Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs

Fri 17 Apr 2026, 7:20pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

GEE by 6

GEE to win, 58% chance

GEE 58%42% WB

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GEE by 75

HIT Actual margin 75 · 69.3 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Geelong Cats

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jeremy Cameron	HFFL	3.5	-	-	97%	87%	69%	47%	28%	10.0
Shannon Neale	FF	2.5	-	-	92%	71%	46%	24%	11%	1.0
Oliver Henry	FPR	2.1	-	-	87%	61%	34%	16%	6%	1.0
Shaun Mannagh	HFFR	1.6	-	-	80%	48%	22%	8%	2%	0.0
Oliver Dempsey	WL	1.4	-	-	76%	42%	18%	6%	2%	1.0
Patrick Dangerfield	FPL	1.3	-	-	73%	38%	15%	4%	1%	2.0
Jack Martin	INT	1.2	-	-	71%	35%	13%	4%	1%	1.0
Oliver Wiltshire	CHF	0.9	-	-	58%	22%	6%	1%	0%	0.0
Jack Bowes	INT	0.8	-	-	53%	17%	4%	1%	0%	0.0
Bailey Smith	C	0.6	-	-	43%	11%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Max Holmes	R	0.6	-	-	46%	13%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Mark Blicavs	HBFL	0.4	-	-	36%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Atkins	RR	0.4	-	-	32%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
James Worpel	INT	0.3	-	-	22%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Mitchell Edwards	RK	0.3	-	-	29%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tanner Bruhn	INT	0.3	-	-	26%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Oisin Mullin	WR	0.2	-	-	16%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Connor O'Sullivan	FB	0.1	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jake Kolodjashnij	BPL	0.1	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Lawson Humphries	INT	0.1	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Tom Stewart	BPR	0.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Zach Guthrie	HBFR	0.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam De Koning	CHB	0.0	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Aaron Naughton	FF	2.2	-	-	89%	65%	38%	18%	7%	3.0
Sam Darcy	CHF	1.9	-	-	86%	57%	30%	13%	5%	0.0
Rhylee West	FPR	1.2	-	-	71%	35%	13%	4%	1%	0.0
Marcus Bontempelli	C	1.1	-	-	66%	30%	10%	2%	0%	0.0
Jordan Croft	FPL	1.0	-	-	63%	26%	8%	2%	0%	2.0
Ed Richards	R	0.7	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Oskar Baker	INT	0.7	-	-	52%	17%	4%	1%	0%	2.0
Cooper Hynes	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	11%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Joel Freijah	HFFR	0.6	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Bailey Williams	WR	0.5	-	-	38%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Matthew Kennedy	RR	0.5	-	-	40%	9%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Michael Sellwood	BPL	0.5	-	-	41%	10%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Davidson	WL	0.5	-	-	40%	9%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Will Lewis	INT	0.5	-	-	41%	10%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Ryley Sanders	HFFL	0.4	-	-	30%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Liberatore	INT	0.4	-	-	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachlan Bramble	HBFL	0.3	-	-	24%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Louis Emmett	RK	0.3	-	-	28%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Buku Khamis	FB	0.2	-	-	19%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Jaques	INT	0.2	-	-	16%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Bailey Dale	HBFR	0.1	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
James O'Donnell	CHB	-0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Rory Lobb	BPR	-0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0