Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs

Fri 17 Apr 2026, 7:20pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

GEE by 6

GEE to win, 58% chance

GEE 58%42% WB

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GEE by 75

HIT Actual margin 75 · 69.3 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Geelong Cats

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Bailey Smith	C	119	-	-	99%	97%	91%	81%	66%	145
Max Holmes	R	116	-	-	99%	96%	89%	78%	62%	96
Jeremy Cameron	HFFL	91	-	-	84%	70%	52%	33%	18%	141
Tom Atkins	RR	89	-	-	82%	66%	48%	30%	16%	69
Tanner Bruhn	INT	87	-	-	80%	64%	45%	28%	14%	77
Tom Stewart	BPR	87	-	-	79%	63%	44%	27%	14%	63
James Worpel	INT	79	-	-	67%	48%	30%	16%	7%	72
Oliver Dempsey	WL	78	-	-	65%	46%	29%	15%	6%	95
Shaun Mannagh	HFFR	78	-	-	65%	47%	29%	15%	7%	80
Jack Bowes	INT	73	-	-	55%	36%	20%	10%	4%	86
Mark Blicavs	HBFL	72	-	-	53%	35%	19%	9%	4%	93
Zach Guthrie	HBFR	72	-	-	53%	35%	19%	9%	4%	96
Patrick Dangerfield	FPL	70	-	-	50%	32%	17%	8%	3%	83
Shannon Neale	FF	67	-	-	45%	28%	14%	6%	2%	69
Lawson Humphries	INT	66	-	-	42%	25%	12%	5%	2%	107
Mitchell Edwards	RK	65	-	-	40%	24%	12%	5%	2%	68
Connor O'Sullivan	FB	61	-	-	34%	19%	9%	3%	1%	26
Oliver Henry	FPR	60	-	-	32%	18%	8%	3%	1%	30
Jack Martin	INT	58	-	-	28%	14%	6%	2%	1%	89
Oliver Wiltshire	CHF	57	-	-	27%	14%	6%	2%	1%	13
Oisin Mullin	WR	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	70
Jake Kolodjashnij	BPL	54	-	-	22%	10%	4%	1%	0%	48
Sam De Koning	CHB	53	-	-	20%	10%	4%	1%	0%	65

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Marcus Bontempelli	C	104	-	-	94%	87%	74%	57%	38%	28
Matthew Kennedy	RR	94	-	-	88%	75%	58%	39%	23%	99
Tom Liberatore	INT	94	-	-	87%	75%	58%	39%	22%	59
Ed Richards	R	91	-	-	84%	70%	52%	34%	18%	133
Bailey Dale	HBFR	84	-	-	74%	57%	38%	22%	11%	103
Bailey Williams	WR	74	-	-	57%	39%	22%	11%	4%	104
Joel Freijah	HFFR	72	-	-	54%	35%	20%	9%	4%	67
Ryley Sanders	HFFL	72	-	-	53%	35%	19%	9%	4%	79
Sam Darcy	CHF	68	-	-	47%	29%	15%	7%	2%	22
Lachie Jaques	INT	65	-	-	40%	24%	12%	5%	2%	46
Oskar Baker	INT	63	-	-	37%	21%	10%	4%	1%	61
Aaron Naughton	FF	61	-	-	34%	19%	9%	3%	1%	55
Lachlan Bramble	HBFL	60	-	-	32%	17%	8%	3%	1%	30
Rhylee West	FPR	60	-	-	32%	18%	8%	3%	1%	68
Sam Davidson	WL	59	-	-	30%	16%	7%	2%	1%	64
Michael Sellwood	BPL	57	-	-	27%	14%	6%	2%	1%	62
Will Lewis	INT	57	-	-	27%	14%	6%	2%	1%	54
Louis Emmett	RK	50	-	-	17%	8%	3%	1%	0%	60
Rory Lobb	BPR	50	-	-	17%	7%	3%	1%	0%	43
Jordan Croft	FPL	49	-	-	16%	7%	3%	1%	0%	54
Cooper Hynes	INT	45	-	-	12%	5%	2%	0%	0%	62
Buku Khamis	FB	43	-	-	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%	43
James O'Donnell	CHB	39	-	-	7%	2%	1%	0%	0%	25