%	24.0
James Jordon	HFFR	16.1	-	-	64%	19%	2%	0%	0%	14.0
Jai Serong	WL	16.0	-	-	64%	19%	2%	0%	0%	12.0
Sam Wicks	INT	15.2	-	-	56%	14%	1%	0%	0%	15.0
Dane Rampe	HBFR	13.9	-	-	42%	7%	0%	0%	0%	17.0
Harry Cunningham	INT	13.2	-	-	34%	5%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Corey Warner	HFFL	12.7	-	-	30%	4%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Charlie Curnow	FF	12.6	-	-	28%	3%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Joel Amartey	FPL	10.9	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Logan McDonald	INT	10.7	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Malcolm Rosas	INT	9.8	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Joel Hamling	BPL	8.4	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	14.0

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Noah Anderson	RR	27.1	-	-	100%	93%	68%	31%	8%	20.0
Matt Rowell	R	25.2	-	-	99%	87%	54%	19%	4%	32.0
John Noble	HBFL	23.6	-	-	98%	80%	41%	11%	2%	24.0
Touk Miller	HFFL	23.6	-	-	98%	80%	42%	12%	2%	26.0
Joel Jeffrey	INT	20.3	-	-	91%	56%	18%	3%	0%	11.0
Bodhi Uwland	BPL	20.1	-	-	90%	54%	16%	2%	0%	26.0
Wil Powell	C	18.3	-	-	81%	38%	8%	1%	0%	14.0
Daniel Rioli	HBFR	18.2	-	-	80%	37%	8%	1%	0%	10.0
Sam Clohesy	INT	16.8	-	-	70%	24%	4%	0%	0%	13.0
Alex Davies	INT	16.7	-	-	70%	24%	3%	0%	0%	11.0
Mac Andrew	BPR	16.0	-	-	63%	19%	2%	0%	0%	17.0
Lachie Weller	WL	15.1	-	-	55%	13%	1%	0%	0%	15.0
Zeke Uwland	WR	13.9	-	-	41%	7%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Lachlan Gulbin	INT	12.3	-	-	25%	3%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Charlie Ballard	CHB	12.2	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Jarrod Witts	RK	12.2	-	-	25%	2%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Sam Collins	FB	12.0	-	-	22%	2%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Will Graham	HFFR	11.9	-	-	22%	2%	0%	0%	0%	17.0
Ben Long	INT	11.0	-	-	15%	1%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Leonardo Lombard	FPR	10.7	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Ethan Read	FPL	9.7	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Ben King	FF	9.3	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5.0
Jed Walter	CHF	7.5	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7.0