NFL · WEEK 6 · LUCAS OIL STADIUM
Indianapolis Colts v Tennessee Titans
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 1:00pm EDT (venue time)
IN TESTINGIn testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
IND by 6.7
IND to win, 72% chance
IND 72%28% TEN
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
TEN by 6.0
MISS Actual margin 6.0 · 12.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
8 Oct 2026
IN TESTING In testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
Fantasy (PPR): the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Indianapolis Colts
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor PROJECTED | RB | 19.0 | 14.4 to 23.5 | 4.3 to 33.6 | 85% | 68% | 45% | 26% | 12% | inside our 50% range: 21.1 |
| Daniel Jones | QB | 14.1 | 10.1 to 18.1 | 1.1 to 27.1 | 70% | 46% | 22% | 10% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 13.8 |
| Tyler Warren PROJECTED | TE | 12.8 | 8.9 to 16.7 | 0.3 to 25.4 | 62% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 5% | - |
| Josh Downs PROJECTED | WR | 8.9 | 5.6 to 12.3 | 0.0 to 19.8 | 40% | 21% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 8.7 |
| Keenan Allen PROJECTED | WR | 8.5 | 5.2 to 11.8 | 0.0 to 19.1 | 38% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 16.2 |
| Laquon Treadwell PROJECTED | WR | 4.4 | 1.8 to 7.0 | 0.0 to 12.7 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 4.1 |
| DJ Giddens PROJECTED | RB | 2.8 | 0.5 to 5.0 | 0.0 to 9.9 | 8% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Seth McGowan PROJECTED | RB | 2.5 | 0.4 to 4.7 | 0.0 to 9.5 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.7 |
| Mo Alie-Cox PROJECTED | TE | 2.4 | 0.3 to 4.5 | 0.0 to 9.3 | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.1 |
| Will Mallory PROJECTED | TE | 1.2 | 0.0 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 6.8 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Deion Burks PROJECTED | WR | 0.8 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.8 |
| Andrew Ogletree PROJECTED | TE | 0.7 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Pharaoh Brown PROJECTED | TE | 0.5 | 0.0 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.7 |
| Anthony Gould PROJECTED | WR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Tennessee Titans
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward | QB | 12.9 | 9.0 to 16.8 | 0.4 to 25.5 | 62% | 38% | 22% | 10% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 6.8 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson PROJECTED | WR | 11.4 | 7.7 to 15.1 | 0.0 to 23.3 | 56% | 34% | 18% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 5.2 |
| Carnell Tate PROJECTED | WR | 11.0 | 7.3 to 14.7 | 0.0 to 22.8 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 19.0 |
| Tony Pollard PROJECTED | RB | 9.5 | 6.1 to 13.0 | 0.0 to 20.7 | 42% | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 7.6 |
| Michael Carter PROJECTED | RB | 7.9 | 4.7 to 11.1 | 0.0 to 18.2 | 35% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Tyjae Spears PROJECTED | RB | 6.2 | 3.3 to 9.2 | 0.0 to 15.7 | 30% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 1.8 |
| Gunnar Helm PROJECTED | TE | 4.2 | 1.7 to 6.8 | 0.0 to 12.5 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Elic Ayomanor PROJECTED | WR | 4.1 | 1.6 to 6.7 | 0.0 to 12.4 | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.3 |
| Calvin Ridley PROJECTED | WR | 4.0 | 1.5 to 6.5 | 0.0 to 12.1 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Chimere Dike PROJECTED | WR | 2.5 | 0.4 to 4.7 | 0.0 to 9.5 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Daniel Bellinger PROJECTED | TE | 2.4 | 0.3 to 4.5 | 0.0 to 9.3 | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kylen Granson PROJECTED | TE | 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 7.0 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Nicholas Singleton PROJECTED | RB | 1.0 | 0.0 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 6.3 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| David Martin-Robinson PROJECTED | TE | 0.7 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Julius Chestnut PROJECTED | RB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |