AFL · ROUND 6 · MCG
Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
Sun 19 Apr 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
BRI by 10
BRI to win, 64% chance
MEL 36%64% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
MEL by 2
MISS Actual margin 2 · 12.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Steele | C | 25.1 / 20.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 4.8 / 2.0 | 6.0 / 6.0 | 102 / 87 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | FPR | 23.0 / 22.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 5.0 | 95 / 80 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 22.4 / 21.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 109 / 93 |
| Caleb Windsor | INT | 18.9 / 12.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 4.0 | 72 / 48 |
| Xavier Lindsay | HBFR | 17.2 / - | 0.3 / - | 3.7 / - | 1.9 / - | 68 / - |
| Ed Langdon | R | 16.8 / 28.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 9.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 70 / 103 |
| Harvey Langford | RR | 16.3 / 27.0 | 0.4 / 3.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 66 / 99 |
| Kade Chandler | HFFL | 15.8 / 17.0 | 0.8 / 3.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 71 / 88 |
| Jake Lever | FB | 14.1 / 12.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 7.3 / 5.0 | 1.1 / 2.0 | 66 / 52 |
| Harry Sharp | HFFR | 13.8 / 8.0 | 0.8 / 2.0 | 3.2 / 3.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 65 / 52 |
| Tom Sparrow | HBFL | 13.8 / 16.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 4.0 | 3.7 / 2.0 | 62 / 63 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | WL | 13.7 / 26.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 61 / 73 |
| Bayley Fritsch | FPL | 13.1 / 15.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 4.7 / 4.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 68 / 62 |
| Jai Culley | WR | 12.5 / 18.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 6.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 59 / 82 |
| Blake Howes | BPR | 12.3 / 15.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 4.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 50 / 51 |
| Daniel Turner | BPL | 11.9 / 15.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 9.0 | 1.2 / 3.0 | 56 / 81 |
| Jacob van Rooyen | CHF | 11.3 / 14.0 | 1.7 / 3.0 | 4.2 / 5.0 | 1.6 / 0.0 | 62 / 68 |
| Luker Kentfield | INT | 10.9 / - | 0.6 / - | 2.8 / - | 1.5 / - | 59 / - |
| Xavier Taylor | INT | 10.9 / 5.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 1.5 / 5.0 | 59 / 36 |
| Bailey Laurie | INT | 10.5 / 10.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 50 / 39 |
| Harrison Petty | CHB | 10.4 / 11.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 54 / 46 |
| Brody Mihocek | FF | 10.3 / 8.0 | 2.2 / 2.0 | 4.0 / 6.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 60 / 58 |
| Latrelle Pickett | INT | 10.3 / 14.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 45 / 39 |
| Jack Henderson | INT | 9.8 / - | 0.6 / - | 2.5 / - | 1.9 / - | 50 / - |
| Matthew Jefferson | INT | 7.5 / 7.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 4.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 | 44 / 31 |
| Max Heath | INT | 7.5 / 4.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 54 / 16 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | R | 27.8 / 31.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 6.0 | 3.4 / 1.0 | 94 / 97 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 27.8 / 26.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 8.0 | 4.0 / 3.0 | 100 / 100 |
| Hugh McCluggage | INT | 26.9 / 15.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 6.0 | 4.1 / 1.0 | 91 / 66 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 21.9 / 21.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 6.0 | 5.7 / 4.0 | 92 / 83 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | CHB | 20.9 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 5.4 / 7.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 80 / 77 |
| Zac Bailey | INT | 20.9 / 14.0 | 1.4 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 2.0 | 2.7 / 0.0 | 86 / 39 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 20.0 / 27.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 9.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 78 / 105 |
| Jarrod Berry | WR | 19.1 / 11.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 2.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 80 / 32 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 18.8 / 20.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 11.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 73 / 94 |
| Keidean Coleman | BPL | 18.5 / 20.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.2 / 7.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 73 / 80 |
| Bruce Reville | WL | 15.6 / 20.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 9.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 64 / 84 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 14.7 / 11.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 3.0 / 6.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 69 / 68 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 13.9 / 22.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.4 / 12.0 | 0.9 / 2.0 | 58 / 102 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 13.8 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 6.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 60 / 60 |
| Noah Answerth | HBFR | 13.4 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 6.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 59 / 63 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 12.4 / 6.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 74 / 48 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 12.1 / - | 0.4 / - | 3.3 / - | 1.8 / - | 50 / - |
| Logan Morris | INT | 12.0 / 12.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 7.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 | 61 / 76 |
| Kai Lohmann | INT | 11.6 / 11.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 3.0 | 57 / 49 |
| Lincoln McCarthy | INT | 10.6 / 12.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 3.2 / 9.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 52 / 68 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 10.5 / 14.0 | 1.6 / 3.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 56 / 74 |
| Shadeau Brain | INT | 10.5 / - | 0.4 / - | 2.5 / - | 1.6 / - | 45 / - |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 9.9 / - | 0.2 / - | 1.5 / - | 3.1 / - | 71 / - |
| Oscar Allen | CHF | 9.2 / 8.0 | 1.6 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 4.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 52 / 43 |
| Ty Gallop | FPR | 8.5 / 8.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 42 / 38 |
| Zane Zakostelsky | INT | 8.4 / 4.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 1.5 / 2.0 | 40 / 36 |