NFL · WEEK 6 · MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM
Atlanta Falcons v Chicago Bears
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 1:00pm EDT (venue time)
IN TESTINGIn testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
CHI by 0.3
CHI to win, 51% chance
ATL 49%51% CHI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CHI by 8.0
HIT Actual margin 8.0 · 7.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
8 Oct 2026
IN TESTING In testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
Fantasy (PPR): the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Atlanta Falcons
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson PROJECTED | RB | 20.4 | 15.7 to 25.1 | 5.3 to 35.5 | 88% | 74% | 52% | 32% | 18% | inside our 90% range: 7.3 |
| Drake London PROJECTED | WR | 14.7 | 10.6 to 18.8 | 1.5 to 28.0 | 73% | 49% | 25% | 11% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 12.2 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB | 13.3 | 9.4 to 17.3 | 0.6 to 26.0 | 65% | 41% | 19% | 8% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 23.1 |
| Kyle Pitts PROJECTED | TE | 7.6 | 4.4 to 10.7 | 0.0 to 17.8 | 33% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 23.0 |
| Brian Robinson PROJECTED | RB | 4.3 | 1.7 to 6.8 | 0.0 to 12.6 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Jahan Dotson PROJECTED | WR | 4.2 | 1.6 to 6.8 | 0.0 to 12.5 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 17.7 |
| Austin Hooper PROJECTED | TE | 2.5 | 0.3 to 4.6 | 0.0 to 9.4 | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.6 |
| Charlie Woerner PROJECTED | TE | 2.2 | 0.1 to 4.3 | 0.0 to 8.9 | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Olamide Zaccheaus PROJECTED | WR | 2.1 | 0.1 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 8.7 | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Zachariah Branch PROJECTED | WR | 1.4 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 7.3 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.9 |
| Chris Blair PROJECTED | WR | 0.6 | 0.0 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Nick Muse PROJECTED | TE | 0.1 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Chicago Bears
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | QB | 18.9 | 14.4 to 23.5 | 4.3 to 33.6 | 85% | 68% | 45% | 26% | 12% | inside our 50% range: 16.5 |
| D'Andre Swift PROJECTED | RB | 13.3 | 9.3 to 17.2 | 0.6 to 26.0 | 64% | 40% | 23% | 10% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 23.0 |
| Luther Burden III PROJECTED | WR | 9.8 | 6.3 to 13.3 | 0.0 to 21.0 | 43% | 24% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 17.5 |
| Colston Loveland PROJECTED | TE | 8.8 | 5.4 to 12.1 | 0.0 to 19.5 | 40% | 21% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 18.5 |
| Rome Odunze PROJECTED | WR | 8.6 | 5.3 to 11.9 | 0.0 to 19.3 | 39% | 20% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 6.9 |
| Kalif Raymond PROJECTED | WR | 6.3 | 3.3 to 9.3 | 0.0 to 15.9 | 30% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.8 |
| Cole Kmet PROJECTED | TE | 3.2 | 0.9 to 5.6 | 0.0 to 10.8 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.3 |
| Roschon Johnson PROJECTED | RB | 2.3 | 0.2 to 4.4 | 0.0 to 9.1 | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 14.5 |
| Jahdae Walker PROJECTED | WR | 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 8.3 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Zavier Scott PROJECTED | RB | 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 7.1 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Sam Roush PROJECTED | TE | 0.7 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Zavion Thomas PROJECTED | WR | 0.6 | 0.0 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 5.5 |