Sydney Swans v Gold Coast SUNS

Sat 11 Apr 2026, 3:45pm ACST (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIP

GCS by 3

GCS to win, 57% chance

SYD 43%57% GCS

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 32

MISS Actual margin 32 · 35.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	3+	4+	5+	6+	7+	ACTUAL
James Rowbottom	INT	5.9	-	-	93%	84%	70%	53%	37%	10.0
Isaac Heeney	C	3.7	-	-	71%	50%	31%	16%	8%	11.0
Chad Warner	RR	3.3	-	-	65%	43%	24%	12%	5%	6.0
Brodie Grundy	RK	3.1	-	-	60%	38%	20%	10%	4%	12.0
James Jordon	HFFR	2.7	-	-	50%	28%	13%	6%	2%	5.0
Justin McInerney	R	2.3	-	-	40%	19%	8%	3%	1%	2.0
Jai Serong	WL	2.1	-	-	35%	16%	6%	2%	1%	7.0
Jake Lloyd	FPR	2.1	-	-	34%	15%	6%	2%	0%	3.0
Sam Wicks	INT	2.1	-	-	35%	16%	6%	2%	1%	4.0
Callum Mills	BPR	2.0	-	-	32%	14%	5%	2%	0%	7.0
Malcolm Rosas	INT	2.0	-	-	34%	15%	6%	2%	0%	3.0
Matt Roberts	WR	2.0	-	-	31%	14%	5%	2%	0%	3.0
Riley Bice	HBFL	2.0	-	-	31%	14%	5%	2%	0%	1.0
Dane Rampe	HBFR	1.9	-	-	30%	13%	4%	1%	0%	3.0
Harry Cunningham	INT	1.9	-	-	29%	12%	4%	1%	0%	4.0
Joel Amartey	FPL	1.9	-	-	30%	12%	4%	1%	0%	2.0
Tom Papley	CHF	1.9	-	-	29%	12%	4%	1%	0%	7.0
Corey Warner	HFFL	1.7	-	-	25%	10%	3%	1%	0%	2.0
Joel Hamling	BPL	1.3	-	-	14%	4%	1%	0%	0%	3.0
Logan McDonald	INT	1.3	-	-	14%	4%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Nick Blakey	CHB	1.2	-	-	12%	4%	1%	0%	0%	2.0
Charlie Curnow	FF	1.1	-	-	10%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom McCartin	FB	0.9	-	-	7%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	3+	4+	5+	6+	7+	ACTUAL
Matt Rowell	R	5.9	-	-	93%	84%	70%	54%	38%	7.0
Alex Davies	INT	4.7	-	-	84%	69%	50%	33%	19%	2.0
Wil Powell	C	3.9	-	-	75%	55%	35%	20%	10%	3.0
Touk Miller	HFFL	3.7	-	-	72%	52%	32%	18%	9%	3.0
Will Graham	HFFR	3.3	-	-	65%	43%	24%	12%	5%	5.0
Noah Anderson	RR	3.0	-	-	59%	36%	19%	9%	4%	3.0
Jarrod Witts	RK	2.5	-	-	46%	24%	11%	4%	2%	2.0
Sam Clohesy	INT	2.2	-	-	38%	18%	7%	2%	1%	2.0
Daniel Rioli	HBFR	2.0	-	-	32%	14%	5%	2%	0%	2.0
Ben Long	INT	1.9	-	-	30%	13%	4%	1%	0%	4.0
Leonardo Lombard	FPR	1.9	-	-	30%	13%	5%	1%	0%	2.0
John Noble	HBFL	1.8	-	-	26%	11%	4%	1%	0%	1.0
Lachlan Gulbin	INT	1.8	-	-	28%	12%	4%	1%	0%	4.0
Joel Jeffrey	INT	1.7	-	-	25%	10%	3%	1%	0%	2.0
Lachie Weller	WL	1.7	-	-	25%	10%	3%	1%	0%	2.0
Bodhi Uwland	BPL	1.6	-	-	22%	8%	2%	1%	0%	1.0
Ethan Read	FPL	1.6	-	-	23%	8%	3%	1%	0%	2.0
Zeke Uwland	WR	1.5	-	-	18%	6%	2%	0%	0%	2.0
Jed Walter	CHF	1.3	-	-	15%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Mac Andrew	BPR	1.1	-	-	9%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Collins	FB	1.1	-	-	10%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Charlie Ballard	CHB	1.0	-	-	8%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Ben King	FF	0.9	-	-	7%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0