NFL · WEEK 6 · WEMBLEY STADIUM
Jacksonville Jaguars v Houston Texans
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 2:30pm BST (venue time)
IN TESTINGIn testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
JAX by 6.6
JAX to win, 72% chance
JAX 72%28% HOU
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HOU by 3.0
MISS Actual margin 3.0 · 9.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
8 Oct 2026
IN TESTING In testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
Fantasy (PPR): the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Jacksonville Jaguars
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | 17.9 | 13.4 to 22.3 | 3.5 to 32.2 | 84% | 62% | 40% | 23% | 11% | inside our 90% range: 27.3 |
| Parker Washington PROJECTED | WR | 13.1 | 9.2 to 17.0 | 0.5 to 25.7 | 63% | 39% | 22% | 10% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 10.4 |
| Jakobi Meyers PROJECTED | WR | 9.0 | 5.6 to 12.4 | 0.0 to 19.8 | 40% | 21% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 13.3 |
| Bhayshul Tuten PROJECTED | RB | 8.7 | 5.4 to 12.1 | 0.0 to 19.5 | 40% | 21% | 7% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 24.7 |
| Brenton Strange PROJECTED | TE | 8.5 | 5.2 to 11.8 | 0.0 to 19.2 | 38% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 9.4 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. PROJECTED | WR | 5.0 | 2.3 to 7.7 | 0.0 to 13.7 | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. PROJECTED | RB | 3.4 | 1.0 to 5.8 | 0.0 to 11.1 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 5.5 |
| Josh Cameron PROJECTED | WR | 2.9 | 0.6 to 5.1 | 0.0 to 10.1 | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Travis Hunter PROJECTED | WR | 2.0 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 8.4 | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 15.9 |
| Nate Boerkircher PROJECTED | TE | 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 8.2 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 8.8 |
| C.J. Williams PROJECTED | WR | 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 7.1 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Tanner Koziol PROJECTED | TE | 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 7.0 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| LeQuint Allen Jr. PROJECTED | RB | 0.7 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.1 |
| Ameer Abdullah PROJECTED | RB | 0.6 | 0.0 to 2.1 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Quintin Morris PROJECTED | TE | 0.0 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
Houston Texans
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud | QB | 14.0 | 10.0 to 18.0 | 1.0 to 26.9 | 69% | 45% | 22% | 10% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 23.0 |
| Nico Collins PROJECTED | WR | 12.5 | 8.7 to 16.4 | 0.1 to 24.9 | 60% | 36% | 20% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 10.9 |
| Woody Marks PROJECTED | RB | 9.3 | 5.8 to 12.7 | 0.0 to 20.3 | 42% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 10.1 |
| Dalton Schultz PROJECTED | TE | 6.9 | 3.8 to 10.0 | 0.0 to 16.8 | 34% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 7.3 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. PROJECTED | WR | 5.9 | 3.0 to 8.8 | 0.0 to 15.2 | 27% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.4 |
| Xavier Hutchinson PROJECTED | WR | 5.6 | 2.8 to 8.4 | 0.0 to 14.7 | 23% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Jawhar Jordan PROJECTED | RB | 5.1 | 2.4 to 7.9 | 0.0 to 14.0 | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Jaylin Noel PROJECTED | WR | 5.0 | 2.3 to 7.8 | 0.0 to 13.8 | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 20.7 |
| Kayshon Boutte PROJECTED | WR | 4.8 | 2.1 to 7.5 | 0.0 to 13.5 | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.6 |
| Foster Moreau PROJECTED | TE | 2.6 | 0.4 to 4.8 | 0.0 to 9.6 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 14.7 |
| Cade Stover PROJECTED | TE | 2.1 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 8.6 | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.5 |
| Brevin Jordan PROJECTED | TE | 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 8.2 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.9 |
| Dare Ogunbowale PROJECTED | RB | 1.5 | 0.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 7.4 | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Marlin Klein PROJECTED | TE | 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 6.9 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |