North Melbourne v Richmond

Sun 19 Apr 2026, 1:10pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

NM by 26

NM to win, 80% chance

NM 80%20% RIC

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

NM by 75

HIT Actual margin 75 · 49.3 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Harry Sheezel	R	29.7	-	-	99%	94%	77%	48%	20%	39.0
Luke Davies-Uniacke	RR	26.7	-	-	97%	86%	61%	29%	8%	26.0
Colby McKercher	HBFL	24.1	-	-	94%	76%	44%	15%	3%	26.0
Caleb Daniel	CHB	23.4	-	-	93%	73%	39%	12%	2%	32.0
Luke Parker	HBFR	23.3	-	-	93%	72%	38%	12%	2%	26.0
Jy Simpkin	WL	20.3	-	-	84%	53%	19%	3%	0%	24.0
Dylan Stephens	WR	19.6	-	-	81%	47%	15%	2%	0%	21.0
Tom Powell	C	19.6	-	-	81%	47%	15%	2%	0%	18.0
George Wardlaw	INT	18.6	-	-	76%	39%	10%	1%	0%	25.0
Luke McDonald	INT	16.5	-	-	62%	24%	4%	0%	0%	25.0
Bailey Scott	INT	15.9	-	-	58%	19%	3%	0%	0%	-
Tom Blamires	INT	14.1	-	-	42%	9%	1%	0%	0%	21.0
Charlie Spargo	INT	12.4	-	-	27%	4%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Toby Pink	INT	12.2	-	-	25%	3%	0%	0%	0%	-
Charlie Comben	BPR	11.6	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Griffin Logue	FB	11.2	-	-	17%	1%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Aidan Corr	BPL	10.9	-	-	15%	1%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Jacob Konstanty	INT	10.5	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	-
Paul Curtis	HFFL	10.1	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Cameron Zurhaar	FPL	9.7	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	23.0
Nick Larkey	FF	9.6	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Lachy Dovaston	INT	9.5	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Jack Darling	FPR	9.1	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	20.0
Zane Duursma	HFFR	9.0	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4.0
Cooper Trembath	CHF	8.6	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Callum Coleman-Jones	RK	7.9	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	15.0

Richmond

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Tim Taranto	RR	24.9	-	-	96%	80%	50%	19%	4%	10.0
Jayden Short	CHB	22.4	-	-	91%	67%	32%	9%	1%	26.0
Sam Banks	WL	21.3	-	-	88%	59%	24%	5%	1%	0.0
Dion Prestia	C	20.9	-	-	86%	57%	22%	5%	0%	22.0
Jack Ross	CHF	19.5	-	-	81%	46%	15%	2%	0%	26.0
Tyler Sonsie	INT	17.9	-	-	72%	34%	8%	1%	0%	10.0
Nick Vlastuin	BPL	17.0	-	-	66%	27%	5%	0%	0%	13.0
Kane McAuliffe	INT	16.9	-	-	65%	26%	5%	0%	0%	23.0
Sam Grlj	HBFR	15.7	-	-	56%	18%	2%	0%	0%	16.0
Hugo Ralphsmith	WR	13.8	-	-	39%	8%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Ben Miller	FB	13.6	-	-	37%	7%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Seth Campbell	FF	13.2	-	-	34%	6%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Sam Lalor	R	12.5	-	-	27%	4%	0%	0%	0%	22.0
Tom Brown	INT	12.5	-	-	27%	4%	0%	0%	0%	-
Noah Balta	BPR	12.3	-	-	26%	3%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Nathan Broad	HBFL	11.5	-	-	19%	2%	0%	0%	0%	18.0
Patrick Retschko	INT	10.9	-	-	15%	1%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Zane Peucker	INT	10.9	-	-	15%	1%	0%	0%	0%	-
Oliver Hayes-Brown	INT	9.4	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Campbell Gray	INT	9.2	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Maurice Rioli	HFFL	9.0	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Steely Green	HFFR	9.0	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6.0
Samson Ryan	RK	8.8	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Jonty Faull	INT	7.5	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5.0
Mykelti Lefau	FPR	7.5	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5.0
Liam Fawcett	FPL	6.9	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0