Gold Coast SUNS v Essendon

Sat 18 Apr 2026, 1:15pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

GCS by 50

GCS to win, 94% chance

GCS 94%6% ESS

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GCS by 9

HIT Actual margin 9 · 40.6 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Christian Petracca	C	26.6	-	-	99%	92%	65%	28%	7%	25.0
Matt Rowell	R	25.1	-	-	99%	87%	53%	19%	4%	35.0
Touk Miller	RR	23.7	-	-	98%	80%	42%	12%	2%	26.0
John Noble	HBFL	23.5	-	-	98%	80%	41%	11%	2%	25.0
Joel Jeffrey	INT	20.8	-	-	92%	60%	20%	3%	0%	18.0
Bodhi Uwland	BPR	19.4	-	-	87%	47%	12%	2%	0%	24.0
Wil Powell	CHB	18.1	-	-	80%	36%	7%	1%	0%	19.0
Daniel Rioli	HBFR	17.9	-	-	78%	34%	6%	0%	0%	23.0
Lachie Weller	WL	14.9	-	-	52%	12%	1%	0%	0%	21.0
Mac Andrew	BPL	14.4	-	-	48%	10%	1%	0%	0%	11.0
Bailey Humphrey	CHF	14.3	-	-	46%	9%	1%	0%	0%	19.0
Will Graham	HFFR	12.7	-	-	29%	3%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Leonardo Lombard	FPR	12.3	-	-	26%	3%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Charlie Ballard	INT	12.1	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Jake Rogers	INT	12.1	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Jarrod Witts	RK	11.7	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Sam Collins	FB	11.4	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Zeke Uwland	WR	10.9	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Ben Long	HFFL	10.4	-	-	11%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Oscar Adams	INT	9.3	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Ethan Read	FPL	8.9	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	16.0
Ben King	FF	8.3	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Jed Walter	INT	7.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	9.0

Essendon

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Archie Roberts	HBFL	28.1	-	-	100%	95%	74%	38%	12%	33.0
Zach Merrett	R	27.8	-	-	100%	95%	73%	36%	10%	34.0
Darcy Parish	RR	25.4	-	-	99%	88%	56%	20%	4%	30.0
Jye Caldwell	C	23.9	-	-	98%	82%	44%	13%	2%	23.0
Andrew McGrath	BPR	23.2	-	-	97%	77%	38%	10%	1%	19.0
Sam Durham	HFFL	19.8	-	-	89%	51%	15%	2%	0%	17.0
Jordan Ridley	BPL	19.4	-	-	87%	48%	13%	2%	0%	11.0
Jacob Farrow	HBFR	16.9	-	-	71%	25%	4%	0%	0%	17.0
Xavier Duursma	WL	16.4	-	-	67%	21%	3%	0%	0%	13.0
Elijah Tsatas	INT	16.0	-	-	64%	19%	2%	0%	0%	25.0
Zach Reid	CHB	14.0	-	-	43%	8%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Jade Gresham	INT	13.7	-	-	39%	6%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Saad El-Hawli	INT	13.7	-	-	40%	6%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Kyle Langford	HFFR	13.2	-	-	34%	5%	0%	0%	0%	21.0
Archer Day-Wicks	WR	12.2	-	-	25%	2%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Isaac Kako	FPL	12.1	-	-	23%	2%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Sullivan Robey	INT	11.0	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Peter Wright	FF	10.7	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Ben McKay	FB	10.5	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Nate Caddy	CHF	10.4	-	-	11%	0%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Lachlan Blakiston	RK	9.6	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Thomas Edwards	INT	8.4	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Archer May	FPR	8.1	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7.0