Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs

Fri 17 Apr 2026, 7:20pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

GEE by 6

GEE to win, 58% chance

GEE 58%42% WB

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GEE by 75

HIT Actual margin 75 · 69.3 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Geelong Cats

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	3+	4+	5+	6+	7+	ACTUAL
Tom Atkins	RR	5.9	-	-	93%	84%	70%	54%	38%	7.0
Bailey Smith	C	4.6	-	-	84%	68%	49%	32%	18%	7.0
James Worpel	INT	4.4	-	-	81%	64%	45%	28%	16%	7.0
Max Holmes	R	4.2	-	-	79%	60%	41%	25%	13%	1.0
Shaun Mannagh	HFFR	3.0	-	-	57%	34%	18%	8%	3%	4.0
Tanner Bruhn	INT	2.8	-	-	53%	31%	15%	6%	2%	5.0
Jack Bowes	INT	2.7	-	-	51%	29%	14%	6%	2%	2.0
Mark Blicavs	HBFL	2.7	-	-	50%	28%	13%	5%	2%	9.0
Mitchell Edwards	RK	2.2	-	-	37%	18%	7%	2%	1%	3.0
Patrick Dangerfield	FPL	2.2	-	-	39%	19%	8%	3%	1%	1.0
Oisin Mullin	WR	2.1	-	-	34%	16%	6%	2%	1%	5.0
Zach Guthrie	HBFR	2.1	-	-	34%	16%	6%	2%	1%	3.0
Jack Martin	INT	2.0	-	-	34%	15%	6%	2%	0%	2.0
Oliver Dempsey	WL	2.0	-	-	33%	15%	6%	2%	0%	2.0
Lawson Humphries	INT	1.9	-	-	29%	12%	4%	1%	0%	3.0
Oliver Wiltshire	CHF	1.9	-	-	29%	12%	4%	1%	0%	0.0
Shannon Neale	FF	1.9	-	-	30%	13%	4%	1%	0%	4.0
Jeremy Cameron	HFFL	1.8	-	-	27%	11%	4%	1%	0%	0.0
Oliver Henry	FPR	1.8	-	-	27%	11%	4%	1%	0%	1.0
Connor O'Sullivan	FB	1.6	-	-	22%	8%	2%	1%	0%	0.0
Jake Kolodjashnij	BPL	1.6	-	-	22%	8%	2%	1%	0%	1.0
Tom Stewart	BPR	1.6	-	-	21%	8%	2%	1%	0%	4.0
Sam De Koning	CHB	1.3	-	-	15%	5%	1%	0%	0%	2.0

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	3+	4+	5+	6+	7+	ACTUAL
Tom Liberatore	INT	4.9	-	-	86%	72%	54%	36%	22%	5.0
Marcus Bontempelli	C	4.7	-	-	85%	69%	50%	33%	20%	0.0
Matthew Kennedy	RR	4.5	-	-	83%	66%	48%	30%	18%	7.0
Ed Richards	R	3.8	-	-	73%	52%	33%	18%	9%	13.0
Joel Freijah	HFFR	2.8	-	-	53%	31%	15%	6%	2%	2.0
Ryley Sanders	HFFL	2.8	-	-	53%	31%	15%	6%	2%	4.0
Rhylee West	FPR	2.7	-	-	50%	28%	13%	5%	2%	5.0
Bailey Williams	WR	2.1	-	-	34%	15%	6%	2%	0%	3.0
Cooper Hynes	INT	2.1	-	-	34%	15%	6%	2%	0%	4.0
Sam Davidson	WL	2.1	-	-	36%	17%	7%	2%	1%	1.0
Louis Emmett	RK	1.8	-	-	26%	10%	3%	1%	0%	4.0
Sam Darcy	CHF	1.8	-	-	27%	11%	4%	1%	0%	1.0
Jordan Croft	FPL	1.7	-	-	25%	10%	3%	1%	0%	1.0
Oskar Baker	INT	1.7	-	-	23%	9%	3%	1%	0%	2.0
Aaron Naughton	FF	1.6	-	-	21%	7%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Lachie Jaques	INT	1.6	-	-	22%	8%	2%	1%	0%	4.0
Lachlan Bramble	HBFL	1.6	-	-	22%	8%	2%	1%	0%	0.0
Michael Sellwood	BPL	1.5	-	-	19%	6%	2%	0%	0%	6.0
Will Lewis	INT	1.5	-	-	19%	6%	2%	0%	0%	2.0
Bailey Dale	HBFR	1.3	-	-	14%	4%	1%	0%	0%	3.0
Buku Khamis	FB	1.2	-	-	12%	3%	1%	0%	0%	3.0
James O'Donnell	CHB	1.2	-	-	11%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Rory Lobb	BPR	1.0	-	-	8%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0