AFL · ROUND 6 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v Essendon
Sat 18 Apr 2026, 1:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GCS by 50
GCS to win, 94% chance
GCS 94%6% ESS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 9
HIT Actual margin 9 · 40.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Petracca | C | 26.6 / 25.0 | 1.4 / 3.0 | 4.8 / 4.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 96 / 97 |
| Matt Rowell | R | 25.1 / 35.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 5.7 / 4.0 | 96 / 98 |
| Touk Miller | RR | 23.7 / 26.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 3.6 / 6.0 | 89 / 103 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 23.5 / 25.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 87 / 66 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 20.8 / 18.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 2.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 78 / 48 |
| Bodhi Uwland | BPR | 19.4 / 24.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 79 / 85 |
| Wil Powell | CHB | 18.1 / 19.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 4.0 | 3.9 / 9.0 | 77 / 95 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFR | 17.9 / 23.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 67 / 70 |
| Lachie Weller | WL | 14.9 / 21.0 | 0.2 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 3.0 | 57 / 76 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 14.4 / 11.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 4.0 | 1.2 / 4.0 | 60 / 63 |
| Bailey Humphrey | CHF | 14.3 / 19.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 6.0 | 2.8 / 6.0 | 72 / 89 |
| Will Graham | HFFR | 12.7 / 10.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 2.0 | 58 / 41 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPR | 12.3 / 10.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 54 / 31 |
| Charlie Ballard | INT | 12.1 / 6.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 53 / 29 |
| Jake Rogers | INT | 12.1 / 10.0 | 0.9 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 54 / 37 |
| Jarrod Witts | RK | 11.7 / 14.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 1.4 / 4.0 | 2.4 / 4.0 | 76 / 96 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 11.4 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 10.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 50 / 79 |
| Zeke Uwland | WR | 10.9 / 14.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 59 / 55 |
| Ben Long | HFFL | 10.4 / 12.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 3.6 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 55 / 64 |
| Oscar Adams | INT | 9.3 / 11.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 46 / 35 |
| Ethan Read | FPL | 8.9 / 16.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 3.6 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 52 / 73 |
| Ben King | FF | 8.3 / 8.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 3.7 / 6.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 51 / 59 |
| Jed Walter | INT | 7.0 / 9.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 43 / 49 |
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archie Roberts | HBFL | 28.1 / 33.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 9.1 / 7.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 100 / 117 |
| Zach Merrett | R | 27.8 / 34.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 4.6 / 9.0 | 4.7 / 8.0 | 101 / 151 |
| Darcy Parish | RR | 25.4 / 30.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 5.0 | 3.3 / 5.0 | 86 / 109 |
| Jye Caldwell | C | 23.9 / 23.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 7.0 | 5.2 / 6.0 | 92 / 109 |
| Andrew McGrath | BPR | 23.2 / 19.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 5.4 / 2.0 | 2.4 / 5.0 | 79 / 81 |
| Sam Durham | HFFL | 19.8 / 17.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 1.0 | 4.1 / 5.0 | 74 / 67 |
| Jordan Ridley | BPL | 19.4 / 11.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 8.8 / 7.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 77 / 52 |
| Jacob Farrow | HBFR | 16.9 / 17.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 7.6 / 4.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 60 / 58 |
| Xavier Duursma | WL | 16.4 / 13.0 | 0.3 / 2.0 | 5.6 / 5.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 67 / 71 |
| Elijah Tsatas | INT | 16.0 / 25.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 7.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 63 / 89 |
| Zach Reid | CHB | 14.0 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 7.8 / 6.0 | 1.4 / 0.0 | 60 / 50 |
| Jade Gresham | INT | 13.7 / 10.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 5.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 55 / 61 |
| Saad El-Hawli | INT | 13.7 / 14.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 6.0 | 56 / 79 |
| Kyle Langford | HFFR | 13.2 / 21.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 62 / 73 |
| Archer Day-Wicks | WR | 12.2 / 10.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 5.0 | 52 / 56 |
| Isaac Kako | FPL | 12.1 / 13.0 | 0.9 / 2.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 52 / 57 |
| Sullivan Robey | INT | 11.0 / 11.0 | 0.5 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 4.0 | 57 / 64 |
| Peter Wright | FF | 10.7 / 15.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 5.4 / 2.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 64 / 61 |
| Ben McKay | FB | 10.5 / 6.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 7.0 / 3.0 | 0.9 / 2.0 | 44 / 29 |
| Nate Caddy | CHF | 10.4 / 9.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 4.3 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 53 / 41 |
| Lachlan Blakiston | RK | 9.6 / 7.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 54 / 39 |
| Thomas Edwards | INT | 8.4 / 8.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 47 / 45 |
| Archer May | FPR | 8.1 / 7.0 | 0.7 / 2.0 | 2.3 / 5.0 | 2.3 / 8.0 | 46 / 81 |