AFL · ROUND 5 · NORWOOD OVAL
Sydney Swans v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 11 Apr 2026, 3:45pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GCS by 3
GCS to win, 57% chance
SYD 43%57% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 32
MISS Actual margin 32 · 35.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Warner | RR | 24.8 / 22.0 | 0.9 / 2.0 | 3.8 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 6.0 | 91 / 91 |
| Callum Mills | BPR | 24.3 / 25.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.4 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 7.0 | 90 / 98 |
| Justin McInerney | R | 23.8 / 27.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 5.0 / 5.0 | 2.3 / 2.0 | 90 / 94 |
| Isaac Heeney | C | 22.8 / 33.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 4.1 / 2.0 | 3.7 / 11.0 | 95 / 145 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 22.7 / 24.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 88 / 71 |
| Riley Bice | HBFL | 20.4 / 18.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 5.3 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 75 / 67 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 19.8 / 20.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 3.1 / 12.0 | 110 / 130 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 19.3 / 25.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 77 / 88 |
| Jake Lloyd | FPR | 18.5 / 11.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 5.8 / 2.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 76 / 49 |
| Tom Papley | CHF | 16.7 / 17.0 | 1.8 / 3.0 | 3.7 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 7.0 | 75 / 102 |
| James Rowbottom | INT | 16.5 / 15.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 10.0 | 77 / 75 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 16.5 / 24.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.0 / 7.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 62 / 81 |
| James Jordon | HFFR | 16.1 / 14.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 5.0 | 62 / 48 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 16.0 / 12.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 7.0 | 63 / 73 |
| Sam Wicks | INT | 15.2 / 15.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 58 / 57 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFR | 13.9 / 17.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 53 / 62 |
| Harry Cunningham | INT | 13.2 / 13.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 | 4.8 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 54 / 66 |
| Corey Warner | HFFL | 12.7 / 6.0 | 0.9 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 58 / 34 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 12.6 / 11.0 | 2.7 / 0.0 | 5.8 / 5.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 76 / 44 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 10.9 / 7.0 | 2.4 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 62 / 47 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 10.7 / 9.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 4.9 / 4.0 | 1.3 / 0.0 | 57 / 45 |
| Malcolm Rosas | INT | 9.8 / 12.0 | 1.1 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 48 / 58 |
| Joel Hamling | BPL | 8.4 / 14.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 | 1.3 / 3.0 | 39 / 54 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 27.1 / 20.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 | 96 / 55 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 25.2 / 32.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 5.9 / 7.0 | 93 / 104 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 23.6 / 24.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 86 / 72 |
| Touk Miller | HFFL | 23.6 / 26.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 3.7 / 3.0 | 88 / 77 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 20.3 / 11.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 77 / 36 |
| Bodhi Uwland | BPL | 20.1 / 26.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.9 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 77 / 87 |
| Wil Powell | C | 18.3 / 14.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 7.0 | 3.9 / 3.0 | 74 / 69 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFR | 18.2 / 10.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 64 / 42 |
| Sam Clohesy | INT | 16.8 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 67 / 41 |
| Alex Davies | INT | 16.7 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 2.0 | 67 / 39 |
| Mac Andrew | BPR | 16.0 / 17.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 6.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 63 / 69 |
| Lachie Weller | WL | 15.1 / 15.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 3.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 58 / 51 |
| Zeke Uwland | WR | 13.9 / 14.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 52 / 49 |
| Lachlan Gulbin | INT | 12.3 / 6.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 4.0 | 50 / 32 |
| Charlie Ballard | CHB | 12.2 / 8.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 52 / 32 |
| Jarrod Witts | RK | 12.2 / 13.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 80 / 66 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 12.0 / 12.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 6.0 / 4.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 52 / 43 |
| Will Graham | HFFR | 11.9 / 17.0 | 0.8 / 1.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 3.3 / 5.0 | 54 / 76 |
| Ben Long | INT | 11.0 / 14.0 | 1.6 / 3.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 56 / 74 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPR | 10.7 / 12.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 1.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 50 / 39 |
| Ethan Read | FPL | 9.7 / 6.0 | 1.3 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 54 / 16 |
| Ben King | FF | 9.3 / 5.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 4.4 / 1.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 53 / 25 |
| Jed Walter | CHF | 7.5 / 7.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 1.3 / 0.0 | 42 / 36 |