North Melbourne v Richmond

Sun 19 Apr 2026, 1:10pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

NM by 26

NM to win, 80% chance

NM 80%20% RIC

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

NM by 75

HIT Actual margin 75 · 49.3 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Harry Sheezel	R	108	-	-	94%	88%	77%	63%	47%	136
Luke Davies-Uniacke	RR	97	-	-	88%	77%	62%	45%	29%	92
Caleb Daniel	CHB	89	-	-	80%	65%	48%	31%	18%	87
Luke Parker	HBFR	89	-	-	80%	65%	48%	31%	18%	89
Colby McKercher	HBFL	85	-	-	75%	59%	41%	25%	13%	90
Tom Powell	C	81	-	-	69%	52%	34%	20%	10%	87
Jy Simpkin	WL	80	-	-	68%	50%	33%	18%	9%	77
George Wardlaw	INT	77	-	-	63%	45%	28%	15%	7%	91
Dylan Stephens	WR	76	-	-	61%	43%	26%	14%	6%	89
Luke McDonald	INT	68	-	-	47%	29%	15%	7%	2%	101
Bailey Scott	INT	65	-	-	40%	23%	11%	4%	2%	-
Paul Curtis	HFFL	60	-	-	30%	16%	7%	2%	1%	99
Charlie Spargo	INT	58	-	-	28%	14%	6%	2%	0%	40
Callum Coleman-Jones	RK	56	-	-	24%	11%	4%	1%	0%	66
Tom Blamires	INT	56	-	-	24%	11%	4%	1%	0%	72
Nick Larkey	FF	55	-	-	22%	10%	4%	1%	0%	50
Jacob Konstanty	INT	54	-	-	22%	10%	4%	1%	0%	-
Cameron Zurhaar	FPL	53	-	-	20%	9%	3%	1%	0%	113
Jack Darling	FPR	53	-	-	19%	8%	3%	1%	0%	92
Charlie Comben	BPR	52	-	-	18%	8%	3%	1%	0%	63
Griffin Logue	FB	50	-	-	16%	6%	2%	0%	0%	48
Lachy Dovaston	INT	50	-	-	15%	6%	2%	0%	0%	24
Toby Pink	INT	50	-	-	15%	6%	2%	0%	0%	-
Cooper Trembath	CHF	48	-	-	13%	5%	2%	0%	0%	77
Zane Duursma	HFFR	48	-	-	13%	5%	1%	0%	0%	23
Aidan Corr	BPL	45	-	-	9%	3%	1%	0%	0%	49

Richmond

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Tim Taranto	RR	88	-	-	79%	64%	47%	30%	17%	30
Jayden Short	CHB	84	-	-	74%	58%	40%	24%	13%	99
Sam Banks	WL	79	-	-	65%	48%	30%	16%	8%	1
Jack Ross	CHF	76	-	-	61%	43%	26%	14%	6%	123
Dion Prestia	C	74	-	-	58%	40%	23%	12%	5%	82
Kane McAuliffe	INT	67	-	-	44%	26%	13%	6%	2%	97
Nick Vlastuin	BPL	66	-	-	43%	25%	13%	5%	2%	59
Tyler Sonsie	INT	65	-	-	41%	24%	12%	5%	2%	55
Sam Grlj	HBFR	58	-	-	27%	13%	5%	2%	0%	57
Samson Ryan	RK	58	-	-	27%	13%	5%	2%	0%	84
Ben Miller	FB	57	-	-	26%	13%	5%	2%	0%	28
Patrick Retschko	INT	57	-	-	26%	12%	5%	2%	0%	65
Seth Campbell	FF	57	-	-	26%	13%	5%	2%	0%	74
Zane Peucker	INT	57	-	-	26%	12%	5%	2%	0%	-
Sam Lalor	R	56	-	-	25%	12%	5%	1%	0%	82
Hugo Ralphsmith	WR	55	-	-	22%	10%	4%	1%	0%	47
Oliver Hayes-Brown	INT	55	-	-	22%	10%	4%	1%	0%	-
Tom Brown	INT	54	-	-	21%	9%	3%	1%	0%	-
Noah Balta	BPR	53	-	-	20%	9%	3%	1%	0%	52
Nathan Broad	HBFL	49	-	-	13%	5%	2%	0%	0%	73
Maurice Rioli	HFFL	46	-	-	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%	17
Steely Green	HFFR	46	-	-	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%	28
Jonty Faull	INT	44	-	-	8%	3%	1%	0%	0%	15
Mykelti Lefau	FPR	44	-	-	8%	3%	1%	0%	0%	41
Campbell Gray	INT	42	-	-	7%	2%	0%	0%	0%	34
Liam Fawcett	FPL	40	-	-	5%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0