NFL · WEEK 6 · ALLEGIANT STADIUM
Las Vegas Raiders v Buffalo Bills
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 1:25pm PDT (venue time)
IN TESTINGIn testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
BUF by 6.1
BUF to win, 70% chance
LV 30%70% BUF
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BUF by 3.0
HIT Actual margin 3.0 · 3.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
8 Oct 2026
IN TESTING In testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
Fantasy (PPR): the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Las Vegas Raiders
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | QB | 14.8 | 10.6 to 18.9 | 1.5 to 28.0 | 73% | 49% | 25% | 11% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 18.5 |
| Brock Bowers PROJECTED | TE | 14.4 | 10.3 to 18.5 | 1.3 to 27.5 | 71% | 47% | 23% | 10% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Ashton Jeanty PROJECTED | RB | 13.8 | 9.8 to 17.8 | 0.9 to 26.7 | 68% | 43% | 21% | 10% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 15.8 |
| Tre Tucker PROJECTED | WR | 8.0 | 4.8 to 11.3 | 0.0 to 18.5 | 36% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 26.7 |
| Michael Mayer PROJECTED | TE | 6.8 | 3.7 to 9.8 | 0.0 to 16.5 | 33% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 16.5 |
| Jalen Nailor PROJECTED | WR | 3.7 | 1.2 to 6.1 | 0.0 to 11.5 | 15% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.9 |
| Cody White PROJECTED | WR | 3.1 | 0.8 to 5.4 | 0.0 to 10.5 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Ian Thomas PROJECTED | TE | 2.5 | 0.3 to 4.6 | 0.0 to 9.4 | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Mike Washington Jr. PROJECTED | RB | 2.3 | 0.2 to 4.4 | 0.0 to 9.1 | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Malik Benson PROJECTED | WR | 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 7.0 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Dylan Laube PROJECTED | RB | 1.2 | 0.0 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 6.7 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.9 |
| Connor Heyward PROJECTED | RB | 1.1 | 0.0 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 6.6 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Dareke Young PROJECTED | WR | 0.4 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Buffalo Bills
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | QB | 23.1 | 18.1 to 28.1 | 7.2 to 39.0 | 92% | 82% | 62% | 42% | 25% | inside our 50% range: 18.3 |
| James Cook PROJECTED | RB | 15.1 | 10.9 to 19.2 | 1.7 to 28.4 | 74% | 50% | 26% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 24.3 |
| Khalil Shakir PROJECTED | WR | 9.5 | 6.0 to 13.0 | 0.0 to 20.6 | 42% | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 13.4 |
| DJ Moore PROJECTED | WR | 8.5 | 5.2 to 11.8 | 0.0 to 19.2 | 38% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Dalton Kincaid PROJECTED | TE | 8.3 | 5.0 to 11.6 | 0.0 to 18.9 | 37% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 10.8 |
| Keon Coleman PROJECTED | WR | 7.5 | 4.3 to 10.6 | 0.0 to 17.6 | 32% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.9 |
| Ty Johnson PROJECTED | RB | 5.6 | 2.7 to 8.4 | 0.0 to 14.7 | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 4.7 |
| Dawson Knox PROJECTED | TE | 4.5 | 1.8 to 7.1 | 0.0 to 12.9 | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Josh Palmer PROJECTED | WR | 3.8 | 1.3 to 6.2 | 0.0 to 11.7 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 4.7 |
| Ray Davis PROJECTED | RB | 1.7 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 7.9 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.9 |
| Skyler Bell PROJECTED | WR | 1.7 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 7.8 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jackson Hawes PROJECTED | TE | 1.6 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 7.7 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Greg Dortch PROJECTED | WR | 0.9 | 0.0 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 6.2 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Keleki Latu PROJECTED | TE | 0.2 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |