AFL · ROUND 6 · MCG
Carlton v Collingwood
Thu 16 Apr 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
COL by 4
COL to win, 56% chance
CAR 44%56% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 5
HIT Actual margin 5 · 0.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walsh | R | 28.7 / 28.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 7.0 | 4.7 / 7.0 | 100 / 107 |
| Patrick Cripps | C | 25.2 / 25.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 5.0 / 6.0 | 94 / 81 |
| Adam Cerra | INT | 24.4 / 22.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 4.0 | 4.5 / 4.0 | 90 / 84 |
| Nic Newman | HBFR | 23.9 / 24.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.2 / 6.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 96 / 101 |
| Oliver Florent | HBFL | 19.8 / 23.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 76 / 85 |
| Oliver Hollands | WL | 19.2 / 16.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 6.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 78 / 62 |
| Zac Williams | RR | 17.9 / 26.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 6.0 | 2.4 / 4.0 | 72 / 103 |
| Elijah Hollands | CHF | 17.7 / 1.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 72 / 3 |
| Jagga Smith | HFFL | 17.3 / 20.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 73 / 64 |
| Nick Haynes | BPR | 16.2 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 5.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 67 / 67 |
| Lachlan Cowan | BPL | 15.9 / 20.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 8.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 64 / 84 |
| Ben Ainsworth | HFFR | 14.9 / 19.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 3.4 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 66 / 75 |
| Matthew Carroll | WR | 14.5 / 17.0 | 0.2 / 2.0 | 3.8 / 6.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 61 / 83 |
| Harry McKay | FF | 12.5 / 12.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 74 / 58 |
| Jacob Weitering | FB | 12.5 / 20.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.5 / 9.0 | 0.9 / 2.0 | 58 / 89 |
| Will Hayward | FPL | 12.4 / 16.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 4.4 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 59 / 68 |
| Francis Evans | INT | 12.2 / 10.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 2.0 | 2.7 / 5.0 | 60 / 55 |
| Marc Pittonet | RK | 12.0 / 21.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 4.0 | 72 / 92 |
| Mitch McGovern | CHB | 11.3 / 7.0 | 1.0 / 3.0 | 3.6 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 4.0 | 58 / 54 |
| Harry Dean | INT | 11.1 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 1.4 / 0.0 | 45 / 48 |
| Lewis Young | INT | 10.4 / 8.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 | 1.1 / 3.0 | 47 / 43 |
| Brodie Kemp | FPR | 9.7 / 16.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 4.0 / 8.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 53 / 73 |
| Talor Byrne | INT | 8.9 / 8.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 43 / 50 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | INT | 30.6 / 39.0 | 0.8 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 6.0 | 3.7 / 2.0 | 101 / 128 |
| Josh Daicos | HBFR | 27.8 / 26.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 8.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 96 / 97 |
| Jack Crisp | INT | 20.4 / 21.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 7.0 | 4.3 / 4.0 | 81 / 89 |
| Scott Pendlebury | C | 20.3 / 24.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 6.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 73 / 88 |
| Dan Houston | INT | 20.1 / 25.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 12.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 76 / 110 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPR | 19.1 / 18.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 6.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 74 / 85 |
| Patrick Lipinski | INT | 17.1 / 27.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 7.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 68 / 110 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFL | 16.5 / 11.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 63 / 38 |
| Edward Allan | WR | 15.9 / 10.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 64 / 55 |
| Ned Long | RR | 15.4 / 22.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 5.7 / 5.0 | 70 / 87 |
| Harry Perryman | CHB | 15.3 / 27.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 11.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 60 / 114 |
| Darcy Cameron | INT | 15.2 / 18.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 6.0 | 2.3 / 5.0 | 83 / 108 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFR | 14.1 / 14.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 8.0 | 3.6 / 4.0 | 68 / 79 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFL | 13.7 / 15.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 7.0 | 59 / 74 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 12.6 / 22.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 9.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 50 / 86 |
| Roan Steele | WL | 12.5 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 6.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 50 / 71 |
| Angus Anderson | R | 10.9 / 17.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 3.0 | 1.5 / 5.0 | 57 / 78 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 10.8 / 14.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 10.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 43 / 71 |
| Jamie Elliott | FF | 10.1 / 18.0 | 1.6 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 54 / 70 |
| Oscar Steene | RK | 9.9 / 8.0 | 0.4 / 2.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 1.6 / 3.0 | 54 / 72 |
| Tim Membrey | FPR | 9.1 / 9.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 3.7 / 4.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 48 / 52 |
| William Hayes | CHF | 8.9 / 6.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 43 / 36 |
| Daniel McStay | FPL | 8.5 / 7.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 3.4 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 50 / 40 |