AFL · ROUND 6 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v St Kilda
Sat 18 Apr 2026, 7:05pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
ADE by 18
ADE to win, 72% chance
ADE 72%28% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 1
HIT Actual margin 1 · 16.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Worrell | BPL | 24.0 / 28.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.8 / 11.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 91 / 114 |
| Rory Laird | HBFL | 23.0 / 26.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 5.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 88 / 92 |
| Wayne Milera | INT | 22.1 / 29.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 9.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 84 / 117 |
| James Peatling | RR | 20.4 / 24.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 5.0 | 3.7 / 8.0 | 78 / 119 |
| Sam Berry | C | 20.2 / 20.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 7.0 | 81 / 80 |
| Josh Rachele | R | 19.3 / 20.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 80 / 67 |
| Izak Rankine | FPR | 16.4 / 20.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 74 / 70 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPL | 15.9 / 16.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 6.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 68 / 72 |
| Isaac Cumming | WL | 14.9 / 5.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 0.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 67 / 19 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 14.7 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 63 / 64 |
| Ben Keays | HFFL | 14.4 / 10.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 2.7 / 6.0 | 68 / 66 |
| Luke Nankervis | WR | 14.4 / 6.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 60 / 24 |
| Brayden Cook | INT | 13.6 / 19.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 59 / 80 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 13.4 / 14.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 5.1 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 78 / 89 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 12.0 / 12.0 | 1.9 / 5.0 | 4.8 / 7.0 | 1.4 / 4.0 | 68 / 101 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 11.5 / 9.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 78 / 65 |
| Nick Murray | FB | 11.5 / 13.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 6.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 51 / 59 |
| Hugh Bond | HBFR | 11.3 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 5.0 | 2.4 / 0.0 | 47 / 56 |
| Charlie Edwards | INT | 10.9 / 18.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 59 / 60 |
| Jordon Butts | CHB | 10.7 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 4.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 45 / 62 |
| Zac Taylor | HFFR | 10.1 / 13.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 50 / 56 |
| Luke Pedlar | INT | 8.5 / 13.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 48 / 45 |
| Finnbar Maley | INT | 8.0 / 7.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 3.0 | 45 / 49 |
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | HBFR | 27.5 / 28.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 3.0 | 101 / 93 |
| Jack Sinclair | HBFL | 26.1 / 35.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 96 / 117 |
| Marcus Windhager | R | 24.4 / 20.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 7.0 | 2.5 / 4.0 | 89 / 91 |
| Sam Flanders | RR | 22.8 / 30.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 5.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 83 / 99 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 20.6 / 31.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 9.8 / 12.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 82 / 130 |
| Bradley Hill | CHB | 20.4 / 23.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 5.8 / 6.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 77 / 91 |
| Hunter Clark | INT | 20.1 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 5.0 | 3.6 / 1.0 | 83 / 63 |
| Hugo Garcia | INT | 17.9 / 24.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 6.0 | 4.3 / 5.0 | 71 / 93 |
| Max Hall | C | 17.7 / 11.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 74 / 46 |
| Darcy Wilson | WR | 16.7 / 24.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 3.8 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 66 / 90 |
| Rowan Marshall | FPR | 15.5 / 25.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 5.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 74 / 104 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 14.8 / 8.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 79 / 37 |
| Jack Carroll | BPR | 14.6 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 5.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 57 / 54 |
| Mason Wood | HFFL | 14.1 / 17.0 | 0.8 / 1.0 | 4.8 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 65 / 75 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 13.3 / 8.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 4.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 61 / 21 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 13.3 / 10.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 54 / 41 |
| Hugh Boxshall | WL | 12.6 / 12.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 55 / 38 |
| Liam Stocker | INT | 11.6 / 9.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 48 / 38 |
| Mitch Owens | HFFR | 11.1 / 10.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 4.0 | 60 / 61 |
| Dan Butler | INT | 9.8 / 8.0 | 0.7 / 2.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 0.0 | 48 / 36 |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 9.7 / 10.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 5.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 56 / 56 |
| Liam Ryan | CHF | 9.7 / 7.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 5.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 51 / 44 |
| Jack Higgins | FPL | 8.9 / 8.0 | 1.7 / 4.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 52 / 58 |