New England Patriots v New York Jets

Sun 18 Oct 2026, 1:00pm EDT (venue time)

IN TESTINGIn testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked. FINAL HIT

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

NE by 11.5

NE to win, 83% chance

NE 83%17% NYJ

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

NE by 7.0

HIT Actual margin 7.0 · 4.5 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 8 Oct 2026

IN TESTING In testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.

Player predictions

Fantasy (PPR): the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

New England Patriots

ANNOUNCED

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	10+	15+	20+	25+	30+	ACTUAL
Drake Maye	QB	19.0	14.5 to 23.6	4.3 to 33.7	85%	68%	45%	26%	13%	inside our 90% range: 23.8
Rhamondre Stevenson PROJECTED	RB	12.7	8.8 to 16.6	0.2 to 25.2	61%	37%	21%	10%	4%	inside our 90% range: 3.6
A.J. Brown PROJECTED	WR	12.0	8.2 to 15.8	0.0 to 24.2	58%	34%	18%	8%	4%	inside our 90% range: 5.7
Romeo Doubs PROJECTED	WR	8.7	5.3 to 12.0	0.0 to 19.4	39%	20%	7%	2%	1%	inside our 50% range: 11.2
Hunter Henry PROJECTED	TE	6.9	3.8 to 10.0	0.0 to 16.8	34%	14%	7%	4%	1%	inside our 90% range: 14.8
TreVeyon Henderson PROJECTED	RB	5.4	2.6 to 8.2	0.0 to 14.4	22%	9%	4%	1%	0%	inside our 50% range: 3.0
DeMario Douglas PROJECTED	WR	5.1	2.4 to 7.9	0.0 to 14.0	21%	8%	3%	1%	0%	outside our 90% range: 19.6
Eli Raridon PROJECTED	TE	3.8	1.3 to 6.3	0.0 to 11.8	15%	6%	3%	1%	0%	inside our 50% range: 2.1
Efton Chism III PROJECTED	WR	3.3	0.9 to 5.6	0.0 to 10.9	12%	5%	2%	1%	0%	inside our 90% range: 0.0
Kyle Williams PROJECTED	WR	2.1	0.1 to 4.1	0.0 to 8.7	11%	4%	1%	0%	0%	inside our 50% range: 2.2
Corey Kiner PROJECTED	RB	1.6	0.0 to 3.5	0.0 to 7.7	6%	1%	0%	0%	0%	inside our 90% range: 5.7
Tanner Arkin PROJECTED	TE	1.2	0.0 to 2.9	0.0 to 6.8	5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	-
Cameron Latu PROJECTED	TE	0.0	0.0 to 1.1	0.0 to 3.4	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	inside our 50% range: 0.0

New York Jets

ANNOUNCED

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	10+	15+	20+	25+	30+	ACTUAL
Garrett Wilson PROJECTED	WR	11.8	8.0 to 15.6	0.0 to 23.9	57%	33%	18%	7%	4%	inside our 50% range: 8.4
Geno Smith	QB	11.3	7.6 to 15.0	0.0 to 23.2	55%	34%	17%	7%	2%	inside our 50% range: 12.0
Braelon Allen PROJECTED	RB	9.6	6.1 to 13.1	0.0 to 20.8	43%	24%	10%	4%	2%	inside our 50% range: 12.4
Isaiah Williams PROJECTED	WR	5.9	3.0 to 8.7	0.0 to 15.1	27%	11%	5%	3%	0%	inside our 90% range: 0.4
Kenyon Sadiq PROJECTED	TE	5.2	2.5 to 8.0	0.0 to 14.1	22%	9%	4%	1%	0%	inside our 90% range: 2.2
Mason Taylor PROJECTED	TE	5.0	2.3 to 7.8	0.0 to 13.8	21%	8%	3%	1%	0%	inside our 50% range: 7.3
Jeremy Ruckert PROJECTED	TE	3.2	0.9 to 5.6	0.0 to 10.8	12%	5%	2%	1%	0%	-
Tim Patrick PROJECTED	WR	2.9	0.6 to 5.1	0.0 to 10.2	10%	3%	1%	0%	0%	inside our 50% range: 2.5
Jelani Woods PROJECTED	TE	2.4	0.3 to 4.5	0.0 to 9.2	6%	1%	1%	0%	0%	inside our 50% range: 1.9
Isaiah Davis PROJECTED	RB	2.0	0.0 to 4.0	0.0 to 8.4	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%	inside our 50% range: 3.6
Omar Cooper Jr. PROJECTED	WR	1.2	0.0 to 2.9	0.0 to 6.7	5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	outside our 90% range: 22.3
Kene Nwangwu PROJECTED	RB	1.0	0.0 to 2.7	0.0 to 6.4	4%	1%	0%	0%	0%	inside our 50% range: 0.0
Andrew Beck PROJECTED	RB	0.3	0.0 to 1.6	0.0 to 4.4	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Malik McClain PROJECTED	WR	0.2	0.0 to 1.4	0.0 to 4.1	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-