AFL · ROUND 6 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs
Fri 17 Apr 2026, 7:20pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 6
GEE to win, 58% chance
GEE 58%42% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 75
HIT Actual margin 75 · 69.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 33.1 / 33.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 8.0 | 4.6 / 7.0 | 119 / 145 |
| Max Holmes | R | 31.8 / 28.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 7.0 | 4.2 / 1.0 | 116 / 96 |
| Tanner Bruhn | INT | 23.0 / 16.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 6.0 | 2.8 / 5.0 | 87 / 77 |
| Tom Stewart | BPR | 22.2 / 15.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.4 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 4.0 | 87 / 63 |
| James Worpel | INT | 21.5 / 16.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 4.4 / 7.0 | 79 / 72 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 21.3 / 16.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 5.9 / 7.0 | 89 / 69 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 17.9 / 27.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 78 / 95 |
| Jack Bowes | INT | 17.0 / 23.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 6.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 73 / 86 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 16.5 / 19.0 | 1.3 / 2.0 | 3.9 / 6.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 70 / 83 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFR | 16.5 / 25.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 7.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 72 / 96 |
| Shaun Mannagh | HFFR | 16.3 / 21.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 78 / 80 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 15.0 / 24.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 5.2 / 8.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 66 / 107 |
| Jeremy Cameron | HFFL | 14.9 / 18.0 | 3.5 / 10.0 | 6.6 / 10.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 91 / 141 |
| Mark Blicavs | HBFL | 14.4 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 2.0 | 2.7 / 9.0 | 72 / 93 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 13.9 / 10.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.2 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 61 / 26 |
| Oisin Mullin | WR | 13.1 / 13.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 5.0 | 2.1 / 5.0 | 55 / 70 |
| Jake Kolodjashnij | BPL | 12.5 / 14.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 5.2 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 54 / 48 |
| Sam De Koning | CHB | 12.2 / 14.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 7.0 | 1.3 / 2.0 | 53 / 65 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | CHF | 11.3 / 6.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 0.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 57 / 13 |
| Jack Martin | INT | 10.7 / 18.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 | 4.1 / 9.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 58 / 89 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 10.6 / 9.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 65 / 68 |
| Oliver Henry | FPR | 10.3 / 9.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 3.7 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 60 / 30 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 10.1 / 12.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 67 / 69 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 26.7 / 14.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 0.0 | 104 / 28 |
| Tom Liberatore | INT | 24.8 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 4.9 / 5.0 | 94 / 59 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 24.7 / 27.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 5.0 | 4.5 / 7.0 | 94 / 99 |
| Ed Richards | R | 23.6 / 30.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 13.0 | 91 / 133 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 23.5 / 29.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 4.0 | 1.3 / 3.0 | 84 / 103 |
| Ryley Sanders | HFFL | 20.7 / 25.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 72 / 79 |
| Joel Freijah | HFFR | 18.6 / 16.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 7.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 72 / 67 |
| Bailey Williams | WR | 18.0 / 26.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 8.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 74 / 104 |
| Lachie Jaques | INT | 17.2 / 10.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 4.0 | 65 / 46 |
| Oskar Baker | INT | 15.6 / 13.0 | 0.7 / 2.0 | 5.0 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 63 / 61 |
| Lachlan Bramble | HBFL | 15.0 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 60 / 30 |
| Sam Davidson | WL | 14.2 / 19.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 3.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 59 / 64 |
| Rhylee West | FPR | 12.9 / 17.0 | 1.2 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 2.7 / 5.0 | 60 / 68 |
| Sam Darcy | CHF | 12.0 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 68 / 22 |
| Rory Lobb | BPR | 11.4 / 7.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 4.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 50 / 43 |
| Cooper Hynes | INT | 11.2 / 13.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 45 / 62 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 10.9 / 11.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 6.0 | 57 / 62 |
| Will Lewis | INT | 10.9 / 10.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 57 / 54 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 9.9 / 10.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 61 / 55 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 9.8 / 8.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 4.0 | 1.2 / 3.0 | 43 / 43 |
| Jordan Croft | FPL | 9.8 / 11.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 49 / 54 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 9.6 / 7.0 | -0.0 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 0.0 | 39 / 25 |
| Louis Emmett | RK | 9.0 / 13.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 4.0 | 50 / 60 |