AFL · ROUND 6 · MARVEL STADIUM
Hawthorn v Port Adelaide
Sat 18 Apr 2026, 4:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
HAW by 40
HAW to win, 90% chance
HAW 90%10% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HAW by 3
HIT Actual margin 3 · 36.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Newcombe | RR | 25.4 / 24.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 3.8 / 7.0 | 92 / 99 |
| Josh Ward | INT | 23.4 / 14.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 87 / 50 |
| Karl Amon | WR | 22.4 / 17.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 86 / 62 |
| Jarman Impey | BPR | 20.9 / 23.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.4 / 13.0 | 1.9 / 4.0 | 85 / 115 |
| James Sicily | CHB | 20.5 / 17.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 8.1 / 4.0 | 1.4 / 4.0 | 85 / 67 |
| Conor Nash | C | 19.6 / 20.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 8.0 | 80 / 82 |
| Dylan Moore | FPL | 19.3 / 18.0 | 0.9 / 1.0 | 5.0 / 3.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 84 / 65 |
| Jack Ginnivan | INT | 19.2 / 20.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 5.1 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 80 / 79 |
| Connor Macdonald | INT | 19.1 / 15.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 4.0 | 2.3 / 5.0 | 81 / 66 |
| Josh Battle | HBFL | 18.7 / 19.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 7.1 / 9.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 80 / 86 |
| Massimo D'Ambrosio | INT | 18.6 / 14.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 8.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 76 / 67 |
| Cam Mackenzie | R | 17.9 / 14.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 3.7 / 3.0 | 69 / 54 |
| Blake Hardwick | HBFR | 15.9 / 19.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 8.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 72 / 84 |
| Josh Weddle | BPL | 15.7 / 19.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 8.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 68 / 86 |
| Flynn Perez | WL | 13.2 / 9.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 54 / 51 |
| Nick Watson | FPR | 13.0 / 13.0 | 1.5 / 5.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 2.1 / 0.0 | 60 / 71 |
| Lloyd Meek | INT | 12.8 / 7.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 83 / 46 |
| Tom Barrass | FB | 11.4 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 6.0 | 0.9 / 2.0 | 51 / 52 |
| William McCabe | HFFL | 10.9 / 6.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 59 / 35 |
| Sam Butler | HFFR | 9.8 / 10.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 6.0 | 48 / 55 |
| Mitch Lewis | CHF | 8.8 / 15.0 | 1.5 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 7.0 | 1.6 / 3.0 | 53 / 94 |
| Ned Reeves | RK | 8.5 / 10.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 6.0 | 68 / 77 |
| Calsher Dear | FF | 6.7 / 14.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 45 / 76 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 29.9 / 35.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 4.0 | 4.0 / 5.0 | 100 / 125 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 24.4 / 19.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 89 / 76 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 21.7 / 28.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 4.6 / 7.0 | 2.5 / 5.0 | 85 / 126 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 21.7 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 84 / 60 |
| Willem Drew | R | 19.1 / 19.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 4.0 | 5.3 / 5.0 | 78 / 78 |
| Jase Burgoyne | HBFL | 19.0 / 16.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 4.6 / 6.0 | 2.5 / 2.0 | 73 / 76 |
| Logan Evans | INT | 16.9 / 5.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 3.0 | 66 / 26 |
| Miles Bergman | BPR | 16.6 / 19.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 9.0 | 2.7 / 2.0 | 68 / 85 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | FPL | 16.2 / 15.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 6.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 68 / 62 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 15.7 / 14.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 7.7 / 5.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 68 / 50 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 15.5 / 15.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 4.0 | 65 / 58 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 14.8 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 6.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 60 / 62 |
| Todd Marshall | BPL | 14.4 / 18.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 7.4 / 8.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 73 / 78 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 14.1 / 12.0 | 0.3 / 2.0 | 3.4 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 54 / 63 |
| Lachie Jones | FB | 13.7 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 52 / 40 |
| Christian Moraes | HFFL | 13.6 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 51 / 37 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 13.1 / 10.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 81 / 61 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 12.7 / 18.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 7.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 52 / 77 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 12.3 / 10.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 68 / 59 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 10.5 / 5.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 3.0 | 44 / 26 |
| Corey Durdin | INT | 9.7 / 5.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 55 / 43 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 8.7 / 8.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 3.7 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 4.0 | 48 / 60 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 8.0 / 2.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 0.0 | 2.2 / 4.0 | 63 / 32 |